IND @ GB - hitting a groove

Hello Stampede Blue,

While we aren't in love with how Indianapolis is playing quite yet, our system is defintely starting to come around on them. As we stated in the title, we think the team is in the beginnings of a good groove, but they have some work to do before we are convinced it is something that will last. Here is how we see this week's game:

IND @ GB

Our line: Indianapolis by 16

Next to St. Louis, Green Bay comes into this game as one of the most underrated teams in the NFL according to our rankings. Win Grade (team fundamentals) really likes what Green Bay brings to the table, but given the schedule they have played Real Points (strength of schedule) feels they should have done better and is cutting them no slack. Indianapolis on the other hand will arrive at Lambeau as one of the hottest teams in the league, and is anything but overrated. Their biggest struggle this year has been stopping the run, and with Green Bay averaging well under 100 yards a game on the ground, the Indy defense should have an good chance to continue the progress they showed stopping Baltimore's ground game last week. With Manning and the offense finally in rhythm look for the passing game to open up some opportunities for backup RB Rhodes to get some big gains and keep Indianapolis in control of the clock and the game.

ITN rankings:

- Indianapolis #19 - We could sense the frustration being released from some Indy fans when we were called 'Idiots' for predicting the Colts to win by only 5. It's been an understandably tough start to the season, and that win meant a lot. Don't get too giddy yet though. The Colts are still being outrushed by almost 100 yards a game and that is a gap that needs to be closed.

- Green Bay #22 - Many fans will think their placement this low in the rankings is pretty harsh, but defeating a dismal Seahawks team doesn't prove much to us, even on the road. The run defense still needs a lot of work.