Week Eight: 49ers v. Colts Preview
The 49ers and their fans are a chippy bunch. Their mentality going in is to suggest that the Colts "have not beaten anyone," and that the 49ers are just the kind of "tough" team that will tame the paper tiger Colts. The problem with this thought process is the Colts have indeed beaten quality teams, one of which is the 49ers division rivals: The Arizona Cardinals. The Colts walked into University of Phoenix Stadium on a short week not long ago and beat the snot out of Kurt Warner and his Red Bird teammates.
So, unless the 49ers feel their division is lunch meat, it's pretty safe to say that the "they haven't beaten anyone" phrase is a load of moose crap. For more info debunking this, check out this article at 18to88.
Also, with the 49ers defense allowing players like Matt Schaub to throw 4 TDs in one game and letting Matt Ryan drop 329 yards and 2 TDs on them at home, then talking tough while you are traveling to face Peyton Manning and the Colts offense is probably not the best strategy.
And while it might be fun for fans to say "the Colts haven't played anyone," the silliness of that statement is further dismissed because players like Peyton, Reggie Wayne, Joseph Addai, Dallas Clark, Dwight Freeney, Robert Mathis, Bob Sanders, Kelvin Hayden, Matt Stover, and Gary Brackett have all been there, done that. They most certainly have "played someone" in their careers, and all have big, shiny rings to prove it.
When you look at these teams, the Colts are NOT a good match-up for the 49ers, and if the 49ers think that by changing certain aspects of their defense this will give them an edge, they've got another thing coming.
Make no mistake, the 49ers must win this game. They were blown out at home three weeks ago by the Falcons and were beat on the road by the Texans last week. If they lose this game against Indy, they drop three in a row and lose ground against the Cardinals. 49ers coach Mike Singletary is a proud guy, but I get the sense that sometimes he lets his pride and his emotions cloud his thinking. During the Falcons game, some Atlanta players were saying Singletary was trash talking to them during the game. The Falcons responded by slapping Singletary and the 49ers in the face with a 45 point butt-whipping. Singletary apologized afterward for his remarks to Atlanta Falcons guard Harvey Dahl, which redeems Singletary somewhat. However, head coaches trash talking opposing players during games is not the kind of example the head man for a franchise should set. Just my opinion.
For two games now, the 49ers pass defense has been exposed. Matt Ryan shredded them four weeks ago, and after a bye week of preparation, the Texans Matt Schaub went crazy on them. To fix their defense, the 49ers coaches are taking the defensive playcalling duties away from stud linebacker Patrick Willis and giving them to free safety Dashon Goldon. SF hopes that this change will free up Willis to make more plays, and aid in getting plays in quicker to counter the Colts no-huddle offense.
Having the defensive backs get the calls before Indianapolis quarterback Peyton Manning is finished with his famous presnap gesticulations is vital for the 49ers if they are to have a fighting chance against the Colts' No. 1-ranked passing offense."It's one less thing that Pat will have to think about," coach Mike Singletary said. "If there's a mistake back there (the secondary), nine times out of 10 it's going to reveal itself on the scoreboard. If it's on the back end, it's hard to recover."
You all might recall that the Seattle Seahawks attempted a similar change on defense prior to playing the Colts in Week Four. Seahawks coaches changed the way the players received defensive calls in an effort to confuse Peyton Manning and prevent him from making pre-snap reads of the defense.
The result was a 34-17 route of the Seahawks in Lucas Oil Stadium. Peyton had 353 yards and 2 TDs in that game.
So, while Colts fans like me are very flattered that teams like the 49ers are so scared of Peyton Manning that they will change their defensive playcalling, the changes underscore my personal feeling that the 49ers know this Colts team is a very daunting match-up.
The 49ers scored only 10 points on the Falcons defense and 21 points on the Texans. Both those defenses are inferior to the Colts defense, which surrenders an average of 12.8 ppg and pressures the QB with greater efficiency. The 49ers have once again turned the QB reigns back to Alex Smith, a wise decision because Smith does indeed provide them with the best option. Smith's first start as a pro was actually the last time these two teams faced each other, back in 2005. The Colts absolutely rocked Smith, but the two teams back then are very different than the teams now.
For Indy to beat the 49ers, they must do the following:
- Stop the run. The 49ers cannot complete with the Colts throwing the ball. Even with the impressive Vernon Davis and the dynamic rookie WR Michael Crabtree, SF needs to run the ball and play "keep away" to have a shot. If the Colts stop the running game early, as they have done is virtually every game they've played this year, it will force SF to throw the ball to keep up.
- Pressure. Alex Smith has all the physical tools to succeed in this league, and he can use all those wonderful skills somewhere else. On Sunday, Dwight Freeney should routinely tattoo his number to Smith. The 49ers do not have an impressive o-line, nor do they score a lot of points. Pressure on Smith will force him into mistakes, which the Colts can capitalize into turnovers.
- The Colts offense is a machine, and the 49ers do not seem to have the kind of defense that can stop it. Again, players like Willis are amazing. I like Nate Clements, and I think Singletary has done a very good job getting these guys to play together (something former coach Mike Nolan was unequipped to do). The 49ers are pretty decent stopping the run, but the Colts should still generate a decent ground game to help set-up their passing attack.
- Pierre Garcon. I'd like to see the kid bounce back after a bad game against the Rams. If Reggie Wayne plays (and I think he will), Garcon will match-up well against the 49ers secondary.
This is one of those games that will test the mettle of our Colts. The 49ers NEED this game, and everyone knows it. However, the Colts treat all their opponents the same, and are starting to get healthier on defense. With Bob Sanders back and likely to see even more action than last week, look for the Colts to pressure the 49ers early.
Regardless, this should be a great game between two very storied franchises. You can check out some Fan Post previews at SB Nation's 49ers blog, Niners Nation. i must admit, Fooch and his crew at NN are some of my favorite football bloggers. They really do a great job over there and I very much like the community they have.
Keep an eye out later today for my interview with Fooch, and be sure to see his Five questions for me over at Niners Nation.
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33 comments
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Comments
While I believe,
to some degree, the concept of ‘any given Sunday’, I think it would probably take a bonafide miracle for the Colts not to win against the 49ers. I think the 49ers will score one touchdown more than the Rams did and I think the Colts will get over 40. My prediction: Colts 41, Niners 13. This game is at home, the boys are peaking, the defense is establishing itself as a menace, and I say…..let’s enjoy this Sunday. I’m hoping to see Baskett get involved a bit more and I hope Gonzo plays and has a big day!
by Ayrshire on Oct 29, 2009 1:06 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The concept...
of switching the “Green Dot” to the secondary to get more useful info to them is laughable. The communication is only active until 15 seconds are left on the play clock. How many times does P change the play when there are less than 15 seconds left on the clock? I’d be willing to bet that any info the coaches pass on could be made moot by the time the ball is snapped. The Squared 7s will need to execute if they want to hang with the Cards for the division.
They talk about the Texans long TD to Owen Daniels that could have been stopped if the info was in the secondary. Any coach that can’t get his players in the right place AFTER the play is over shouldn’t be a coach. I could have won the lottery if I had just picked the right numbers. Can we go back and try that drawing again now that I know what numbers will be picked?
A short comment on Alex Smith too. I think the MooCows relaxed thinking the game was out of reach and got surprised. Smith caught lightning in a bottle for 20 or so minutes (don’t forget he threw the INT to seal the loss as well). The Colts don’t get surprised or caught not prepared for a team. Caldwell and Coyer will have them ready.
by emiller17 on Oct 29, 2009 1:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well..
It just appears that Willis really doesn’t want the green dot. I mean, you can’t question his talent or intelligence, so if the man doesn’t want it, he doesn’t want it, you know? Sure I feel that Singletary is making some excuses here but at the same time is P-Dub doesn’t want the radio, being our best player, he should get what he wants if it’ll help him perform at his highest level.
As far as the Texans relaxing, do you really think any team is going to continue relaxing after a backup QB puts up 14 unanswered points? They made their adjustments, and Alex tore them up for another TD.
That being said I’m not even a Smith supporter, I can’t see him being the savior of this team, and I totally see the Colts winning this game. Still, I’m excited and I probably always will be, delusional or not.
by Ninjames on Oct 29, 2009 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One last thing..
I hope you know more than the majority of us 49er fans aren’t of the opinion that “The Colts haven’t beat anyone.” Hell, half of us aren’t even sure if the 49ers constitute as “anyone.” Just wanted to clear that up considering this has been my favorite opposition blog thusfar and I’d hate it if it came down to trash talking. :[
by Ninjames on Oct 29, 2009 2:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I have to agree. I really didn't notice much of that either.
I thought you guys were very hospitable. Much better than what our resident Texan troll would have had us believe.
by vintagephoenix on Oct 29, 2009 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
George Wrighster’s Week 7 review and Week 8 Preview. He thinks Peyton Manning is acceding to Greatness.
http://tightend.blogspot.com/2009/10/week-7-blowouts.html
"Don't Be Afraid to Stand on a Pile of 'No's' for one 'Yes'"
http://tightend.blogspot.com
by curiousg87 on Oct 29, 2009 2:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
don't spam links
post something on topic and people will check out your blog if you seem to be interesting and know your stuff.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Oct 29, 2009 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's actually Wrightster, I assume (I mean, if you plan to impersonate somebody, make it somebody more important, right?)
and his Colts/Rams writeup was much more honest than most of the “I am the best” or PC “they’re all good” stuff you usually get from current/past players. His capsule:
In other news, the Colts played Steven Jackson. We didn’t have to watch this game to know what happened. Manning continued his assault on the NFL record book and ascension to Greatness. Unless the Rams can manage to beat the Detroit Lions this week, chances are high they will finish the season “Defeated” (0-16), and tie the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the longest losing streak of all-time (26). Stephen Jackson could lead the league in rushing on a 0-16 team. How incredible would that be?
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
by Bobman on Oct 29, 2009 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
all the more reason he doesn't need to spam
shoot me or BBS an e-mail of something good and we’d more than likely link it on the frontpage. Post an on-topic comment with the link to the blog in sig/profile and some people will probably check the blog out.
Drop a OT plug/link in multiple threads and you make mods grouchy.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Oct 29, 2009 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Grouchy mods = bad?
Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
YOU'RE BANNED!
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Oct 29, 2009 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bummer.
Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So Shake, I guess
you’re the

who wields the
Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
THAT IS A GREAT BLOG
He is quite funny. A better writer than receiver, perhaps….
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
by Bobman on Oct 29, 2009 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
chippy, eh?
Not sure who out here in the West is speaking out of turn about the Colts not beating anybody? huh?! We beat Arizona too by the way…although they weren’t awake then. As a loyal niner fan, I am just hopeful that we can build on the 2nd half success we had in Texas. We need to spread the offense so Gore can get to the linebackers and Smith at least gives us that chance. We are not in the same tier as the Colts obviously but I am still optimistic that we can offer more competition than you expect.
by tokar on Oct 29, 2009 3:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Why are we calling the Niners fans chippy?
Those guys are awesome. Best bloggers I’ve seen around this year.
by shoein on Oct 29, 2009 5:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007
by peytonsthebest on Oct 29, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Anyone who wants us to go 19-0 just to stick it to the Cheatriots is okay in my book.
"If God had wanted us to vote, he would have given us candidates."
Jay Leno
by MarshallPlan on Oct 29, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Phins guys were pretty good too,
but these guys are the best.
Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think
The Phins blog was the only blog us 49er fans had a problem with last season. Huh.
You can never resist the game... nor could I... we're the same, so don't even try.
by Ninjames on Oct 29, 2009 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Phins blog is insane...
I was looking for a place to chat about a dolphin game that was on, and dropped in there to say hi. Since my sig said Colts, I got immediate negative comments when I wasn’t looking for any sort of fight… heck i was gonna cheer for their team.
Never experienced that before on SBNation.
Go Colts!
by Marked Hoosier on Oct 29, 2009 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
they are an odd group
the Ask a Colts Fan thread I did over there ended up as massive with a lot of off topic, and just plain weird chatter.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Oct 29, 2009 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually Cass
I believe I saw a Phins blogger backstabbing us and talking crap in another blog although I cant for the life of me remeber which one
Bob Sanders does not play Hide-and-Seek, He plays HIDE and PRAY-HE-DOES-NOT FIND-YOU!
by coltsfan723 on Oct 29, 2009 7:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Really? Hm.
Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 8:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is it sunday yet?
hope it is a good game with no injuries!
Go Colts!
by Marked Hoosier on Oct 29, 2009 6:10 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If i was the 49ers and their fans
the one thing that would make me feel great about this match up is the 49ers OL against the Colts Dline.
Statistically, the 49ers have one of the greatest OLs in the history of football, while the Colts, conversely, are starting 4 relative unknowns, scrubs, if you will. I foresee this dominating OL stonewalling the Colts DL one-on-one, allowing Alex Smith to tear apart a pedestrian secondary, and allowing Frank Gore, who just managed 40 yards on the beastly houston defense, to run hog wild. It won’t be pretty, folks. I know I’m usually the pessimist around here, but this one could get ugly in a hurry.
by SpazMo on Oct 29, 2009 6:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The sarcasm is strong with this one......

Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.
Man, I need a life...
Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: This video right here has produced one of my favorite lines ever. It was so awesome that there has been 2 sequels. One where you must put a banana in your ear, and another where you must grab their tongues. Purely awesome.
by Cassieper on Oct 29, 2009 8:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and, in all seriousness
hope its a good game and both teams come out injury free (even though we’re not going into injury free…)
by SpazMo on Oct 29, 2009 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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