There was a claim made earlier today that the Titans have the 4th toughest schedule in the NFL this season. I also saw this same claim over at MCM earlier in the week, complete with a link to the "2008 Strength of Schedule". However, there is one problem with these claims:
They are using last year's records.
This site has been up, presumably, since early January. The number of wins/losses for each team tipped me off, as well as the lack of a tie anywhere, so I checked it out. I figured I'd look at what the real strength of schedule for each team is, just based on Opponents Win % from 2008. This isn't perfect, and I may do a little more data analysis using Opponents Opponents Win % (that isn't a typo). I figured to go easy first.
Here's the Strength of Schedule for 2008, through Week 13:
|Team||W||L||T||Win %||Team||W||L||T||Win %|
- Our Week 14 opponent, Cincinnati, has had the toughest schedule so far this season, by 9 games, over the 2nd toughest, the Browns. That's pretty astounding. This week will close the gap by 3 games, but it still be a very tough schedule.
- The most wins of any team with a tougher schedule than the Colts is 5, which is the Packers. On the flip side, the 49ers have had a fairly easy schedule, and still haven't won 5 games.
- There are the Titans, sitting at 31st. And after this week, they'll creep even closer to having the easiest schedule in the league.
- This list does not take into account any future games. This obviously means the Colts schedule will get easier over the next 3 weeks. I figured I should point this out now, to avoid confusion.