A little discussion about the 2009 Most Valuable Player Award
I'm a Colts blogger. So, naturally, I'm going to tell you that Peyton Manning is the 2009 NFL MVP. And while there is the rather annoying sentiment out there that "They could give it to Peyton every year," the truth of the matter is the MVP award often goes to the best player in the NFL who also happens to be making a playoff run. If the MVP goes to any other sort of player, it cheapens the award; makes it nothing more than a popularity contest on par with the Pro Bowl, American Idol, and a local bar's wet tee-shirt contest.
And when you look through the numbers, the wins, and the overall play of the candidates, there is absolutely no doubt that, right now, Peyton Manning is the league's Most Valuable Player.
When judging candidates, you must first ask the following question: Are the players everyone is blabbing about making a playoff run? MVP candidates must make the playoffs. It's embarrassing if they don't. If you disagree, fine. You're clearly in the minority. In the history of the modern NFL, no MVP winner has missed the playoffs.
This means that if you are considering a player like Titans runningback Chris Johnson, the answer is no.
The Titans are done for 2009. If by some miracle they get in, it's because some other team choked and the Titans were lucky enough to back-in to post-season play. Doing this suggests that the faults of another team were the reason why the candidate is in the playoffs, and not the play of the candidate himself. Plus, in a monster game against the Colts last weekend, with a chance to climb out of a 0-6 hole and get back to .500, Chris Johnson was held out of the endzone all day with his longest run only accumulating 11 yards. That's not MVP play.
Thus, Chris Johnson (who is still the best RB in football, I might add) is out.

The second thing you absolutely must cut out of the equation is sentimentality. This is an award for athletic excellence, not a lifetime achievement award. This is why I got so frustrated and annoyed with my own colleagues at SB Nation last year when half of them voted for Chad Pennington as Most Valuable Player.
Chad Pennington? Really?
The term "value" is not divorced from the term "good." And while Chad Pennington is certainly not a bad quarterback, you are a moron of truly epic proportion if you think Chad Pennington is as good a QB as Peyton Manning. In the case of my SB Nation colleagues, I think they forgot to include the "good" in with the "valueable."
This year, the sentimental pick is Brett Favre. Big Whigs like Peter King practically have their vote for Favre cast, regardless of what they are publicly writing. But even before his little stumble Sunday night in Arizona against the Cardinals, Favre was not a true MVP candidate. While there is no doubt that Favre's numbers are some of the best of his truly great career, the fact of the matter is the Vikings have played the kind of schedule that would make the UFL champion Las Vegas Locomotives look like world beaters. The Vikings have played the 25th toughest schedule in the league, with teams like the Lions (twice), Browns, and Rams all counted as wins on their schedule. Against two potential playoff contenders, the Steelers and the Cardinals, Favre has played some of his worst football. Both those games were on the road, and an MVP candidate must show that he can help his team win big games on the road.
Thus, Brett Favre (who is a truly amazing player, regardless of what the haters think or say) is out.

This leaves us with two truly viable candidates, and only two: Peyton Manning of the Colts and Drew Brees of the Saints.
The MVP "race" is between these two gentlemen, and anyone suggesting otherwise is just wasting your time. Both are putting up amazing numbers. Both are QBs on teams that have yet to lose a game. But when you truly compare both candidates, the argument for Brees shrivels up and dies rather quickly.
Now, before we get into the details, please note that all of this goes out the window if and when the Colts start resting Manning once their playoff position is locked up. If the Colts start resting people going into the playoffs while the Saints continue to play starters in meaningless games, Drew Brees will indeed win the MVP. The press will love the Saints for "Going for Perfection" and reward them with an MVP vote for their QB.

Does this kind of thing cheapen the MVP award? Yes, and the main reason why is the Saints (like the Vikings) have played a cupcake schedule. Also, with three of their last four games against the dreadful Buccaneers, the sorry Panthers, and the disappointing (and injured) Falcons, the prospects are very high of the Saints building big leads against these clubs early only to (shock!) rest starters in the second half of those games. Meanwhile, the Colts play the Broncos and Jaguars in back-to-back weeks. Both teams are currently in the playoff picture, but need to keep winning if they want to remain in. Following the Jags game, the Colts play the desperate New York Jets, who are still in playoff contention, but are on the outside looking in. So, that's three games against potential playoff teams with one or two of those games being utterly meaningless for the Colts.
However, regardless of whether the Colts will rest starters or not, Peyton Manning should indeed win his fourth (and NFL record setting) MVP award. The Colts have played the 7th toughest schedule in the NFL. The Saints have played the 24th toughest. Indy also plays in the NFL's toughest division, with all four teams potentially ending the season with .500 or better records. In games against quality opponents like the Patriots, Ravens, Cardinals, Titans, Jaguars, Dolphins, and Texans, Peyton Manning has thrown for 2,750 yards, 20 TD, and 10 INTs.
Consider those numbers and then compare them to Brees, who has feasted on teams like the Bucs, Panthers, Bills, Rams, Redskins (who the Saints almost lost to), and Lions. Now, obviously, Brees cannot control the teams on the Saints schedule. However, when comparing candidates, especially two quarterbacks playing extremely well for two undefeated teams, you absolutely must take into account who they have played. So far, Manning trumps Brees in this area.
Manning is also currently leading the league in passing yardage (3,685 yards) as well as completion percentage (70%). The fact that Manning is doing all this with the #32 ranked rushing attack and (essentially) two rookie wide receivers is nothing short of astounding.
Overall, the MVP race should be an exciting one as we head into the home stretch for the 2009 regular season. And, unlike last year, laughably bad candidates (like Kurt Warner) are not polluting the competition for the award. But, at the end of the day, this award is Manning's. He has played better than Brees against better competition, and has shown an uncanny ability to do more with less around him.
If you have thoughts or other ideas on the MVP candidates, please add them to the comments below.
[UPDATE]: Be sure to check out DevilsReject's FanPost on the MVP race as well.
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Great article BBS
But do you really think King would cast a ballot for Farve over Peyton after ranking Peyton #1 in his MVP race ever since week 2? Today on the Dan Patrick show they were joking about how Peter King would leave his wife for Peyton Manning if he had longer hair.
I wouldn’t say the Titans would back into the playoffs. Going 9-1 in the final ten is hardly “backing in.” And 9-7 still might get it done, given the number of 6-6 teams right now…
Also, you should probably have mentioned the Saints running game and all the turnovers their D has been getting. Those have helped them a lot. Peyton’s biggest edge over Brees is that everyone kind of knows what they’re going to get against the Colts and still can’t stop it. The Saints have more balance. Though the Colts are improving in that area, of course.
Sounds
Alot like my arguement I made a last week to be honest…
http://www.stampedeblue.com/2009/12/3/1184326/most-valuable-player-not-flashiest
I like your comments and your view point, as obviously, they already mirror my own…
Going to have to disagree a bit here
Brees playing until the end of the season and going for perfection doesn’t “cheapen” the MVP race at all. In all honesty, the resting of the players is a pet peeve of mine. Even prior to starting a trend for playoff losses. Of course that could be debated, but if the schedule consists of 16 games, I’d like to watch my team play for 16 games. I’m not really a fan of having the opportunity to see 8 of our 20 games resemble preseason games.
I’d actually like to take this opportunity to point out something that I’ve had going on in my head for a few months now. If you take into account all the games Peyton has sat, he’s honestly played at least a full year less than his stats reflect. Which is mind boggling if you think about that.
Jim Sorgi runs a 4.6 40. That's all I've got to say about that.
sounded like he was saying it cheapened it in that
they use the fact that one QB played the whole season and the other rested at the end against that QB in the MVP race
GO COLTS!!! 09 IS OURS!!!
by TheAngelsColts on Dec 9, 2009 3:55 PM EST up reply actions
I know that's what he meant
But if they go 16-0 and he has higher stats, you can’t really hold it against him if Peyton sits at say…14-0 and we go 14-2 and he ends up with lower stats. That’s like running 4 miles alongside someone in a 5 mile race and saying you won the race because you were slightly ahead of them at mile 4.
Jim Sorgi runs a 4.6 40. That's all I've got to say about that.
I agree with all of these points.
Yet, I could see the AP giving the award to Brees and Manning, just like in 2003 with Manning and McNair. The Colts would have to finish 16-0 though. If the Colts rest their starters and finish 14-2 while Brees and the Saints finish 16-0 then Brees will win.
"Pressure is something you feel if you don't know what the hell you're doing."-Peyton Manning
by P0RKINS2 on Dec 9, 2009 3:34 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Keep in mind, there is no one person or even a committee that awards this
50 people vote (more or less) and the votes are tallied. I think they give 1st, 2nd, 3rd place votes with each place getting a specific point total, so a tie is pretty darn unlikely.
If it was one person or a committee of 12, I could see them saying “I can’t decide, let’s make it a tie” especially this year. But the AP doesn’t make that decision, unless the numbers tally up to it. If Brees has 261 pts and Manning has 260, then it’s Drew’s award; that’s the way it goes.
Not sure if you meant that, it it seemed to be implied above.
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
Manning is definitely the MVP
great article BBS
I also wanted to add that the Vikings and Saints have actually played the 31st and 30th hardest schedules respectively according to sagarin:
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl09.htm?loc=interstitialskip
29th and 30th according to FO:
http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2009/week-13-dvoa-ratings
Brees is just as legitimate a candidate as Peyton, IMO. Peyton obviously wins out
as Brees has such a good run game this year that they’ll win even w/o him being his best.
Also, I liked Kurt Warner and Pennington last year as well. I didn’t think any of them were close to Peyton, but I didn’t think they were horrible candidates. Again it was about most valuable and Warner last year had the worst run D and still did great. The 8-8 record hurt, but he was a good candidate. Pennington didn’t deserve it at all since most of what Miami did last year was their run game.
I don’t mind even if he doesn’t win it, but he has been the MVP through week 13.
Which is it?
You’ve been trumpeting how good Addai and running game has been over the last 2 months, and now you’re saying the rushing O is last in the league?
Contradict yourself much?
By yardage, it is. You can be a successful running team without running the ball a lot. You’re just more successful when you do.
Manning makes it Wayne on 'dem hoes! Wayne on 'dem hoes! Wayne on 'dem hoes!
http://monkeybiziu.deviantart.com
by MonkeyBusiness on Dec 9, 2009 3:45 PM EST up reply actions
Um, what?
Seriously, you do realize there is more to a running game than just Joseph Addai, don’t you? Addai has played well all year, even though the running game itself has not.
That makes sense for you?
Maybe next time you will, perhaps, calm down a little before you start making contradiction claims?
SB Nation's Indianapolis Colts blogger at Stampede Blue. Please make an account so you can post a FanPost, make a FanShot, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.
being a good running back
implies more than just gaining a bunch of yards.
Btw, take it easy BBS.
"We’re only going to score 17 points? haha...OK" - Tom Brady
the rushing O is the least prolific
they have accumulated the least yardage. That’s just the facts. What Addai and the rest of the running game are being praised for is efficiency and converting key situations.
The point is that Peyton is clearly the main mover in the offense.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
I'll get into it on Friday
But the Colts are #1 in RB Success, when adjusted for defenses.
Yes, they are pretty damn good.
Creator and developer of the Winning Stats.
This is the point.
Thanks mgrex03 and shake. All I’m saying is that saying the running game is 32nd in the league is a bit misleading. The running game has been efficient and effective when needed. Saying Manning is great because the running game is 32nd in the league makes it seem like he has no help and he’s doing all this in spite of the running game.
The reality is that the running game is efficient, but they do not rely on it because of Peyton’s greatness (thus leading to the 32nd overall yardage ranking, or whatever that number refers to). That is why Peyton should be the MVP, because he has a fairly solid running game and they don’t use it because of him and his abilities. Either that, or the main reason why the running game is efficient is because of Manning and the defensive backfield adjustments defenses are forced to bring against him. At least both of those sound much more compelling to me.
BTW, I don’t think it’s unfair to equate the running game and Addai, because he’s done most of the work. Also, I think you have been rubbing it all over the faces of the naysayers of Addai during the offseason about how great he’s been, so I found it odd (thus the contradiction) that you would come out and use a statistic saying the running game is ranked 32nd to praise Manning. Yes, I know rushing statistics are not the only measure of Addai (as referenced above), so I will cede the point that you made explaining the difference between Addai and the running game, even though Addai is the main contributor to the running game and should hold some responsibility over it’s numbers.
I think it depends on what’s going on, schedule wise. If the Colts get HFA then lose, then it’s kind of like “Well, whatever, it was a meaningless game, they said they weren’t going for 16-0”. If the Saints get HFA and lose, then it’s like “Well, they said they were going for 16-0 and lost.”
So, here are the scenarios:
1) Colts lose 2-3 games, Saints go 16-0: Brees
2) Colts go 16-0, Saints lose 2-3 games: Manning
3) Colts and Saints lose 2-3 games: Whoever has the better record.
4) Colts and Saints go 16-0: Split MVP.
Of course, those are the reasonable options, and we all know that the people that elect MVPs aren’t reasonable (see Brett Favre getting votes last year)
Manning makes it Wayne on 'dem hoes! Wayne on 'dem hoes! Wayne on 'dem hoes!
http://monkeybiziu.deviantart.com
Teams with Winning Records
Fair enough about the easy schedules of the Saints and Vikings, but how about we look at stats against teams with winning records. Both Indy and NO have played three games against teams with winning records with both having two of them at home and one on the road. Like you said, they can’t control putting up nice stats against poor teams, so here they are against winning teams
Brees: (@PHI, NYG, NE) 69/87 (79.3), 1051 yds, 12 TD, 1 INT, 12.08 YPA
Manning: (JAC, @ARZ, NE) 80/117 (68.4), 1007, 9 TD, 4 INT, 8.61 YPA
You can preemptively blame sitting your starters for Brees winning it, or say Brees has more talent around him (no mention of how good the Colts defense in comparison to New Orleans), or even say he’s inflated his stats against inferior competition.
But, it just ain’t the truth
I really believe Peyton and Brees are both deserving.
But Peyton is MVP. /no bias here at all lol.
"You can't defend the perfect throw, what can I say?" Peyton quoting Marino
"As I grow older, the list of people who can kiss my ass grows longer"-Ancient Hoosier Proverb.
Maybe Peyton is just
LMVP? Lori’s Most Valuable Player….just a thought ;)
Bob Sanders does not play Hide-and-Seek, He plays HIDE and PRAY-HE-DOES-NOT FIND-YOU!
that would work for me, too
LovinBlue / Laura’s Most Valuable Player
How can you not love a team that does this?
haha
there you go!
=P
Bob Sanders does not play Hide-and-Seek, He plays HIDE and PRAY-HE-DOES-NOT FIND-YOU!
Good article
It has a few flaws though the only way to truly compare apples to apples is by common opponent and how each did against them
That would be the Dolphins the Rams and the Pats so far and the Jets and the Bills by the end of the season then we can compare and see so far i would say Drew Brees had a much better game against the Pats and the Dolphins Peyton Manning against the Rams
Drew had a average game against the Jets nothing special and a good game against the Bills
Really, none of these comparisons work. They are both amazing.
Everything is so close that Saints fans are going to think Brees and Colts fans are going to say Manning.
Co-MVP is a possibility right now.
BTW, Peyton had an amazing game against the Dolphins. He had the ball for less than a quarter and beat them. The game was one that Peyton singlehandedly won for us. No way Brees had a “much” better game against the Dolphins than Peyton. Brees obviously had a great game against the Pats (one for the ages), but Peyton didn’t do badly. He obviously did fantastic against the Rams.
Peyton probably won’t have more than one series against the Bills and maybe a half against the Jets. We’ll see.
Right conclusion, Wrong argument
BBS is right the Manning is the MVP of the league, but, as usual, he makes the wrong argument.
Yes, Manning is the MVP, but it’s not because Brees is undeserving or has only had success because of playing lesser opponents. Bress is a great QB. He is very deserving of the award. The reason I believe this is because I believe Manning’s value to the Colts to be greater than Brees’ value to the Saints. Both, however, are equally deserving.
My argument with BBS is how he forms his opinion. His argument against Brees is that Brees’ accomplishments are somehow tainted because they’ve come against lesser opponents. This is a completely flawed argument. Should we throw out all games played by MVP candidates against lesser opponents?
BBS also intentionally ignores facts to support his argument. He conveniently omits Brees’ game against the Pats two weeks ago – maaybe the most dominating performance played by a QB this season – in making his argument against Brees. BBS stated, “Brees… has feasted on teams like the Bucs, Panthers, Bills, Rams, Redskins (who the Saints almost lost to), and Lions.” Apparently, BBS forgot that Brees also lead his team to victory over the Eagles, Jets, Giants, Dolphins and Pats.
Another point in this article that I’d like to refute is BBS’ claim that Peter King has it out for Peyton Manning and the Colts. BBS writes, “Big Whigs like Peter King practically have their vote for Favre cast, regardless of what they are publicly writing.”
My question is, what else other than King’s public writing leads BBS to believe that he would cast a vote for any one other than Peyton Manning. Just yesterday, in Peter King’s mailbag, King wrote, “…the overriding thing about the Colts is as long as they play decent defense (just decent) and Manning is playing, they’ll be serious contenders every year. Manning just does so much that goes unrecognized and unappreciated.” Not to mention that King listed Peyton Manning at the top of his MVP rankings on Monday.
Has BBS discovered secret files, which reveal King will and has always intended to vote for Farve? Does BBS follow King home at night? Tap his phone? Go through his garbage? It’s hypocritical to claim you are someone who looks at the facts to draw his or her opinions, which BBS claims to have done when deciding Manning is the MVP; but then make a claim that all available evidence deems to be incorrect, like saying King will vote for Farve when, two days ago, King himself wrote that he would vote for Manning.
My conclusion, given all the evidence, is that King’s writings are more football savvy and intelligent than the articles, reasonings and conclusions that BBS puts down.
Do better, BBS.
This does not fufill the point
And while Chad Pennington is certainly not a bad quarterback, you are a moron of truly epic proportion if you think Chad Pennington is as good a QB as Peyton Manning.
No one thought he was as good as Peyton Manning, but I’m sure a lot of people realized that the fact of the matter was that he was one of the main reasons that a 1-15 Dolphins team turned into a 11-5 team. Sure you can argue that Tom Brady was out and the Dolphins had an easy schedule and blah, blah, blah. But that isn’t the point, the Colts are expected to basically make the playoffs every year and the Dolphins were expected to be as bad as they were the year before. Chad Pennington came in and was more valuable for the Dolphins that year than anyone else could be. Regardless of if he isn’t as good as Peyton Manning or whatever, he continued to prove how underrated he is and how valuable he can be.
In the case of my SB Nation colleagues, I think they forgot to include the “good” in with the "valueable.
Although valuable is spelled wrong in the above quote, I think that the point is still a bad one. Last season Chad Pennington had the number one completion percentage in the league, had the second highest quarterback rating, and ranked 28th in interceptions while Peyton Manning was tied for 11th with 5 other quarterbacks. I think that is pretty good for a quarterback who is as underrated as Pennington is. So in three categories he was “better” than Peyton Manning was. So don’t discredit him as not being good along with valuable.
Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman
Nicky forever.
by dolphinsinbuffalo on Dec 9, 2009 8:31 PM EST reply actions
One thing that is almost universally overlooked in evaluating QBs, since they retain most of the credit/criticism for the outcome of a game is the way their offense is tailored. Guys like Pennington and Favre (this year at least) play on running teams that are set up to pound the ball with the back most plays and keep the quarterback under 30 attempts, thus lightening the load and allowing the coordinator to put them in a position to succeed. The best QBs in the league are almost the exact inverse of this. Brees and Peyton shoulder the load for their team more often than not, passing the ball in order to get yards is the way of the offense, with the run being thrown in more selectively.
Have you watched games Brett Favre has played in this year?
It isn’t the running game that wins the game. Without him they would not be 10-2 just because of their run game.
Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman
Nicky forever.
by dolphinsinbuffalo on Dec 10, 2009 6:16 PM EST up reply actions
The Vikings were
10-6 LAST YEAR with a crappier QB under center. To say that this team wouldnt or couldnt be 10-2 with their schedule is hilarious…
by DevilsReject on Dec 10, 2009 8:38 PM EST up reply actions
Really?
Did you watch the Vikings-49ers game when he threw a touchdown with how many seconds left? 3? That would have been a loss with out the beautiful throw and even better catch of Lewis. He dodged like two sacks before he made that throw, I’m doubting that Tavaris Jackson would have made that throw. Do you think Tavaris Jackson would have had 3 touchdowns in a 33-30 win vs. the Ravens? Favre has been an excellent game manager for the Vikings this year and you can’t run a run-offense with out a game manager like him, which shows he is one of the main reasons they are 10-2. There is no way to argue around him being one of the main reasons, if not the main reason they are 10-2 especially seeing how his TD-INT ratio this year is 26-5, having one more touchdown than Peyton Manning and 6 fewer interceptions.
Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman
Nicky forever.
by dolphinsinbuffalo on Dec 10, 2009 9:08 PM EST up reply actions
Still wrong..
The Vikings were the choice of the NFC North from the start of the year, as they were expected to compete for the top slot in the NFC.
Favre does make the Vikings a better team, of that there is no question. However, to say that this team wouldn’t be in the same situation they are in right now with Jackson under center is also nonsense.
Jackson is a better mobile QB and he really started showing himself last year. Think about the Steelers game. With Jackson in at QB, the Steelers now have to defend a running QB and a throwing QB as well as AP. It just creates matchup problems. So while Favre makes that throw in the 49ers game, who says with Jackson under center that the Vikings are ever in that position to begin with.
Jackson dropped 4 TD’s on Arizona last year on 11 of 17 passing for 165 yards….the same team that dropped 20+ pts on the Steelers in the SB.
The single point I’m making is that while Favre improves the Vikings, he is not the single reason why they are as good as they are. If Favre got hurt, the Vikings would still be a threat in the playoffs. If the Colts or Bengals lost their QB, there is such a huge dropoff with their backups that the team would no longer be the same.
by DevilsReject on Dec 11, 2009 9:05 AM EST up reply actions
I still disagree.
You can’t say what Jackson might have done or might have not done to make them be in certain situations or not be in those situations because you don’t know. The only thing you do know is where the Vikings are now and the numbers Favre has put up. I stand by it, without him they would not be 10-2.
Don't question my fandominium.
"the notorious D.I.B."- samdaman
Nicky forever.
by dolphinsinbuffalo on Dec 11, 2009 9:12 AM EST up reply actions
Absolutely disagree on something MileHigh
Drew Brees DID NOT lead his team to victory over the Bills and Jets, and more importantly, the Eagles game was played against the backup QB…..The Defense won those games for him vs. the Jets and Bills…
Drew Brees failed to throw a TD against the Jets and the Bills, and didnt even crack 200 yards passing either…. and sure the win against the Eagles looks good on paper….but they were playing a team without their star QB. It’s like playing the Colts without Peyton Manning…
Meanwhile, the Saints D allowed an unknown player to drop almost 400 yards of offense on them…..
As for Chad Pennington, the guy is a gamer, whether anyone wants to give the man his props or not. He’s been one of the most efficient QB’s in all of football when he hasnt been hurt. He doesn’t put up the numbers like Peyton, but he gets it done. More importantly, the Dolphins game vs. the Saints was extremely different circumstances than against the Colts as the Phins were without Pennington.
The defense has won Peyton games as well.
The Defense also made sure any mistakes by the offense are minimized. I don’t care if Peyton wins the MVP, because this year’s group is a true team.
By that logic...
Manning shouldn’t have won the MVP last year, considering he had bad games against Jacksonville in Week 2, Green Bay in Week 7 and the defense bailed him out against the Viking in Week 2 and the Texans in Week 5.
And if allowing an unknown player to rake up a ton of yards against them, than the Colts defense would have disqualified Manning from his first two MVPs.
You and BBS are looking for illogical flaws in the Saints and Drew Brees. Flaws that neither disqualify them from being a great team or an excellent MVP candidate. In the end, the MVP will be decided based upon how the voters interpret the definition of the award – Most Valuable Player.
If it’s based on a player’s perceived “value” to their team, than it will be Manning. This is how I interpret the award. However, if it’s based on stats (More TDs, Higher QB rating) and team success (the Saints blowing teams out might sway some voters), than it will be Brees.
by MileHighHoosier on Dec 9, 2009 10:57 PM EST up reply actions
just make it a manning-brees co-mvp
"You only get intercepted when you don't know what your doing, I knew what I was Doing".
Johnny Unitas
---UHHHHHH I GOT MY JACK "THE ASSASSIN" TATUM JERSEY!!!!!!! SO FRESH AN SO CLEAN CLEAN SO FRESH AND SO CLEAN---
by 805 on Dec 9, 2009 9:31 PM EST reply actions
Why Brees and not Manning is the MVP
Manning leads in a lot of the statistical categories…but if that’s the criteria for judgement, simply look at the stats at the end of the year. If you do that, Brees was the MVP last year (if you want to limit it to quarterbacks, that is), and he’s the MVP this year, too.
And your criterion that the MVP must play for a playoff-bound team is weak. Since there are no real rules to this purely subjective decision, you’re simply trying to impose one that gives Manning a better chance. (And it’s a strange criterion for a Colts fan to be using…considering that each year he’s won, the Colts have been knocked out of the playoffs.)
Here’s why Brees is the better candidate: the Saints have scored more points (many more), and more importantly have a greater average margin of victory than do the Colts. In other words, while the Colts have been winning relatively low-scoring games behind a resurgent defense, the Saints have been winning high-scoring affairs on the strength of their offense—led by Brees. The Saints depend on Drew to play lights out…and he does. Peyton has more passing yards than Brees; but Drew owns stats that count for a whole lot more: TDs. He has 29 to Manning’s 25. Manning throws a TD every 15.8 attempts; but Brees throws one every 13.5. He also has fewer interceptions (10 vs. 11) and a much better TD/INT ratio (2.9/1 vs. 2.2/1). All that adds up to a significantly higher passer rating: 111.3 to 101.9—almost 10 points higher.
You can make a very good argument for Peyton Manning as MVP, and I’m sure many of the voters will. It will be a close-run thing. But to say that there’s “absolutely no doubt” that Manning is the MVP is silly. If there’s no doubt…why bother to argue the point?
Super Bowl 44: "If you play in this league and it's not your goal, there's something wrong with you." -- Marques Colston
MVP is about a combination of things, not just statistics. It's obviously Most Valuabe Player.
The team has to be a successful one because if your stats don’t help you win, they’re not really valuable.
You’re correct that you can’t say “there’s absolutely no doubt” Manning is the MVP. But I would say he has the lead right now. Now I think at the end of the year, they might end up being co MVPs or Brees could take it, but currently he has the edge.
Manning also has a higher completion percentage, fewer fumbles (none lost), fewer sacks, etc. The point is the stats are so close b/w the two of them that it’s not about the stats anymore. They’re both playing superbly. They’ve both helped their teams be 12-0. The question for the voters will who is more valuable to their team. What would the Saints be like w/o Brees and what would the Colts be w/o Manning? That’s the question. As many say, Manning’s the system for the Colts. For Colts fans, we can never imagine a player more valuable than him. We’re biased. I’ve no problem if Manning doesn’t win it (even though I think he deserves it) or if he shares with someone deserving like Drew Brees (who I love.)
Just because everytime Manning hasn’t won the MVP we’ve not won the SB doesn’t mean that will happen this year. After all, there have plenty of years when he hasn’t won the MVP and he still hasn’t won the SB. One thing has nothing to do with the other.
But margin of victory relies on defense and special teams
How can that reflect directly on an award given to an offensive player? So if his D has generated 56 points (including PATs on return TDs) that is credit in Brees’s account? NO.
As I indicate below, Brees has had 16 more series to work with, so I’d HOPE he has four more TDs or so and his team has scored more. It’s like giving him two extra games—would anybody say that is fair to have one guy graded on 18 games and one on just 16? No. Then why give him credit for the extra possessions?
I’m not saying Brees is not worthy, but I think some of your criteria above are weak.
Brees has a leading running game, which could hurt him. The impression most folks have is that the Colts can’t run, which helps Manning. Of course, like in Edge’s later years, the run game in NO could thrive because two safeties are always deep and never in the box, meaning that the QB should get some credit for those rushing yards as well in my view. I don’t know if that’s the case in NO, just putting it out as an example.
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
Bear in mind
that all my arguments above in favor of Brees were primarily meant as a criticism of the main contention of the article: that there’s “absolutely no doubt” that Manning is the MVP.
John Madden once described “indisputable proof” as meaning that ten random guys in a bar will all agree on it. “Absolutely no doubt” has to fall in that same category. As long as there are plausible arguments in favor of another candidate (and if Chris Johnson breaks the record for rushing yards, he’s got to be a legitimate candidate too…no matter where his team winds up), then this article is off base.
Super Bowl 44: "If you play in this league and it's not your goal, there's something wrong with you." -- Marques Colston
Totally agree with you on this point. If the season ended today, Peyton would certainly be my pick for MVP, but Brees has a hell of a resume as well. As for what you said about he playoffs, that’s true too, especially considering that O.J. won it in 73 on a non-playoff Bills team (might wanna edit that bit BBS).
All I will say right now is
Colts have had 121 offensive drives (10 per game)
Saints and Vikes 137 each
Packers 141
In essence, two MVP candidates and one high-stats generator have all had 7-8 quarters worth of extra possessions to work with. They should have cumulative stats (like TDs, yardage) that are superior by 15-20% or the conversation should just stop.
Favre’s TD/INT ratio is mighty… as of today.
SD has had 122 possessions, so Rivers’s stats are at least apples to apples with Manning’s, and their run support has been roughly equivalent, I’d guess.
What’s sad is that, like declaring Brady the top QB because of three rings, a lot of voters will vote for whichever QB has a TEAM that goes undefeated—individual award for a team effort. There’s SOME logic to it, but it doesn’t quite make sense to me. Now the 4th quarter comeback wins, though team achievements, usually come down to one or two decisive series and can be deconstructed play by play and credit given to individuals. In this regard, Manning has a HUGE leg up.
I hate Joe Namath. That's how long I've been a Colts fan.
I'm for Brees but you'll never hear me say anything bad about Manning
There has been enough debate of statistics so I won’t even get into it. What I will say is that both Brees and Manning are deserving of the MVP. It’s a shame one of them will not get it. If neither of them were to get it, it would be….I can’t even think about it.
Being from New Orleans means I’m in hopes that Drew gets the nod because he’s a Saint and I feel he has earned it. But, being from New Orleans also means that I have nothing but the highest regard for the Manning family. Looking at Peyton’s entire career, I don’t think anyone would question he is one of the best, if not the best, QB’s in NFL history.
The truth of the matter is neither team would be in the position they’re in right now without their quarterback. I think both Saint and Colt fans can be happy that we’re both undefeated and clearly have the two best teams in the league until someone else proves different. And, most importantly, we share this distinction because of two incredibly gifted athletes who also possess high character and leadership skills.
As it appears the Saints intend on going for an undefeated season, I hope the Colts do also. And, they are both successful in the attempt. Imagine a Super Bowl with two undeated teams going at it. It would be like nothing before. And, the ‘72 Dolphins wouldn’t have anyone to root for.
If this were to happen, I’d settle for Peyton getting the regular season MVP if Drew can get the Super Bowl MVP.
All of you missed the real cheapshot in this write up
BBS totally bashed the wet tee shirt contest at the local bar.
Some of those girls really deserved to win and worked very hard bro.
Sorry
I humbly beg forgiveness.
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You say Drew Brees has “feasted on the Bills” as if it’s a bad thing. The Bills have one of the best pass defenses in the league. Look up the numbers. Just cause they suck doesn’t mean they suck at everything! LOL :-)
"Play like hell and win." - Perry Fewell
Your daily source for Buffalo Bills information.
But Brees didn't do that well against the Buffalo pass D!
He had only 172 yards. Classic game where his run game helped him win the game. :p
I’m just kidding around. As I’ve said, Colts fans aren’t going to ever see anyone more valuable than Manning. We’ll do our best to get the numbers to show that. :)
Cupcake scedule?
You say the saints have a cupcake scedule. Well, lets look at our only common opponent between the saints/colts, the pats. If it wasnt for a bonehead 4th down peyton would not have won. He needed that call. Brees had a perfect passer rating against the pats and not only won but DOMINATED them. Brees is the real MVP.
Oh come on, read the other comments first.
We have three common opponents actually. Miami, St. Louis, and NE. If you’ll look at the numbers from those three games, you’ll see that there’s nothing that shows Brees has been better against common opponents than Manning.
Don’t be silly. There’s no “real” MVP yet. They’re both in contention and neck to neck.
That is one of the biggest copouts of the season. Every Colts fan watching that game as it unfolded was hoping the Patriots would punt. I am much more comfortable with Peyton having 90 seconds to go 70 yards than a good offense failing to get 2 yards. Regardless of the outcome, Belichick was right and he knows it. No matter what the Pats’ defense did or where the Colts got the ball, Peyton was going to score. It was just one of those nights.
Manning is not playing well the last few games
And thats why I think he will probably lose out this year to Brees. He is simply not playing good the last few games. Against the titans we scored only 3 points in the second half. Against the Texans, we scored 7 points in the first half. Our defense was responsible for 14 points in the second half. Manning is obviously the best QB there is, but he is not in his groove and we are not scoring points offensively.
Here is my 2 cents
I love the fact everyone enjoys comparing record of teams. In the NFL, any team can beat any team as you witness every week. Record just determines the Ws and Ls.
I am an avid Saints fan. But I do look at things realistically. I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a co-MVP handed out this year. Both are playing very good football and they both know how to face adversity.
Now to be the Saints fan I am, I would like to point some things out. The Saints played really good defenses this season. Now when I say good, I mean their ranking at the time of their game: Jets, Giants, Patriots(iffy), Redskins, Eagles, Panthers. Currently 4 of these teams are top 10 defense and 2 are on the brink of the top 10. I checked the Colts teams and they only have 1 team listed in the top 10 and 1 on the brink. The team on the brink of the top 10 is the Patriots that both the Saints and Colts played. I don’t need to explain those games to anyone. This only covers the aspect of the offensive side of the undefeated teams. But as you can see the Saints have had to deal with stronger defenses in their stretch of games yet still found a way to score enough points.
So that’s my Saints argument but I do believe it’s a possibility that both Brees and Manning will share the MVP award. Don’t be surprised if it happened that way.
Wait....
I’m reading comments about how the Saints dominated the Patriots…..
First off, the Patriots lost key players in the game against the Colts, and they were still without some of those guys against the Saints….. so the Patriots team we faced…wasn’t 100% the same as the one the Saints faced…
YET!!!!!!!!!!!!
The Saints struggled to beat the lowly 1-11 St. Louis Rams….and when I say struggled…..it’s being nice……allowing the Rams to score 23 pts and they had the lead with less than 4 minutes to go in that game…
However, the Colts absolutely SPANKED the Rams by 36 pts and didnt allow the Rams to score a single TD….
The harsh cold truth here is that the Saints have beaten the good teams they’ve faced, but struggled against teams that they SHOULD have beaten… (Rams, Redskins, Jets).
Keep in mind that the Colts have faced only 1 really bad team….and they absolutely demolished them by a score of 42 to 6. Meanwhile, the Saints have played the Lions, Rams, Redskins, and Buccaneers…and will play the Bucs once more in the next 4 games…
And to the comments about defenses…..Scoring defense is the only stat that matters….because the Saints have only played 2 really good teams that have great offenses and good solid defenses… the rest have had good defenses/mediocre offenses or just overall mediocre..
Ya, no matter how good your defense is, if your offense sucks then a team like the Colts or Saints will find a way to expose the D. A huge part of the game is scoring points early to put pressure on the other team. People worry that we only scored 3 in the second half last week, but we had no need to score a bunch. The Colts like to build a lead and then play their brand of Martyball, they don’t go out every game trying to put up 45 points.

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