Winning Stats Power Rankings: Week 11

The Colts 35-34 victory over the Patriots last week made some movement at the top of our rankings, as both teams moved up a spot in the Adjusted Rankings.  The Colts moved up to #3, and the Patriots now take the top spot, with the 2nd best Offense, and 8th best Defense.

As in previous weeks, I have both the Adjusted and Raw rankings, as well as the Adjusted Strength of Schedule and Future Schedule.  Let's get to the rankings:

Here are the rankings for Week 11 (click on headers to sort):
Team Power Rankings
Non-Adjusted Adjusted
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Patriots 1 12 2 2 8 1
Saints 3 1 1 3 4 2
Colts 2 15 3 1 14 3
Bengals 12 8 9 10 1 4
Steelers 4 13 7 4 13 5
Ravens 5 10 6 7 10 6
Packers 10 4 5 12 6 7
Giants 11 5 8 11 7 8
Vikings 7 7 4 9 12 9
Cowboys 6 19 12 6 22 10
Dolphins 15 18 14 13 16 11
Cardinals 19 6 13 19 5 12
Texans 14 11 11 14 18 13
Eagles 16 2 10 16 9 14
Jets 22 3 15 21 2 15
Broncos 17 16 16 17 11 16
Falcons 9 30 19 5 28 17
Chargers 8 27 18 8 31 18
49ers 27 9 23 27 3 19
Redskins 18 14 17 20 20 20
Bears 20 21 21 18 24 21
Seahawks 21 17 22 23 15 22
Panthers 23 22 24 22 19 23
Jaguars 13 29 20 15 30 24
Titans 25 24 25 25 17 25
Bills 30 20 26 28 21 26
Lions 26 31 28 26 29 27
Buccaneers 28 26 29 29 26 28
Chiefs 29 23 27 30 23 29
Rams 24 32 30 24 32 30
Browns 32 28 32 31 25 31
Raiders 31 25 31 32 27 32

Some thoughts:

  • The Colts are pretty even between Raw and Adjusted numbers, which means they've played pretty close to a league-average schedule.  It's great to see the defensively numbers up as high as they are.
  • The Bengals are just as good on paper as they are on TV.  Look for them to continue winning, as they have the easiest schedule going forward.
  • Five of the top 6 teams are in the AFC, including 3 teams in the AFC North.  The team who makes it out of there should be favored against any team in the Super Bowl.

Here's the schedule strengths:

Team Strength of Schedule
Past Future
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Browns 1 1 1 32 26 30
Bengals 4 2 2 31 32 32
Broncos 20 3 3 29 22 27
Dolphins 8 4 4 25 13 15
Buccaneers 7 9 5 7 3 4
Lions 15 5 6 2 25 10
Falcons 9 7 7 5 21 19
Titans 10 6 8 28 16 18
Ravens 6 13 9 20 8 4
Bears 3 16 10 8 11 6
Rams 11 12 11 3 30 25
Patriots 12 10 12 11 15 12
Jets 21 14 13 14 6 8
Bills 5 18 14 17 4 7
Steelers 16 15 15 18 23 21
Panthers 27 8 16 1 2 1
49ers 25 11 17 19 29 28
Chargers 18 23 18 26 27 29
Vikings 22 28 19 4 20 16
Colts 13 24 20 13 19 23
Seahawks 24 19 21 12 28 26
Cardinals 17 22 22 23 31 31
Texans 2 31 23 27 14 20
Packers 29 20 24 6 24 17
Raiders 23 21 25 9 7 3
Cowboys 19 24 26 21 10 13
Saints 26 26 27 30 12 22
Giants 28 29 28 16 5 9
Chiefs 32 17 29 22 18 24
Jaguars 14 32 30 9 17 11
Eagles 30 27 31 15 9 14
Redskins 31 30 32 24 1 2

A couple things here:

  • The Colts have played slightly tougher-than-average defenses, and some mediocre offenses, New England notwithstanding.  It will be more of the same for the rest of the season, making the Colts' schedule very manageable.
  • The Titans play a very easy offensive schedule the rest of the season.  I fully expect them to keep Vince Young next year, as long as he continues his current play.  I'm ok with that.
  • A couple weeks ago I thought the Ravens would be a cinch to get to the playoffs.  Now?  Not so much.  They'll have to win at least once against either the Colts or Steelers, and still have to go to Lambeau Field.  I'm thinking they'll be on the outside looking in.
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