Colts have the #1 defense in football
A priority of the new Colts coach Jim Caldwell this off-season was improving Indy's defense. Though the 2008 Colts were ranked high in terms of scoring defense (#6, surrendering 18.6 ppg), their inconsistent run defense and horrid execution on third down were weaknesses teams like the San Diego Chargers exploited with great success.
The tragedy that was the 2008 defense would play out as follows: The opponent would run for roughly 8 yards total on first and second down, convert third and short, and sustain long drives which would often result in points. Teams could drive between the 20s with ease, but would often stall in the redzone (thus, allowing only 18.6 ppg). Teams never blew out the Colts, but they would hang around with annoying effect, only to spring a big play on the Colts defense sometime late in a game. We saw the Titans do this last year, dominating the fourth quarter in Nashville, and the Chargers worked the same magic in overtime in the playoffs.
This season, things are a little different. When the Colts get the lead, they lay the hammer down on their opponents.
The Colts currently sport the #1 defense in football. While the typical ranking for #1 defense is usually yards per game, anyone who knows football knows that yards per game is about as important (as in, not very) as time of possession. The key stat for ranking a #1 defense is average points allowed. Yahoo Sports, who boast some very robust stats, use scoring defense is their standard for total defensive ranks. With the Denver Broncos getting blown out this past weekend against the Baltimore Ravens, the Colts have leap-frogged the Broncos as the #1 scoring defense, allowing a spectacular 13 ppg. Even in the utterly over-rated category of yards per game, the Colts are ranked very high at #9.
Just so people know just how meaningless yards per game is, the New York Giants are currently ranked 3rd in the league in fewest yards allowed per game, but are ranked 22nd in points allowed, averaging 22.9 ppg. And if you've seen NY's defense play of late, and you think they are the #3 ranked defense in the league based on the fact that they surrender an average of 278 yards a game, I personally will laugh in your face.
Back to the Colts, they also ranked #5 in sacks (20 total), #1 in passing TDs allowed (3 in total, with 2 of those three in gargage time), tied for #1 with the NY Jets in average yards per completion (5.5 yards), #4 in opposing QB rating (68.0), and tied for #1 with six other teams for allowing only one play longer than 40 yards.
Even in the longtime dreaded stat of rushing yards allowed per game, the Colts are a respectable #17, with the Miami Dolphins games still weighing down the ranking. Interesting note: Of the 16 teams ranked ahead of Indy, only the Jets (ranked 14th overall) and the Saints (ranked 11th) have faced the Dolphins Wild Cat. None of the top ten rushing defenses has had to stop that rushing attack. Just sayin'.
So, with Indy new, aggressive, attack-style defense that forces teams to throw the ball, I think the days of third down being "automatic" for the opponent are ending. Much of the credit for this defensive turnaround should go to Jim Caldwell and Larry Coyer. As we have said since, pretty much, Week Four, for all the attention Mike Nolan is getting in Denver with the Broncos defense, the guy Denver fired three years ago (Coyer) is doing an equally great job in Indy. Denver's defenses were always strong when Coyer ran them, and it was the incompetence of then-Broncos team president and head coach Mike Shanahan that held them back, never providing Coyer with decent talent on the defensive line.
Now, Coyer has LOADS of talent on the d-line, and the result is... well, he result is a typical, kick ass Coyer defense.
Obviously, they do not pass out any trophies when your team is ranked #1 in anything at Week 8. We've seen the Colts sport an impressive #1 scoring ranking before (2007) only to see injury and disaster cause them to stumble in the playoffs (again, 2007). So, nothing is written in stone and nothing is promised.
However, it does feel good to know that this defense has such great potential. If you listened to any of the post-game interview this past Sunday with Matt Stover, you heard him say how amazed he was with Indy's defense. That's saying a lot, considering Stover has spent the bulk of his storied career with the Baltimore Ravens.
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yes
now what is the rest of the league going to do going up against manning and the number one defense in the world. the number one defense in the nfl
grammer geeks you make me sick
Now, if we could just
get a serious threat in the kick-off and punt return game, to give Peyton great field position occasionally……
I think blocking is the much bigger problem
TJ is actually a decent (not the greatest in the world, but still decent) punt returner. The awful blocking just doesn’t give him much of anything to do though. (Remember what Jennings did…?)
With that kind of blocking I doubt Devin Hester, Percy Harvin, etc type of guys could do much here either.
Oh no!
I think our defense is way under the radar, nationally.
Which could be a good thing. After Sunday’s game, no one in the media even mentioned how our D shut down the 49ers in the second half. They made adjustments.
The highlight reels showed the long TD run for Frank Gore, and that’s about it.
"You can't defend the perfect throw, what can I say?" Peyton quoting Marino
"As I grow older, the list of people who can kiss my ass grows longer"-Ancient Hoosier Proverb.
And that was basically luck.
If Powers and Bethea hit Gore at even slightly different times, he goes down. They just sort of bounced off each other.
And his other runs were held under 3 YPC.
Well...
Open field tackles are hardest to make, and considering neither of those two guys are sure fire tacklers… it was a given Frank Gore was going to get that TD…
Oh no!
New England at 14 pts/g
Darn, I wish they would suck! What a monster game week 10 is going to be.
God hates the New England Patriots
I'm lucky enough to be going to that game. I can't wait.
"You can't defend the perfect throw, what can I say?" Peyton quoting Marino
"As I grow older, the list of people who can kiss my ass grows longer"-Ancient Hoosier Proverb.
Remember, they only gave up 7
points the last two weeks becuase they played the only 0-fer team in football and the Titans absolutely quit. I totally think that our defense is better in every way.
EVH+DLR=BFFr........ God I Hope So!!
+1
I have not been that impressed with New England’s defense. Their pionts/game average is skewed by the TB and Ten games. They have allowed 20+ points in three games this year. Colts have only done so once. I think the game @ Houston will be much more of a challenge than home to the Patriots.
That's what Bob Sanders bring to the table
Our defense get a boost from him just to be on the field and i expect them to get even better , on sunday bob now have a few games under his belt and our defense know they won the game and will be hungry to win another one , as i dont expect another off day with peyton , the colts win sunday 31-13
YEA
its alllll bob sanders, wooo! those 50 snaps the past 2 weeks have turned this D into the #1 scoring D in the league! When’s the statue get erected? Was Bob Sanders also responsible for the 30 points balt scored on DENs D that moved them to 13.7ppg?
didn't you know
Bob Sanders moonlights as Ray Rice
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
Ray Rice looks heavier than Bob
but it could be because he’s 2 feet shorter (which is saying something)
survey says:
Doubtful.
However, I do know that if he does do something to prove me wrong, I’ll be the first to admit it.
When he doesn’t, the vocal majority will continue to post youtube links of his hits from 5 years ago and tell us that the mere mention of his name can impregnate an elephant from 5000 miles away.
That might explain the baby elephants with dreds
I saw in Europe recently….
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
Just watched an interview
With Bethea on ESPN. Good stuff. Also, the Bucs released Andrus today. Jus’ sayin.
by Addai Another Aday on Nov 3, 2009 1:38 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Hate to be Debbie Downer, but.....
While this is good news, let’s not get too excited over these statistics. We are just 7 games into the season, and frankly the teams we have played are not exactly world beaters. Me guess is our defense is much better than last season, but is probably no where near the best in the league. By the end of the year Colts will probably be ranked around 8 to 12 in total defense. Good, but not the best.
Negative Nancy...
Why can’t you just enjoy what we have right now? Why do you feel the need to say, “We’re good right now but eventually we’re going to suck.”? Of course we are! It’s the inevitability of all things that you can’t be number 1 ALL the time. After we won the Super Bowl did you turn to your buddy and say, “Yeah, we might have won this Super Bowl but what are our chances of repeating next year?”.
If you did, remind to not invite you to my next Super Bowl party.
by peytonsurdaddy on Nov 3, 2009 6:04 PM EST up reply actions
Sorry, you are waaaay off base...
I’m the biggest Colts fan around. I still have smile on my face from the 2006 Super Bowl. I’m just giving an honest assessment about the quality of our defense. You act like our defense is the 2nd coming of the ‘85 Bears. All I’m saying is while the D is better than last year, lets not get carried away with stats 7 weeks into the season. Take a chill pill dude.
I'm not saying our D is the '85 Bears or anything...
It’s not even close. To say that I would think that is basically calling me an idiot. I’m not questioning your fanness either. Just saying since we, as fans, have no control over the outcome of the games or rankings we should enjoy what we got while we got it instead of worrying over what gloom and doom the future might bring.
by peytonsurdaddy on Nov 4, 2009 4:18 PM EST up reply actions
^^^This^^
"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007
by peytonsthebest on Nov 4, 2009 4:44 PM EST up reply actions
#1 D
Not to be a downer but as I have said in other post I don’t think are D is as good as most feel.If the D is as great as the # say then why has there not been more scoring from the D.
You have to remember we really haven’t played any teams (maybe Miami) that have a fairly good D.
Don’t take it wrong, I think the D this year is far better than we have had in some time,I will hold my judgment on how great they are when they start playing the better teams this season.
i honestly dont know what you're saying
the D isnt #1 because they don’t score more? I didn’t think it was the defenses job to score? And what does playing a team with a good D have to do with our D?
I mean, according to nfl rankings, they are the number 1 D. Its not opinion, its fact. And we’ll see in a few hours what they are according to DVOA>
A #1 D is able to force a lot of turnovers and score on those turnovers also a #1 D stops other teams from going down the field which they have on some occasions .
There’s way to much read into the # right now, the teams that the Colts have the great # from are NOT the top of the line that’s why I said I will hold my judgment on it when they start playing the better teams.
I sort of messed up on are D playing other D’s what I meant was they haven’t played a good or fairly good O line as of yet maybe MIAMI and I should add ARI.
uhm
I think that defensive TDs are pretty random and not an indicator of being the #1 defense. I think you’re falling into a trap there.
As for forcing turnovers, the Colts are +6 on the year, so they are clearly forcing turnovers. I don’t know where they stand in league wide +/-, but im sure its in the top 10.
I think you’re reading more into people’s reactions than people are reading into the #1 ranking. I don’t tihnk anyone is saying BEST DEFENSE EVER. But, regardless of competition, 7 games is no longer a fluke, its a trend. There are other teams in this league that have played easier schedules – they are still giving up points. There are teams with ‘better’ defense that are giving up more points. Its hard to hold NFL teams to 13 ppg. It doesn’t matter how bad they are. They are paid to score, too.
The most important job for any defense is to keep the oppnents from scoring
That is their main job description.
If a defense scores points, but also allows more points, it really doesn’t matter.
The #1 scoring defense (Saints) have 6 def. TDs (0.857/game) = 6 points/game, but also allow 9 more points than the Colts in every game (22 vs. 13).
What is best?
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi
by gizzardfanny on Nov 4, 2009 11:26 AM EST up reply actions
Schedule
I completely agree. Our schedule has been a piece of cake and it looks like it will be so for the rest of the year. I honestly hope that the D keeps it up but I want to see what they do against Huston and NE before I get excited.
by anitrimi on Nov 3, 2009 3:40 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
I totally agree with you about the Houston game. The defense better bring it because this is not the Houston team of the past. They were cleaning SF clock before barely pulling it out.
by chihoosierguy on Nov 3, 2009 7:53 PM EST up reply actions
Flex games
I wouldnt mind if we got flexed into playing the saints really soon. The nfl should be able to that once in a while
by minigenius1246 on Nov 3, 2009 9:38 PM EST up reply actions
More evidence of the defense being very good
We all know that the offenses the Colts have played this year have not been the best, so I started looking for another way to try to judge how good the defense is this year. I started looking at how many points teams score this year compared to how many they score against the Colts. Here is what I have found:
Team Avg/Gm Vs Colts +/-
Jac 19 12 -6
Mia 25.1 23 -2.1
Ari 22.4 10 -12.4
Sea 19.3 17 -2.3
Ten 16.3 9 -7.3
Stl 9.6 6 -3.6
SF 21 14 -7
Avg 19 13 -6
So although many of the offenses have not been good, the fact is every opposing team has not been able to get there average against the Colts. Teams are scoring almost a touchdown less against this defense which at least makes them very good.
by FtwClts01 on Nov 3, 2009 5:02 PM EST reply actions 1 recs
That's a great idicator!
"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007
by peytonsthebest on Nov 3, 2009 5:30 PM EST up reply actions
Nice
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi
by gizzardfanny on Nov 4, 2009 11:28 AM EST up reply actions
Anyone ever look
at comparing average points per drive??
I did look at it
Since I look at things game-by-game, if you have a better points/drive, you are pretty much guaranteed to win the game, so it wasn’t very interesting.
I could be looked at on a season level, which they do at Football Outsiders. The Colts are #2 on offense, #4 on defense.
FO's drive success page
could be the best page on the Internet.
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
#10 defense in DVOA
- offense and #11 STs (holy cow what a change from previous years), and the 4th best team in the league behind NE, Phil, and NO.
I'm surprised that there are no
super teams DVOA style this year. Usually there is one exceptional team at the half-way point. My guess is Indy and NO seperate themselves from the pack before the season is out.
EVH+DLR=BFFr........ God I Hope So!!
I used to like the DVOA stat
but I really stopped liking the stat after the season where he patriots were running up the score. DVOA loves a team that fake-spikes and throws touchdowns when ahead 150+ points in the fourth whereas a team running down the clock would be penalized.
The 2007 Patsies of course had monster DVOA, but in the end there were not as good as advertised.
God hates the New England Patriots
I'm pretty sure it has adjustments for garbage time (but I could be wrong)
and just because they didn’t win the Superbowl doesn’t mean they weren’t a good team, any more than the 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2007 and 2008 Colts teams not winning a title would mean they weren’t very good football teams. The outcomes of games have a big element on chance in them. One reason I like Advanced NFL Stats even though they aren’t as in-depth as FO is that the presentation of their stats explicitly states the role of chance. Teams are measured by the probability they’d beat an average team at a neutral site. It directly acknowledges that even a team as good as the Colts have been so far would lose to a spectacularly mediocre team a non-trivial portion of the time.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
Tough day for former Colts
Edge and Andrus both waived.
by Addai Another Aday on Nov 3, 2009 7:05 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Whoa, freakin' Edge???
I say we cut Simpson instantly. No, make that yesterday, to sign Edge.
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
It sucks...
…that OD is out for the year.
Now if the Colts win the excuses will start flying. Whatever.

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