Predictor Picks for Week 11

by mgrex03 on Nov 13, 2008 7:06 PM EST Comment 8 comments

Last week, the Predictor was a spectacular 11-3, even with missing the Thursday night game. I went through the season, and found the predictor is 95-49 on the season, which is 66.0%. That makes me ecstatic. I hope it continues throughout the rest of the season.

Here are the picks for Week 11:

Win %	Away	Home	Win %
9.9%	NY Jets	New England	90.1%
14.2%	Denver	Atlanta	85.8%
21.7%	Houston	Indianapolis	78.3%
54.3%	Oakland	Miami	45.7%
59.8%	Baltimore	NY Giants	40.2%
32.8%	Detroit	Carolina	67.2%
89.0%	Philadelphia	Cincinnati	11.0%
65.0%	Chicago	Green Bay	35.0%
15.7%	New Orleans	Kansas City	84.3%
45.4%	Minnesota	Tampa Bay	54.6%
34.3%	St. Louis	San Francisco	65.7%
36.4%	Arizona	Seattle	63.6%
36.9%	Tennessee	Jacksonville	63.1%
61.3%	San Diego	Pittsburgh	38.7%
13.3%	Dallas	Washington	86.7%
64.7%	Cleveland	Buffalo	35.3%

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Comments

I'm still 2 games up

suck on that Mgrex03’s computer. Woooooooo!.

but seriously, great stuff. It’s always great to see more support that stats when used right are as good or better than your run of the mill NFL pundit.

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 13, 2008 7:16 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I haven't done any tweaking yet either

I think this can be much better, I just haven’t had the time. That is an offseason project.

I’d also love to include a spread in, as you can’t bet straight up games.

by mgrex03 on Nov 13, 2008 7:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

well you can

They build the spread into how much you wager/stand to win if your right.

Jets-Pats Moneyline Jets +140 Pats -160 So if you were betting the Jets you would get $140 for every 100 you bet. If you were on the Pats you would get $100 for every $160 you bet.

I know too much about this for someone too poor to gamble.

Shonn Greene for Heisman
137 yards per game
6.1 yards per carry
08 TDs per game > 06 GPA

by shake n bake on Nov 13, 2008 8:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Those aren't as common of bets

But certainly there.

I’ll be researching that this offseason as well. Too much other stuff to do now.

by mgrex03 on Nov 13, 2008 8:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

not sure I agree

with a few of the picks…. I think the jets have a good chance seeing as ty warren and A. thomas are both out…. And how do you pick SD over the steelers? And KC or Oakland over anyone?

An expert is someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing...

by bluegirl on Nov 13, 2008 7:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

I'm not picking them

My computer is.

I’m going to research why it likes the Raiders so much, and hates the Saints.

It’s got 5+ years worth of data in there. It’s just using what was successful previously, and predicting based on that.

by mgrex03 on Nov 13, 2008 7:50 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs

Well that explains

the san diego pick … and I guess I’d pick anyone over Miami given their record last year… You don’t add in the current season numbers some how? I would think the most recent 8 games the teams have played if you weighted them higher might cure some of those weird picks..

An expert is someone who knows more and more about less and less until they know everything about nothing...

by bluegirl on Nov 13, 2008 8:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs