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NFL.com's Jason Feller responds

I got an email yesterday from NFL.com writer Jason Feller regarding my critique of his free agency article, where he ranked the Cowboys OG Leonard Davis as one of the best free agent acquisitions of the last 15 years. Here's the email:

It was profoundly entertaining for everyone because I actually grew up in the Washington DC metro area as a Redskins fan and am the farthest thing from a Cowboys fan you could find. That said, you made some very good points in your critique and that’s what these pieces are for -- to remind people about the history of free agency and get people thinking.

I stand by my choice of Leonard Davis as he was the only addition on an offense that was the second best in the NFL and had a breakout season after struggling much of his career. Kerney would have also been a fine choice as would have Garcia. I felt that while Kerney played great individually, the Seahawks as a team had a nearly identical record with him (10-6) as they had without him the year before (9-7) and advanced to the second round, the same stage they advanced to in 2006. Garcia I did not include, because projecting out I see Garcia as a relatively short-term solution for the Buccaneers, while Davis stands a chance to contribute for most, if not all, of his seven year contract. Again any of those players could be argued as the correct choice, but I’ll stick with Davis.

Many thanks to Jason for two things: 1) Reading the site, and 2) Offering a good response and a kind email. I also apologize to him profusely for suggesting he (a Redskins fan) was a Cowboys fan. I might as well have shown up at his home, slapped his wife, and spit on his kids. My apologizes, Jason.

Despite his thoughtful response, Jason is still wrong in picking Davis as one of the best free agent acquisitions in recent memory. I know he decided to pick one for each year, but the numbers and the production still clearly favor Tampa Bay QB Jeff Garcia or Seattle DE Patrick Kerney. Yes, I know Seattle's record with Kerney in 2007 is the same as Seattle's record without him in 2006, but come on. Circumstances and  players change from year to year. Without Kerney, the Seahawks don't make the playoffs in 2007.

In the comment thread in the last Feller post, shake n bake posted Seattle's d-line ratings in 2006 and 2007:

2006 10th vs the run, 11th vs the pass
2007 4th vs the run, 7th vs the pass

That's a damn significant jump, and with all the struggles and injuries Seattle has faced on offense since their Super Bowl appearance, it was their defense (in particular their pass rush) that guided them through the year. Their pass rush also helped them win a playoff game against Jason's beloved Redskins, a game where Kerney went bonkers.

Garcia had a similar impact on Tampa Bay:

Jeff Garcia: 11th in total value, 7th in per play value
Tampa’s overall offense improved from 30th to 10th
Passing offense up from 31st to 14th

The Bucs also won the NFC South and hosted a playoff game, losing to the eventual Super Bowl Champion NY Giants. So, knowing all this, the question lingers: How did Leonard Davis help the Cowboys improve? If you look at the numbers, they didn't improve much:

2006 8th in run blocking 23rd in pass pro

2007 14th in run blocking 7th in pass pro

So while the Cowboys improved in pass protection (do in part to having the mobile Tony Romo start an entire season) their running got worse. This is a team with Marion Barber III folks. He could run through a brick wall. And while Dallas' record improved from 2007 to 2008, the numbers clearly show that it had very little to do with Leonard Davis.

And really, did the Cowboys really improve from 2006 to 2007? They lost another playoff game. They haven't won one in almost 15 years. In the grand scheme of a season, your regular season record means nothing. The Giants are the best team from 2007. No one cares who won the NFC East. No one cares who went 13-3 or 10-6. No one.

All that matters is winning in the playoffs. If you get there and win, people will remember your team more so than the division winner who showed up and lost. Trust me, as Colts fans, we all know. And if your supposed key free agent acquisition cannot help his team win in the playoffs, he isn't very "key."

0 recs | Comment 29 comments

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"your regular season record means nothing"

I’m sorry, but you’re not going to say that Tom Brady is better than Peyton Manning, right? Because it sounded like that for a sec…

Walk on, walk on With hope in your heart And you'll never walk alone You'll never walk alone

by MerryGoByeBye on May 30, 2008 10:40 AM EDT   0 recs

A Guard

Again, Davis is a guard and that position alone does not have the greatest impact on a team O-line in particular their pass protection.

by MasterRWayne on May 30, 2008 10:58 AM EDT   0 recs

then why have guards been getting paid

monstrous contracts lately ie Hutchison and Faneca if they don’t have much of an impact?

Answer: Its because they do make a great impact. Minnesota’s OL was average until they signed Hutch and makes Peterson the ROY.

Faneca will significantly upgrade the jets OL as well just like Davis did last season.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 11:46 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

if you don't think the Cowboys offense

was significantly better in 2007 then you either never watch the Cowboys play or don’t know much about football.

Bottom line is that Davis solidified a unit that a complete mess in 2006 to a unit that could be considered the best in the NFL. To me, thats having the biggest impact by far.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 11:43 AM EDT   0 recs

Cowboys offense improved from 8th to 4th

Most likely because of the transition from an old washed up QB in a young pro-bowl caliber one and the young QB gaining experience.

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 11:57 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Because this time my statement was about their offense

in total.

Cowboys offense improved from 8th to 4th

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 3:05 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

so that makes my argument stronger

the Cowboys offense improved as a result of better OL play.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 4:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

They improved

I say it’s because of improved QB play and cite these numbers to support that statement

2006
Tony Romo 10th in total value, 8th in per play value
Drew Bledsoe 38th in total value, 39th per play
2007 Tony Romo 6th in total value, 5th per play

You say it’s because of Leonard Davis and cite “because I said so”

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 4:56 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

no, because great QB play

is directly dependent on great OL play. Not saying that Romo isn’t significantly better than Bledsoe because he obviously is, however, Romo also has a much better OL to protect him than Bledsoe had.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 31, 2008 11:04 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

did they replace the line mid-way though 2006?

because there is a massive difference in production between Romo and Bledsoe in 2006.

They played behind the same line in 2006. OL play had nothing to do with the huge difference between Romo and Bledsoe in 06.

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 31, 2008 11:49 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'm not saying it did

I’m saying the OL was greatly improved in 2007 which was why I feel Davis was the best FA signing.

If you actually watched the games instead of just looking at stats you would actually know this to be true. If you ask any other Cowboys fan they would tell you the same thing.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on Jun 2, 2008 4:03 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

QB can't put up numbers without a great OL

Brady and Manning would both look like garbage without great, pass protecting lines which was proven when the Colts played the Steelers in the playoffs in 2005 and the Pats in the SB last year.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 2:23 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

LMAO!

Yeah teams that have been paying guards like tackles have really had a lot of success recently rolls eyes

Paying a guard LT or RT money is like paying your second string QB the same amount as your starting WR.

by MasterRWayne on May 30, 2008 12:28 PM EDT   0 recs

Minnesota did, LMAO

Adian Peterson is good, but he’s not that good. His success was directly attributable to Hutch whether you want to believe it or not.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 2:29 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Some NFL people seem to think the FO numbers I was citing

give a pretty good account of what’s happening on the field.

“The most accurate insight into why teams really win and lose.”—Jim Schwartz, defensive coordinator, Tennessee Titans

link

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 3:59 PM EDT   0 recs

We aren't criticizing their defense

which was very good last year.

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 4:52 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Once again, I will cast my vote for Eric Steinbach, who along with Joe Thomas completely changed the Browns O-line.

In 06 the Browns were 30th in points scored, 31st in total yards. Allowed 54 sacks (30th) Had 3.6 yards per run (29th) 31st in rushing yards, and went 4-12.

This year
8th in points scored, 8th in total yards, allowed only 19 sacks (t-3rd) No full time starting QB got sacked fewer times than Anderson behind this line. They were 6th in yards per run with 4.3, 10th in rushing yards, and the team went 10-6. (And missed the playoffs thanks to a joke of a D)

Now that is a GIGANTIC change.

by MrNFL on May 30, 2008 4:50 PM EDT   0 recs

Steinback

Is a solid choice, but I would still place Garcia and Kerney over him.

by MasterRWayne on May 30, 2008 4:56 PM EDT   0 recs

Hard to argue

Both Garcia and Kerney had big impacts. I’m just trying to bring attention to probably the most under-rated offensive lineman in the league.

by MrNFL on May 30, 2008 4:59 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I'd rather be under-rated

than under-paid.

my blog http://shakennbaken.blogspot.com

by shake n bake on May 30, 2008 5:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Just want to point something out from the other thread on this

“I never said best OL

I said one of the best guards, very big difference.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 30, 2008 4:43 PM EDT to parent”

“Feller is absolutely correct BBS

He’s just not a hater like you and can acknowledge a great signing by Jerry Jones.

As a tackle, Davis is average at best but as a guard, Davis is the best OL in the game today. You’re talking about a 6-6 360 lbs beast who has like 5% body fat and can absolutely destroy anything in front of him. Cardinals should have made this move a long time ago but thats why they’re the Cardinals and always suck. The move to guard was absolute genius on the Cowboys coaches part and he’ll dominate for years to come.

Clearly the best FA signing in 2007.

In Romo we Trust

by Terry on May 28, 2008 10:55 AM EDT”

The emphasis is mine here, but I just wanted to make sure this was noted.

"So's your mom"-David Sloane

by gatling on May 30, 2008 5:27 PM EDT   0 recs

Even Then

I wouldn’t put in him in the top 5 guards.

by MrNFL on May 31, 2008 4:11 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Davis is the best OL in the league????

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAH

That is all.

by MrNFL on May 30, 2008 5:57 PM EDT   0 recs

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