Week 7 Statistical Preview - Colts vs. Rams

The Colts, coming off of a bye week, set their sights on staying undefeated today when they travel to St. Louis to take on the Rams.  Dome road games are always great, because it's like another home game, just with some additional noise.  Although today, from the sounds of it, many Hoosiers are making the 4 hour trek across I-70 to the game.

SPOILER: Southern Illinois is very boring to drive through.  Not quite like Kansas, but very boring.

Coming into this week, the Colts are ranked 2nd Offensively, 19th Defensively, and 6th Overall, according to the Winning Stats Power Rankings (full rankings below).  The Rams are 27th, 31st, and 31st respectively.  #2 Offense vs. #31 defense.  Yikes.

More specifics, and the table, after the jump.

Here's the full statistical preview:

Colts Rams
Statistic Offense Rank Defense Rank Offense Rank Defense Rank
DSR 79.6% 1 68.5% 13 63.2% 27 77.0% 31
ANPY/A 9.235 2 3.952 4 4.630 24 7.199 27
Turnovers / Game 1.20 9 1.60 15 2.17 25 1.33 22
Yds/Drive 42.17 1 28.98 15 25.65 23 36.62 31
ToP/Drive 2:58.8 6 3:04.6 28 2:36.6 22 3:08.0 31
Yds/Play 6.724 2 4.412 3 4.683 25 5.826 27
First Downs/Drive 2.17 5 1.80 24 1.51 22 2.17 31
3rd/4th Down 50.0% 2 46.5% 29 32.9% 26 49.4% 31
Avg Start Pos 29.1 17 27.6 9 24.6 32 29.3 17
3 and Outs / Game 2.40 2 3.20 23 4.83 27 2.67 28
RZ Eff 70.6% 8 62.3% 14 40.5% 32 64.9% 17
Plays/Drive 6.271 4 6.569 31 5.477 19 6.286 29
Penalty Yds / Play 0.671 7 0.636 26 1.059 28 0.513 32
RB Success 48.7% 9 52.9% 28 43.0% 18 46.2% 18
Yds/Carry 3.34 28 4.06 17 4.22 16 4.08 18
Net Punts Yds/Game 42.87 6 41.19 21 44.30 2 42.88 29
Overall 2 19 27 31

Things to look for:

  • Expect a lot of long drives by the Colts Offense.  The Colts are #1 in both Drive Success Rate and Yards / Drive, while the Rams are ranked 31st defensively.  The Colts Defense should be plenty rested when they return to the field.
  • I'm concerned about slowing down Steven Jackson early on in the game, but 2 stops should be enough.  They'll have to abandon the Run game soon after, making him obsolete.
  • This looks very one-sided.  The Rams have lost 16 straight games, and only 2 of their last 26 games.  Look for the Colts to put them away early, with some Sorgi time thrown in at the end.

I'll throw the Power Rankings in for this week here, as I had a work conference this week, so free time was at a premium.  Colts stay 6th, with the Patriots jumping them and the Ravens falling below them.

Team Power Rankings Strength of Schedule
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Saints 3 2 1 1 27 12
Giants 6 6 2 20 25 25
Broncos 9 3 3 30 14 24
Patriots 1 15 4 12 16 14
Eagles 16 1 5 27 31 28
Colts 2 19 6 22 20 23
Steelers 4 17 7 31 28 31
Ravens 5 18 8 29 10 20
Vikings 10 9 9 25 29 30
Packers 12 7 10 28 22 27
Dolphins 7 21 11 26 9 16
Falcons 8 23 12 17 12 10
Cowboys 11 22 13 21 19 17
Cardinals 19 4 14 9 17 18
Texans 15 10 15 14 32 29
Bengals 18 16 17 8 5 6
Bears 17 14 16 23 6 9
Seahawks 21 11 18 16 21 22
Redskins 20 13 19 32 30 32
Jaguars 13 28 20 15 26 26
49ers 29 5 21 11 18 19
Jets 28 8 22 6 7 7
Bills 26 12 23 13 11 11
Chargers 14 32 24 19 1 3
Chiefs 23 24 25 7 13 8
Panthers 25 27 26 24 15 15
Lions 22 30 27 2 3 1
Buccaneers 24 29 28 10 23 13
Titans 30 26 29 18 2 5
Raiders 32 20 30 3 8 4
Rams 27 31 31 4 24 21
Browns 31 25 32 5 4 2

 

Go Colts!

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