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Winning Stats Power Ranking - Week 8

Quite a bit of movement this week in the Power Rankings, as the better teams start to separate themselves from the rest of the league.  The Colts moved up 2 spots this week to #4 after their dismantling of the Rams.  As I mentioned in the Inside the Numbers article, the Colts now have the #1 offense, but a middle of the pack defense, which is keeping them at #4.

The biggest surprise on here has the be the Patriots at #2, but that mainly has to do with the fact they've played the Titans and Buccaneers, who've combined for as many wins as all of us have this year.  Their upcoming schedule of Dolphins, Colts, Jets, Saints (OMG!), and Dolphins again will show if they deserve to stay up there.

More analysis after the jump, along with the rankings:

Star-divide

Team Power Rankings Strength of Schedule
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Saints 5 2 1 3 26 11
Patriots 2 8 2 17 22 19
Broncos 7 3 3 29 11 18
Colts 1 16 4 28 27 27
Packers 6 5 5 31 24 30
Giants 12 6 6 11 29 22
Ravens 3 17 7 25 9 17
Eagles 18 1 8 22 32 32
Steelers 4 18 9 32 19 29
Vikings 11 10 10 30 14 25
Cowboys 8 20 11 20 23 20
Dolphins 10 19 12 8 6 4
Bengals 14 15 13 19 5 5
Cardinals 20 4 14 9 12 15
Texans 16 14 15 12 30 28
Falcons 9 23 16 18 8 14
Jets 23 7 17 6 20 12
Redskins 21 11 18 27 31 31
Seahawks 19 13 19 26 16 26
Chargers 13 28 20 23 7 8
Jaguars 15 27 21 21 25 24
49ers 25 9 22 15 15 21
Bears 17 24 23 24 4 10
Bills 28 12 24 10 18 16
Panthers 24 21 25 16 28 23
Chiefs 26 22 26 13 13 9
Lions 22 31 27 5 2 2
Titans 30 26 28 14 3 3
Buccaneers 29 30 29 1 21 7
Rams 27 32 30 7 10 13
Raiders 32 25 31 2 17 6
Browns 31 29 32 4 1 1

A few more thoughts from around the league:

  • Don't let common misconceptions tell you how well teams are playing.  Take a look at the Ravens, Steelers, and Cardinals.  All 3 are lauded over for the side of the football that is average at best, while excelling on the other side.  It was crazy to include Kurt Warner in any MVP talks last year, and it's even more so this year.  Likewise with the Steelers and Ravens...they are winning on Offense, and not on Defense.
  • I was talking to a buddy of mine who is an Eagles fan, and I mentioned to him about the Eagles being #1 defensively.  He was quick to point out the QBs they have faced this year:  Delhomme, Brees, Cassel, Josh Johnson, Russell, and Campbell.  They really just need Derek Anderson thrown in to make it complete.  They have had the easiest defensive schedule so far, but that is pretty obvious.
  • The Giants have really slipped the past 2 weeks, after playing some real teams.  Maybe they aren't as good as everyone in New York made them out to be.
  • The Colts schedule has been pretty easy so far this season.  Having the schedule backloaded isn't such a bad thing though.  It will keep them motivated throughout the season, and playing sharp going into January.

This weekend I'm going to attempt to get a Defensive-Adjusted Ranking.  That is, if I can figure out iterative calculations in Excel.  This will (hopefully) give us a little clearer picture as to how well these teams are playing.

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What metrics are the power ratings based on?

the “stats that count” that you’ve developed?

I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.

by Bobman on Oct 30, 2009 1:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks

I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.

by Bobman on Oct 30, 2009 3:00 AM EDT up reply actions  

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