Off-Season 2008: WR Depth
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Needless to say, I never want to see this ever, ever happen again. Addressing speed at the WR position this off-season is paramount for Bill Polian and this organization.
There is nothing more frustrating (other than watching Billy Volek ending your season) than seeing Peyton Manning throw a perfect pass only to see it dropped by some yutz WR. We saw this from Moorehead all year, who dropped two sure TDs in two huge games. Yet, despite all the injuries to both the WR corps and the o-line, Peyton managed to throw for over 4,000 yards and 31 TDs. It's funny how that is considered an off year for him, but when your QB is a football god the standard is indeed set high. Adding fast, playmaking talent at the WR spot is essential for the Colts to return to championship glory. Simply hoping Harrison returns 100% and Gonzalez develops into a good WR (as all signs suggest he will) is not enough for this team. Here are some options:
- Free agency: It's like a dirty word for the Colts, more associated with colossal failures (Corey Simon) than with major successes (Adam Vinatieri). But when it comes to speedy WRs with playmaking ability, the 2008 crop of free agents offer some intriguing options that should come at a reasonable price. Forget "sexy" option like Randy Moss or youth projects like Devery Henderson. Players like Bernard Berrian or Drew Carter offer more intriguing options that fit what the Colts should be looking for. Berrian will likely look for Javon Walker-type money in free agency, but I don't think anyone is THAT stupid to give it too him, not even Daniel Snyder. Still, even at a reduced free agency price, Berrian might be too much. Drew Carter offers an interesting option given his abilities and his likely asking price. He's fast and played well behind Steve Smith, outperforming Keary Colbert and rookie Dwayne Jarrett. The key to signing any free agent WR is the player's willingness to play special teams. Likely, any WR signed will need to have abilities as a returner or a gunner. Otherwise, the signing does not maximize the roster, and is a waste.
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Free agent WR Drew Carter might be an option. Maybe. - The Draft: The Colts used their 32nd pick last season to land Anthony Gonzalez, who just so happened to be the best rookie WR in football last year. Gonzo caught 37 balls for 578 yards and 3 TDs, averaging an astounding 15.6 yards a catch. His 56 yard, sideline-tiptoeing TD in the fourth quarter of the SD playoff game proved he is a big money player in the clutch. Gonzo really didn't start to catch on to the Colts offense, and the NFL way, until about mid-season. This is rare. Most rookie WRs are garbage their first year. Reggie Wayne did next to nothing his rookie year, and even the highly touted Robert Meachum of Tennessee didn't see the field at all this past season in New Orleans. So, if the draft is where Polian wants to get his WR depth, it's likely the payoff will not be immediate. If he does look into the draft, a player like Vanderbilt's Earl Bennett or LSU's Early Doucet fit what the Colts are looking for. Bennett is known as a "high character" player who runs great routes and has excellent hands. He isn't known for his speed though, but we'll see if that changes come Combine time. Doucet offers speed, great route running, and special abilities as a kick returner. Doucet has some trouble catching with his body more so than his hands. Polian tends to frown on guys like that. Still, both he and Bennett offer intriguing options in Rounds 3 or 4, if available. However, I don't know if it is likely that either will have immediate impact.
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LSU's Early Doucet - Trade: In his lengthy NFL career, Bill Polian makes a trade about as often as Bill Belichick cracks a smile or Bill Parcells orders the low fat salad over the meatball hero. However, when Polian does make a trade, it usually brings in a big impact player. Interestingly, the last two seasons Polian has made such trades. In 2006, he sent a 2nd round pick to TB for Anthony McFarland, and in 2007 he sent a 1st rounder in 2008 to SF for their second pick (using it to get Tony Ugoh). It's rare that trades happen, but when they do the results are often immediate. Contrary to popular belief, New England trading for Randy Moss was not the biggest trade of the 2007 off-season. Their trade for WR Wes Welker was. Without Welker killing teams from his slot receiver position (ala Brandon Stokley), Moss and Brady do not have his career years, and New England is likely not in the Super Bowl. Not only does Welker help them as a great 3rd down WR, but he returns punts and kicks as well. They only such player that could help the Colts in a similar way (that I can see) is Washington's Antwaan Randel-El. Randel-El's an Indiana product, and beloved of Hoosiers everywhere. Unlike Gonzo, who is more suited and comfortable playing on the outside than in the slot, a guy like Randel-El would excel as a 3rd down WR in Indy's system. In addition, his punt and kick returning skills are excellent. He did have some hamstring issues in 2007, but it remains to be seen if such issues are lingering. It's unlikely that Polian would send a draft pick to an owner like Snyder, but a player swap is not out of the question. Unlikely, but not out of the question.
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WR depth
My view, however, is that the Colts need pass rushing and O-line help more than WR depth. The offense could have survived the SD game without Marvin, but the lack of pass rush is what led us to seeing Billy #@$!& Volek drive the Bolts for the winning score. While I agree Harrison's age means this issue has to be confronted soon, I'm not sure it's this year that the draft has to focus on a WR. That's especially true since with the 59th pick the chance of getting an impact player is negligible. I think better draft value can be had on the lines in '08 in light of the disadvantageous position, with the '09 draft finding Wayne and Gonzalez some long-term help. That comes with the caveat that I'm always willing to allow Polian to work his magic with the draft or UFAs, if he sees something.
Series
This is ...
by PaytonMenning on Jan 30, 2008 1:32 AM EST up reply actions
You gotta think thought...
We had no experienced receivers on the field. That must change. When you have the best QB in the NFL... you can never have too many people for him to throw it to.
not likely
Marvin
I think a guy like Mario Manningham
Maybe you can start collecting Big Ten receivers.
by Terry @ Stampede Blue on Jan 29, 2008 2:31 PM EST reply actions
Manningham
Good suggestion though, T.
I have developed
Gonzo
WR: Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs & Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions - Bowe, by far the top rookie WR in the league, had 70 receptions for 995 yards and 5 TDs. He proved to be a big play threat that the Chiefs have sorely lacked to go along with Gonzo. Calvin Johnson somewhat proved that he is a big play threat for the Lions. While he didn't have the most impressive season (47 catches, 756 yards, 4 TDs), he showed flashes. He also averaged ~16 yards per catch, which you don't usually get from a receiver of his stature. (Backups: James Jones, Green Bay Packers; Anthony Gonzalez, Indianapolis Colts)
http://phsports.blogspot.com/2008/01/2007-nfl-rookie-year-end-report.html
Calvin Johnson
by MerryGoByeBye on Jan 29, 2008 3:35 PM EST up reply actions
Bowe
He averaged 8.5 yards for each time the ball was thrown to him. Not bad but, Gonzalez got 11.3 yards per target. Not per reception, per target. As in just throwing the ball to Gonzo gained a average of over 11 yards.
Calvin Johnson is the most talented WR in that draft class, but he was barely able to catch half the passes thrown to him (52%). 16 yards a catch is impressive, but he caught such a low % of the passes thrown to him so his yards per target was 8.1, well below Gonzalez's mark.
Jones 59% catch rate, 8.5 yrd/target, 29 more passes thrown to him and only got 100 more yards and had 1 less TD.
I'll take Gonzalez
by shake n bake on Jan 29, 2008 3:50 PM EST up reply actions
Maybe I should...
by shake n bake on Jan 29, 2008 4:15 PM EST up reply actions
I agree Bowe was the best rookie WR
by Terry @ Stampede Blue on Jan 29, 2008 5:22 PM EST up reply actions
Agreed...
Earl Bennett
Little-known fact: Earl suffered a tragic accident in elementary school. On a field trip with his class to a science lab, he was pushed by a classmate and his hands were dunked into a tub of experimental chemicals, thus changing his body chemistry. His hands are actually made of glue - this is great on the football field, but makes going to the bathroom quite embarassing.
The preceding paragrah is a fable. But he didn't become the all-time leading receiver in the SEC in receptions and receiving yards in only 3 years for no reason.
I see him as a terrific posession receiver in the NFL. He's not fast enough to get by people and get great yards after the catch, but he will catch whatever is thrown his way and is tough enough to take the hit and hold onto the ball. Need 5-8 yards? He will give it to you, every time.
I see him as the next Art Monk, basically.
Thx hartley
You're welcome.
- We're fans, not people with any power to affect the draft; and
- Tennessee is looking for a big-time #1 deep threat receiver, and as much as I love Earl (he basically was Vandy's offense in 2006), I just don't think he's that guy.
Especially look at minutes 4-5. There's a couple big hits there, and one leaping catch in triple coverage. This film is from 2006, so the guys in the orange helmets in this minute are the 2006 National Championship defense Earl's catching against.
Roll that tape: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pDRIjZlJsAA
See what I mean about hands like glue?
On a separate topic
A third one?
Long day at the office
Agreed
WR and DL are the two areas I think the Colts really need to improve with better depth. OL is a close 3rd though.
My wish is that Peyton avgs 330-350 yards passing per game next season.:) I realize it won't happen but man, it would be sweet if he did.
I also agree that Welker was the biggest pickup by the Pats and that surprised me as I didn't think he would be anything special when they got him. How he is almost NEVER covered is beyond me.
by Rob L on Jan 30, 2008 10:01 AM EST reply actions

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