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Week 1 Preview: Jaguars at Colts

Are you ready for some football?

No, really.  I said...

ARE YOU READY FOR SOME JAGUAR SMASHIN, TOUCHDOWN PASSIN, KICK THEM IN THE FACE BECAUSE THEY'RE A BIG DISGRACE FOOTBALL?!


That's more like it.  I'm pumped.  In fact, I'm as pumped as Arnold Schwarzenegger talking about the pump, that's how pumped I am.

To the delight of Colts fans and the dismay of Jaguars fans, the season opener for each respective team begins here in Indianapolis.  The Colts begin the season as healthy as they've ever been.  Compare that to this time last year with all the controversy and uncertainty surrounding the team, we're in a much better place; a much happier and peaceful place.  This year, we can let the players do the talking instead of us making up excuses and getting pissed at the FO for mishandling what seemed like every injured player on the team.  If the Colts come out flat and get stomped on Sunday, then that's just the way it is.  There are no excuses this year.

In fact, this should be the motto for the Colts and us fans the entire season: No excuses.

After the jump we'll get into the nitty gritty but as a reminder, to get a look at this matchup from a Jaguars fan's perspective, I would suggest taking a gander over at Big Cat Country.  FSBlueApocalypse did a fine job outlining the keys for the Jaguars, so good that I'll be quoting him on the next page.  He was a little hit or miss on the Colts analysis but that's to be expected.

Star-divide

Here is FSBlueApocalypse on the keys to victory for the Jaguars:

Things to watch for: Jacksonville Jaguars

1. Time of Possession: The easiest way to beat the Colts is to keep Peyton Manning and Co. sitting on the bench. The Jaguars must sustain long drives and take the crowd out of the game as much as possible. In all of the Jaguars wins against the Colts, the Jags had the ball for a minimum of 36 minutes.

2. Defensive Pressure: The Jaguars continued to have issues getting pressure on the quarterback with only four rushers in the preseason. While Derrick Harvey began to show why he was the #8 pick of the 2008 draft, he'll need to take the next step (ie, actually getting to the QB) to be truly effective. It's the worst kept secret in the NFL Peyton gets happy feet when his jersey gets dirty, it is just getting it dirty that is hard.

3.Offensive Line: The Jaguars will be starting a pair of rookie tackles in one of the loudest environments in the NFL. False start penalties are only the beginning of the issues they will encounter. Eugene will quickly learn if he can truly inherit Boselli's position by going against Dwight Freeney, while Eben Britton will have his hand's full with Robert Mathis.

4. Maurice Jones-Drew: MJD has scored seven touchdowns against the Colts, and had his coming out party against them in 2006. The Jaguars will need a big game from him again if they want to come out of Indy with a win. Jones-Drew will likely be used in between the tackles and in the passing game extensively.

5. Defensive Secondary: The revamped secondary will have to hold it's own if the Jaguars want to have a chance to win on Sunday. Rashean Mathis' pick six was a huge reason why the Jaguars won in Indy last year, and he'll need to bring his A game against Reggie Wayne (aka the guy Brian Williams was always chasing into the endzone.) I already mentioned Derek Cox, while safeties Sean Considine and Reggie Nelson can afford no mistakes against Manning.

He makes some valid points.  Most of them are proven plans to beat the Colts, no doubt about it.  Keeping Manning on the sideline and milking the clock is the best way to beat the Colts, unless your name is SAGE ROSENFAILS.  However, his 5th point is somewhat disturbing to me as if you recall last season in week 4 against the Jaguars, Rashean Mathis was molesting Marvin Harrison all day.  Mathis should have been called for pass interferance on that play that resulted in a pick-6, but the referees totally blew it.  That no-call gave the Jaguars the victory that day, but in the end didn't really matter because the Colts weren't good enough to beat the horribly overrated Chargers in the wildcard round anyways.

Hopefully I didn't kill your football high by re-living some of those horrible moments from last season, and if I did I apologize, so let's move on.

As I mentioned in the introduction, the Colts are starting the season healthier than any other in recent memory.  Even though the Colts appear to be healthy, they are not without their weaknesses.  If you can recall a few months ago, I highlighted 10 things the Colts must do to become 2009 champs, and these points stand true to this day.

The backfield looks very promising this season.  Joseph Addai is healthy and has shown us a little bit of the Addai that we came to love in years past during the preseason.  Spelling Addai when need be is the 2009 first round draft pick and fan favorite Donald Brown, who's impressed us all very much in the preseason as well.  Showing us everything about his game that lead him to be the leader rusher in the entire nation last year.

However, the offensive line is a huge, MASSIVE, question mark going into this game.  Arguably the biggest concern regarding the entire team.  That's a very bold statement considering we're talking about a team that has a lot of new faces in playing very prominent roles both on the field and on the sidelines.  The Colts need to be able to run the ball to be a complete offense again and it begins tomorrow.

Of course when you start talking about the offensive line and dominating the line of scrimmage, you must also talk about the defense and how they must dominant as well.  The Jaguars are notorious for running at will all over the Colts.  Luckily the Jaguars cut Fred Taylor, but there is still the issue of that little guy named Maurice Jones-Drew.  He is the bane of our defense.  His combination of size, speed, and strength makes him extremely difficult to take down and man handle.  Anytime I see him play the Colts it reminds me of playing pinball, where he is the pinball as he bounces off of defenders left and right and eventually falling past the flippers only to completely screw up my awesome score and end my game.  And if you weren't aware, I HATE PINBALL.

Domination on both lines is key because as FSBlueApocalypse mentioned, time of possession is key to stalling the Colts momentum and beating them.  Fortunately for Freeney and Mathis, both offensive tackles for the Jaguars are rookies and have yet to face such a fearsome duo.  Be sure to keep an eye on Freeney and Mathis using all the tools they are equipped with in trying to make David Garrard's life a living hell.  If the Colts are able to own the line of scrimmage on defense and force the Jaguars to pass this will make the Colts chances of winning ten times better.

Lastly, let's hope we see some improvement from the special teams.  Thus far I have yet to see any drastic improvement on special teams.  We shouldn't expect to see returners stoned inside their 20 yard line each and every kickoff or punt, but at the same time, would it kill someone to tackle a returner before giving up a 30+ yard return?  Honestly.

Poll
Jaguars @ Colts: Who ya got?
Colts by more than 7
206 votes
Colts by 4-7
65 votes
Colts by 1-3
20 votes
Tie
0 votes
Jaguars by 1-3
8 votes
Jaguars by 4-7
4 votes
Jaguars by more than 7
6 votes

309 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 34 comments |

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Comments

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I think we win this game 27-20.

I think MJD has one of his usual big days against our defense and I think that the Jaguars Defensive Line will be effective in stopping our running game. However, I don’t think that the Jags’ secondary can hang with our receivers.

 Even though the Offensive Line is a concern, nobody on the Jags’ D-Line really scares me aside from Henderson who will have to go up against our most dependapke pass blocker in Jeff Saturday.

I see it playing out in one of two ways. One: the game is close up until the 4rth Quarter and Peyton is able to take control of the game, which in turn will force Garrard to throw the ball and allow Freeney and Mathis to be unleashed on their poor rookie tackles. Or I could see Manning have to lead a game-winning drive in the final two minutes.

But if we win 31-7 then I’ll have no regrets.

"Pressure is something you feel if you don't know what the hell you're doing."-Peyton Manning

by P0RKINS2 on Sep 12, 2009 11:34 PM EDT via mobile reply actions   0 recs

I see MJD and the Jags having a good first half, but basically falling off a cliff around the 3rd quarter. I also see Freeney and Mathis destroying the two rookie tackles and simultaneously absolutely crushing Garrard.

Colts win, 28-14.

Bob Sanders eats a forest on Friday so he can lay the wood on Sunday.
http://monkeybiziu.deviantart.com

by MonkeyBusiness on Sep 12, 2009 11:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Colts 32, Jaguars 17

I just believe in the new defense…..based on the pre season, I don’t know why. Except I keep seeing Philly’s run game get stuffed.

by tim55 on Sep 13, 2009 12:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I think the D is not gonna be so hot to start.

I think we will miss Big Ed, I also believe Marlin (pre ACL/MCL) > Powers. Who is to say Kelvin is 100%? Plus these guys haven’t played togethor completely all pre-season. I think they will be good (barring major injuries). And I still think we are gonna beat down the Jags. I just think its gonna take a few weeks for the D to gel.

Colts 31 – Jags 16

Dun nuh nuh nuhhhh!!!! Super Mathis

by hoosier in sodak on Sep 13, 2009 12:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Awesome post

was hoping one of you would post a game preview and i love the opening line. I AM READY FOR SOME COLTS FOOTBALL

by metal_militia on Sep 13, 2009 1:14 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Rosenfails, Hah

That was funny, but really, I do think the Colts will win. I’ve been counting down the days since last Thursday. Something funny to note, ever since that game when the Jaguars rushed for close to 400 yards against our defense; I’ve had nightmares about tackling MJD. (Had one last night!) It will most likely be a close game, probably somewhere around the 27-20 range and so forth. The anticipation is driving me insane. Its 1:38 AM and I can’t sleep. Less than twelve hours till game time!

"To be successful you have to be selfish, or else you never achieve." Michael Jordan

twitter.com/natknowsports
youtube.com/natknowsports

by The Answer 3 on Sep 13, 2009 1:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The nice thing about season openers

… is that nobody actually knows how good their team actually is yet. All fans can be optimistic, irrespective of the team they support.

I’m a Jags fan, just stopping by to see how you guys see this thing playing out. Personally, I think this will be a close game with the colts having the edge in overall talent. Luckily, it’s football so that doesn’t really matter (we wouldn’t watch the game if all games eneded the way it looks “on paper”), and I can’t predict who will win.

Just for the record, I do think the Jags are better in every single category this year with the exception of running back. Our O-line is better (albeit inexperienced), our D-line is better, our secondary is better with more upside, and our LB corps is faster. Most importantly, we actually have some wideouts this year that can stretch the field AND make YAC. I know, you don’t believe me but that doesn’t matter either – what happens on the field is not dictated by fan belief :)

Anyways, I’m looking forward to a good, clean game with no injuries. I wish both teams the best of luck, and hope both sets of fans get something to cheer about.

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 2:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Couple of TDs for MJD

But I don’t think they’re going to show a lot otherwise. 27-17 Colts.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 13, 2009 5:08 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

And you are basing this on what?

Wishful thinking, or some actual knowledge about this Jaguar’s team (as opposed to past teams)?

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 7:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow

Somebodies got up on the wrong side of bed this morning. Chill out.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 13, 2009 8:01 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sorry

It was not intended as a “grumpy” question – I guess it came across wrong. It was an honest question.

As a Jags fan, i’m quite used to being written off by the “experts”…. even those who can’t name more than 2 Jags player names :) I’m curious as to whether you have legitimate reasons for thinking MJD is the sum total of Jags offense.

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 8:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

He's not

But he is the sum total of the offense that’s probably going to bother us. We had one of the best pass defenses in the league last season, whilst Garrard’s a competant but unspectacular QB and you have one decent receiver, who’s making his first competitive start.

I’d be surprised if you have more than one receiver go over 50 yards tonight.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 13, 2009 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Depends on the play-calling

If we are running the ball down your throats effectively, I would agree with you because we won’t need to pass much. If your D-line really does manage to stop MJD and we need to pass more… well, we will see. Make no mistake, this is not your typical Jaguars receiving corps… even if we don’t have the big name players you will recognize. Personally, I think our passing game’s effectiveness is going to depend more on our two rookie OTs than the WRs. If Garrard stays upright, you are in for a suprise, I think. If Freeney and Mathis have a field day, we will be lucky to have one 50 yard receiver.

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 11:36 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

lol, they have Holt

i dont think he will beat the Colts deep

OH NO WE SUCK AGAIN!

by colts9318rock on Sep 13, 2009 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Holt is a possession reciever

… for us. As I said, we don’t have the “big names”.

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't expect you to have difficulty running the ball

We’ll be stronger than previously, perhaps, but unless we get a big lead early you need to control the clock and keep our defense out there, and that means a lot of Jones-Drew and a lot of running.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 13, 2009 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well, I called it

MJD rushed for 97 yards, but your D stood up well enough for us o need a passing game. Our rookie LT got schooled HUGE… and as a result not one receiver had a 50 yard game. I tell you, being a Jags fan can be heart-breaking. Conservative play-calling, dropped catches and a QB under major pressure…. par for the course

On the bright side…. it’s a young team with 4 starting rookies, and we lost 12-14 to the Colts. If I was you guys, I’d be a bit worried to be honest.

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Your atypical Jags passing game

Sucked.

122 yards on 28 attempts, and you got pissy because I dared suggest I wasn’t scared of your passing game?

Heh.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 13, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeha the pass attack was nonexistant

MJD can’t win games alone i’m afraid for my jags

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Leader of the Run-Paul-Smith-Out-Of-Town Club **--Mission Complete--**
"As for me, Life goes on."-TheTealDeal

by TheTealDeal on Sep 13, 2009 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Lol

Yes, this did turn out to be a typical Jags passing game, much to my disgust. You were right, and I’m not going to deny it.

I do still believe that this WR corps is the best we’ve had in years (granted, that might just mean we are the 2nd worst in the league this year). But they didn’t get a chance to show that, mostly because your DEs had good games (Freeney is fantastic!) and partly because of a truly crappy game-plan. A WR falling over while completely open and the odd dropped pass here and there did not help.

I bet you were at least a little nervous at the end there, though?

by KeithG on Sep 13, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Everyone was including us

its always this way

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Leader of the Run-Paul-Smith-Out-Of-Town Club **--Mission Complete--**
"As for me, Life goes on."-TheTealDeal

by TheTealDeal on Sep 13, 2009 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hey, it's the Colts

I’m always nervous until we’re 30 up.

by eltharion_doa on Sep 14, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

eh

those first two turnovers aren’t going to happen often. Peyton is Peyton and that was Addai’s 5th career fumble in 905 career touches

It's not just your perceptions that can be wrong. Even your memory is often incomplete or possibly flat out wrong.

by shake n bake on Sep 13, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

depressing? saturday was great! iowa put on a can of whoopass on the cyclowns!

hell this is my anti superbowl weekend. first iowa splats the condiment team(playing iowa is their one and only game of the year…their superbowl) and now Im into phase 2 of it. same with the bedazzlers..its their superbowl week after this they dont care and it will show) colts need to THUMP the jags! and my weekend will be AWARD winning.

I want peyton to school their defense! shut these idiot fans up. second to the last game we will ever have to play them until they become the LA jags and maybe the realignment can start. colts get out of this idiot south division.

lets make them go out in style! del rio is an awful coach and we need to start from the get go! I want MJD to whine some more about tackles from their only play, the dump pass offense. LETS HEAR THEM WHINE!

by kinnickcolt on Sep 13, 2009 9:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Arent you a ray of sunshine

jaguars aren’t going to LA, so you’ll have to bear the AFC south some more….

"HULU: An evil plot to destroy the world. Enjoy"
The Flavour of the Day is Turf. - Courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars
Leader of the Run-Paul-Smith-Out-Of-Town Club **--Mission Complete--**
"As for me, Life goes on."-TheTealDeal

by TheTealDeal on Sep 13, 2009 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh and there is just a little revenge from the bad calls. the pass interference/ interception that changed the game and basically took away the division with that crap noncall. also the fantom defensive call that gave the jags the ball back when it was 4th down and the game was over.

beatdown for the refs crap too

by kinnickcolt on Sep 13, 2009 9:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Colts 58,890- Jags 0

"Flying blind on a rocket cycle?" -Vultan, from the movie "Flash Gordon", for no particular reason...

by peytonsurdaddy on Sep 13, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't really know why I hit reply there...

"Flying blind on a rocket cycle?" -Vultan, from the movie "Flash Gordon", for no particular reason...

by peytonsurdaddy on Sep 13, 2009 11:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hmmmmmm

Colts 58,891 – Jags 0

Peyton goes rambo

OH NO WE SUCK AGAIN!

by colts9318rock on Sep 13, 2009 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Open Thread Time

The Jags one already

OH NO WE SUCK AGAIN!

by colts9318rock on Sep 13, 2009 11:41 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Inactives are posted on the Game thread at BCC

"It's always funny until someone gets hurt. Then it's just hilarious."-Bill Hicks

by FSBlueApocalypse on Sep 13, 2009 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

where'd you find them

NFL.com doesn’t have them up yet.

It's not just your perceptions that can be wrong. Even your memory is often incomplete or possibly flat out wrong.

by shake n bake on Sep 13, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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