VOA (no D because you can't adjust for opponent when there's no previous record) was unimpressed by the Colts 14-12 victory over the Jags, actually rating Jacksonville the better performer on Sunday. However the Outsiders recognize that one week isn't much to go off of so also give DAVE (DVOA adjusted for variation early) which is a weighted average of DVOA's preseason projection and the year to date VOA. Week 1 DAVE is 90% preseason projection, 10% year to date VOA. Indy ranks 2nd in DAVE at 29.7% (preseason projection was 2nd place 33.0%). DVOA projected leader San Diego suffered a similar fall leaving them still in first, but by a similar margin. Next weeks opponent, Miami, ranks 28th in VOA, 25th in DAVE.