FanPost

StampedeBlue.com PPYA Power Ranking, Week 5

PPYA Rankings went 10-4 for Week 5 games, an improvement over last week's 9-5 and the previous week's 8-6. 37-21 for weeks 2-4 (no week 1 as there was no stats to rank on before then). That's .638, or #12 on King Kaufman's Panel of Experts standings.

A few suprises this week, but nothing quite as much as KC last week. The Kansas City top 10 was somewhat validated by the fact that Football Outsiders had the same thing happen last week - a blowout skewed thehm into their top ten as well. Like them, I predict we'll see their ranking adjust over time to a more realistic rank. This week they are down to #11.

So on to the rankings!

StampedeBlue.com PPYA Power Ranking, Week 4

PPYA Power Rank
(last week)
Team OPAPY OPSPY PPYA
1 (1) Chicago 0.02558 0.08418 0.0586
2 (2) San Diego 0.04156 0.0734 0.03184
3 (14) Jacksonville 0.04836 0.07445 0.02608
4 (8) Philadelphia 0.05075 0.06845 0.01771
5 (10) New England 0.04416 0.06176 0.0176
6 (6) Cincinnati 0.06163 0.0789 0.01728
7 (7) Atlanta 0.0278 0.04497 0.01718
8 (5) Indianapolis 0.05778 0.07223 0.01445
9 (3) Baltimore 0.04189 0.05605 0.01416
10 (15) Denver 0.0278 0.04086 0.01306
11 (9) Kansas City 0.05114 0.06171 0.01057
12 (4) Dallas 0.06357 0.07183 0.00826
13 (12) St. Louis 0.05861 0.06518 0.00657
14 (17) New Orleans 0.05621 0.06047 0.00426
15 (13) Cleveland 0.05791 0.06202 0.00411
16 (18) Seattle 0.06385 0.06678 0.00293
17 (19) Carolina 0.05576 0.05525 -0.00051
18 (20) Houston 0.06494 0.06129 -0.00365
19 (21) Arizona 0.06264 0.05636 -0.00628
20 (26) Detroit 0.06796 0.05839 -0.00956
21 (11) Buffalo 0.06307 0.05342 -0.00965
22 (25) Washington 0.06647 0.05451 -0.01195
23 (23) Pittsburgh 0.06274 0.0489 -0.01385
24 (16) New York (A) 0.07233 0.05657 -0.01576
25 (22) Minnesota 0.05955 0.04367 -0.01588
26 (30) San Francisco 0.07653 0.06037 -0.01616
27 (27) Tampa Bay 0.05999 0.04332 -0.01667
28 (28) New York (N) 0.0745 0.05553 -0.01897
29 (24) Miami 0.06449 0.04293 -0.02156
30 (29) Green Bay 0.06984 0.04748 -0.02236
31 (31) Tennessee 0.06884 0.04386 -0.02498
32 (32) Oakland 0.08904 0.04552 -0.04353
Biggest Upgrade: Jacksonville, +11 spots. A similar thing to KC last week where a blowout skewed their stats but at least it happened to a legitimately good team. I certainly don't think they are top 3 though.
Biggest Downgrade: Buffalo, -10 spots. Getting spanked by the Bears will do that to a team.
Highest Ranked Loser (current ranking): #9 Baltimore lost to #10 Denver
Lowest Ranked Winner (current ranking): #28 New York Giants beat #22 Washington. An interesting fluke from that game - despite losing, Washington moved UP 3 spots from #25 the previous week. Would anyone who watched that game be able to shed some light on why that might be?
Negative Line: #16 Seattle (0.00293), #17 Carolina (-0.00051)

These results show that I definitely need to work in schedule strength for next season.

I'm going to start leaving out Offensive and Defensive rankings, as the more I think about it the more they are really interdependant the way I calculate them. A team with a great defense that leaves their offense with good field position will skew that offense better (and vice versa). But when you take the aggregate of offense and defense to get PPYA, that all balances out.

Week 6 Games:
#28 New York Giants @ #7 Atlanta
#18 Houston @ #12 Dallas
#21 Buffalo @ #20 Detroit
#16 Seattle @ #13 St. Louis
#4 Philadelphia @ #14 New Orleans
#6 Cincinnati @ #27 Tampa Bay
#31 Tennessee @ #22 Washington
#17 Carolina @ #9 Baltimore
#29 Miami @ #24 New York Jets
#11 Kansas City @ #23 Pittsburgh
#2 San Diego @ #26 San Francisco
#31 Oakland @ #10 Denver
#1 Chicago @ #19 Arizona

I'll post in the comments how the rankings are doing in the games. let's see if the 1 game improvment each week can hold up and it'll go to 11-3 next week.

Update:So much for 11-3. PPYA went 6-7 this week, but it was a week full of upsets for everyone and it did predict the Detroit victory over Buffalo.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors.

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