WR stats, best 8 year totals

My last post gave the best and worst single seasons, now here are the best and worst of the whole 8 year span.

Top  20 Rec over Ave

WR Targets Catch% AY/R Rec Over Ave
Marvin Harrison 1037 64.5% 9.8 84.1
Reggie Wayne 839 65.4% 10.5 83.1
Derrick Mason 1062 64.0% 9.5 77.2
Torry Holt 1222 60.2% 10.8 61.7
Hines Ward 1050 64.4% 7.7 53.5
T.J. Houshmand 732 66.4% 7.4 48.8
Bobby Engram 561 66.8% 7.7 42.6
Keenan McCardell 600 62.5% 9.5 34.4
Troy Brown 462 69.3% 6.1 32.7
Donald Driver 891 60,6% 9.3 32.2
Wes Welker 395 73.4% 4.6 31.0
Eric Parker 221 68.8% 10.7 29.8
Larry Fitzgerald 713 59.8% 10.4 29.3
Issac Bruce 906 58.2% 11.0 28.9
Dennis Northcutt 454 62.8% 9.3 26.3
Eddie Kennison 556 58.1% 12.3 25.2
Chad Ochocinco 1025 57.0% 11.4 25.1
Andre Johnson 790 61.2% 8.2 24.0
Steve Smith 804 61.3% 8.1 21.7
Rod Smith 788 62.4% 7.4 20.9

 

The Colts duo top the list, but not far back at all is Derrick Mason. None of Mason's past 8 seasons have had a catch% below 60.7% (57.1% is the average), and his AirYards per Reception over the last 8 years is only a tenth of a yard below league average.

Bottom 20 Rec over Ave

WR Targets Catch% AY/R Rec Over Ave
David Patten 449 51.8% 10.5 -17.1
David Terrell 238 50.0% 8.9 -18.0
Plaxico Burress 941 51.3% 12.5 -19.0
Darrell Jackson 919 54.0% 10.0 -19.1
Amani Toomer 884 52.8% 10.8 -20.1
Raghib Ismail 134 39.6% 11.3 -20.1
Jerry Porter 507 51.9% 10.2 -20.1
Quincy Morgan 317 48.9% 10.6 -20.6
Dez White 339 51.6% 8.1 -24.2
Brandon Lloyd 256 44.5% 11.7 -24.6
Roy Williams 550 50.9% 10.3 -26.4
Peerless Price 583 52.7% 8.9 -28.8
Az Hakim 683 52.7% 9.2 -29.8
Corey Bradford 346 46.5% 10.7 -30.1
Travis Taylor 554 51.1% 9.6 -30.2
Joey Galloway 759 50.3% 11.4 -31.4
Braylon Edwards 475 48.0% 11.2 -31.7
Marty Booker 815 54.4% 8.3 -33.2
Rod Gardner 463 49.0% 9.5 -35.7
Chris Chambers 970 48.8% 10.5 -65.0

 

These stone handed WRs aren't the worst WRs in the league. They aren't even the WRs with the worst hands, WRs with worse hands didn't get onto the field or didn't get near the hundreds of targets most of the list has. Most of these guys aren't bad WRs, they'd have to be pretty special at something for coaches to overlook their (lack of) hands. Not too many surprises on the list, mediocre deep threats, giant jump-ball WRs, scrubs and busts. The real standout is just how bad Chris Chambers has been. Nearly double the next worse WR. Though it's less of a surprise when you notice the gloves Chambers wears on gameday.

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Top 20 Yards over Average

WR Targets YAC YOA
Reggie Wayne 839 5.7 1014
Marvin Harrison 1037 4.4 916
Derrick Mason 1062 4.4 841
Torry Holt 1222 4.1 653
Hines Ward 1050 4.4 583
T.J. Houshmand 732 4.6 541
Bobby Engram 561 4.4 464
Wes Welker 395 5.9 384
Troy Brown 462 5.0 376
Keenan McCardell 600 4.4 375
Donald Driver 891 4.4 351
Eric Parker 221 4.4 324
Larry Fitzgerald 713 4.4 319
Issac Bruce 906 4.4 315
Steve Smith (CAR) 804 6.7 286
Dennis Northcutt 454 4.4 286
Eddie Kennison 556 4.4 274
Chad Ochocinco 1025 4.4 273
Andre Johnson 790 4.4 261
Rod Smith 788 5.7 254

 

Noticeably absent from the top 20 (and top 40) are two players generally considered two of the top 3 WRs of the last decade. Terrell Owens and Randy Moss. Both have catch percents only slightly above expected, Moss with a below average YAC/R, Owens with a significantly above average one (but since the YAC credit is currently based off Rec over Average, a good YAC without good hands doesn't do much for YOA). Moss and Owens were #2 and #3 in targets. Their production seems to be more about maintaining slightly above average effieciency over a massive workload, moreso than being all that effiecent. Wayne jumps Marvin for the top spot by virtue of his excellent YAC. That seems to be all YOA is good for in it's current incarnation, seperating top hands WRs based on YAC. It's currently useless for WRs with below average hands ratings, and doesn't work as well as I'd like for WRs close to the average (T.O. the 45th best WR of the last 8 years). I'll work on the formula for a better overall WR metric.

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