Week 8, Advanced Stat Roundup

by shake n bake on Nov 5, 2009 9:11 PM EST in Colts Analysis

We interrupt this injury wave for a look at the stats.

Over at Advanced NFL Stats the Colts remain in the top spot. With the 3rd ranked O, the 8th ranked D and the 4th lowest penalty rate. The Colts still hold onto the top spot in passing efficiency on both O and D. The Colts are given an 86% chance of winning Sunday by their projection.

Our old friend Wolfpack Steelers Fan runs a comparison of the Colts and Saints. He gives a slight edge to the Saints largely on the basis of SOS adjustment and run-pass balance. My two objections are that a significant amount of yardage is hidden from the numbers he uses in the form of penalties, where the Colts are among the cleanest playing teams and the Saints merely average. The second point I'd raise is that pass O and pass D have been shown to have a stronger relationship with winning, than run O and D.

At FO the Colts are one of 5 very good, but not all time great teams in the league this year sitting in the 11th to 25th range in DVOA among the teams of the last 16 years. The Colts are ranked 4th overall, but are given the 2nd best odds of a Superbowl Title and best odds of an AFC Title by virtue of the two game lead they have on the current DVOA favorite, and evil empire New England Patriots.

More with FO after the jump

The Colts took a tumble from their #1 offensive ranking down to third. They still have the top Pass O, but Rushing O slipped backwards to 16th. The Colts made the same 2 spot fall on defense, landing at 10th in the league. The pass D remains among the best at 5th, but the run D has sagged to 23rd in the league.

Bringing up the rear of the Colts units is the Special Teams, not an unusual sight, but the margin is unusually narrow. The Colts special teams are nipping at the top 10s heels despite using Jaime Silva as a punt returner. According to FO's numbers the Colts kickoff units have been the 3rd best in the league, and the punt units 8th. The FG/XPs have even risen to nearly average, thanks to a 4/4 day from Matt Stover. The return units are still poor, but aren't preventing the special teams as a whole to contribute.

You may now resume worrying about all the injuries.

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Comments

thanks for the break away from injury talks lol but throwing us back in doesn't do much.

hey do you know of any site where you can see who is on the practice squads for each team if so id like to look at it if you can let me know?

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Nov 5, 2009 9:17 PM EST reply actions

each team page has their practice squads

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

by shake n bake on Nov 5, 2009 9:31 PM EST up reply actions

like Colts.com

you can get links from NFL.com to each teams official site.

Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.

by shake n bake on Nov 5, 2009 9:32 PM EST up reply actions

ok thats what i tryed i went to nfl.com and stuff but didn't see practice squads ill look again

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Nov 5, 2009 9:33 PM EST up reply actions

ok i got it now thanks lol

GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!

by TheAngelsColts on Nov 5, 2009 9:37 PM EST up reply actions

DVOA loves

When teams run up the score like the Patriots do. I don’t think running up the scores is a good predictor of future succes though.

Let’s hope for a big “coming down to earth” party for the patsies in week 10.

God hates the New England Patriots

by Juri on Nov 6, 2009 4:58 AM EST reply actions

"and evil empire New England Patriots."

That’s the first Patriots cheap-shot I’ve seen around here in a while (in an article). With an epic Pats game coming up next week (Super Bowl XLIII and 1/2, anyone?), it’s gonna feel like old times again.

Now a proud annoyance on Stampede Blue, 18to88, Indy Football Report, and Phil B's blog.

Man, I need a life...

Random fact of the week from the empty void that is my mind: Viz Media (The creators of my absolute favorite show of all-time and inspiration to my avatar, Naruto) just announced a partnership with the channel Disney XD to bring the English-dubbed episodes of Naruto Shippuden (The continuation of the Naruto series) to that station with a new episode airing each week, starting, well, NOW. With the series recording I just put on it, this is one of the greatest days I've had in a long time. I'm not kidding. I love the show that much.

by Cassieper on Nov 6, 2009 6:47 AM EST reply actions

Joey Porter is taking is some huge shots in his latest interview with NFLN

Saying he hates them because they are cheaters and that Brady can call for a flag when he wants to.

Also, in their last game during warmups, NE was kicking balls over their heads as a way of disrespecting them. He said that wasn’t going to happen again! The warmups are going to be really interesting to watch.

God hates the New England Patriots

by Juri on Nov 6, 2009 8:19 AM EST reply actions