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Around SBN: The cost of firing vs. the cost of retaining head coaches

Will the new Special Teams Coach be a Polian?

Ever since we learned that Russ Purnell will not be re-signed, I've had the same thought running through my head over and over:  Are the Colts going to hire Brian Polian for the job?  Why did I immediately think that?  He's the Special Teams Coach at my alma mater, the University of Notre Dame.  He's been there since Weis took over in 2005.

Four years is long enough to get a decent body of work, so let's take a look at how the Irish Special Teams fared (all stats came from NCAA website):

Year KO Return Punt Return KO Coverage Punt Coverage
Yds/Rtrn Rank Yds/Rtrn Rank Yds/Rtrn Rank Yds/Rtrn Rank
2005 19.0 89 14.1 12 21.2 72 6.4 22
2006 21.4 39 7.4 88 20.0 50 11.5 101
2007 19.7 94 9.1 53 22.8 89 7.4 40
2008 21.6 53 8.9 60 16.5 1 6.0 27

Some notes on the bolded rankings:

  • I knew this before writing this up, but ND finished #1 in Kickoff Yardage Defense in the NCAA this season.  It was an amazing turnaround from each of the past 3 seasons, and it was thanks to 2 absolute studs:  David Bruton and Mike Anello (a former walk-on!).
  • In 2005, Weis (and probably Polian as well) decided to try Tom Zbikowski at Punt Returner.  Whoever thought of it was a pretty smart guy.  He'll be returning kicks for the Ravens this weekend, by the way.  Here's an example of his work, and you'll see that, while the blockers helped get him to the 30, Zibby did the rest on his own:

    Zibby Return (via bluegraysky)

Looking at all those other stats though, would you want him coaching the Colt's special teams?  This past season, we had 2 burners returning kicks (Armando Allen and Golden Tate), and only averaged 21.6 yds/return.  Considering some of the teams we played this year, it should have been much, much higher.  I know I was always completely frustrated with kickoff returns on Saturday, as well as Sunday this season.

If I put on my ND fan hat, losing Polian would be bad news, as he is (arguably) our best recruiter.  I actually feel this is the only reason he is still on the staff.  He can walk into a 17-year old's house, introduce himself, and tell him,

My dad is the best General Manager in the National Football League.  I know how to get you to the NFL.  Come play for us.

Now, I have no evidence he's actually said this, but I can imagine he's said something similar in the past.  Weis's whole mantra since he started was about how he can get his players into the NFL. 

In a completely unscientific poll of 4 of my buddies, asking how they'd feel if Polian left to go to the NFL, I got:

Bad

Bad for recruiting, but I think it would be easy to upgrade the coaching.

Good recruiter, that's about it.

Eh...whatever

I don't think Brian Polian is ready to take over the Colt's Special Teams.  He hasn't shown me nearly enough in 4 years at Notre Dame to instill confidence in me that the Colt's ST would improve.  We need somebody who's done it in the NFL.  It needs to be an obvious upgrade from Purnell.  That is not Polian.

 

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The thing about Tate

is when it comes to returning, he’s an idiot. I love Golden, but he just makes bad decisions. Without Tate, we would not have been a bowl team, but I’ve never been impressed by his returning.

As a Colts fan, Polian coming would help the special teams. As a Notre Dame fan, Polian leaving will effectively kill the chances of us pulling recruits out of California.

by Colts Homer on Jan 15, 2009 5:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Believe me, I share your feelings about Tate

But don’t you think coaching could have helped him break 1 or 2 this year? I mean, we played some awful teams this year, and still couldn’t break one.

Tate is going to be a hell of an NFL player as well. Just have to wait 2 years before then…

by mgrex03 on Jan 15, 2009 6:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting

So as a Cal fan I have mixed feelings. I’d rather high quality recruits stay in California and go to Cal. On the other hand, if recruits are going to NOT come to Cal, I’d rather it be because they’re going to ND rather than U$c (or to some other Pac-10 program).

But as a Colts fan, Polian’s record is not terribly impressive, other than the 1 or 2 standout areas that you already highlighted. Hopefully they conduct a search rather than defaulting to Polian.

by LovinBlue on Jan 15, 2009 5:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

P.S.

Thanks for posting a video in which the play is scored against u$c. LOVE IT!

by LovinBlue on Jan 16, 2009 12:38 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Is Brian Polian

related to Bill Polian?

by metal_militia on Jan 15, 2009 6:16 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

alright

after assessment of him and knowing he is related to a football genius im sold. Bring him or someone similar, to the Colts

by metal_militia on Jan 15, 2009 6:19 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

His stats

don’t really impress me. Although the major turn around in coverage is huge, I still want someone who can help a returner gain us an extra 10 or so yards.

Besides, he looks like he’s 14. Not that there’s anything wrong with that… :D

"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007

by peytonsthebest on Jan 15, 2009 7:30 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Don Beebe

Is my hero. If only Flutie had played with him.

That one dude from the Ravens is really good at returning. Leonhard.

by monstersbox on Jan 15, 2009 8:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Definitely

a valid point!

"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007

by peytonsthebest on Jan 16, 2009 11:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Couple of guys out there

I know Kurt Shottenheimer was let go and at one point in time he was a special teams/defensive backs coach. And I know Marty thinks highly of the Colts. And the entire Rams coaching staff was pretty much just fired. Hard to find any history or background on special teams coaches. They’re basically just dudes that are just trying to get into a coaching gig.

by monstersbox on Jan 16, 2009 10:57 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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