Week 2 Review - Inside the Numbers
by mgrex03 on Sep 23, 2009 1:13 AM EDT
in Game Recaps
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PrintWeek 2 ended with a bang, and a very good night for us Colts fans. It was a night of superlatives, and one for the history books. Here is what Elias had to say after the game (via ESPN):
- A Time of Possession of 14:53 is the lowest amount for a winning team since the NFL starting tracking the stat in the 1970's.
- Dallas Clark's 183 yards receiving is the 3rd highest by a WR in a game from Peyton Manning. The two guys you'd expect to head this list (Harrison & Wayne) are first and second.
- As BBS pointed out already, 3 teams (Cowboys, Titans, Dolphins) lost while rushing for over 200 yards. It's only happened once where 3 teams lost while rushing for over 200 yards in one week, which was Week 16 of 1978. Last season, teams who rushed for 200 yards were 36-2.
- The Dolphins had 15 third-down conversions on Monday, the most by any team since the Colts had 15 in a game against the Broncos in 2002.
This was also the 37th Game Winning drive for Manning. He was so good at it, it only took 32 seconds. This also was win #119 for Manning, passing Johnny Unitas for most in franchise history for a QB. I'm not nearly old enough to know just how good Unitas was, but I'm rather biased with who I think is better. Most others I heard this morning agree with me.
The most amazing stat, in my opinion, from Monday night was that the Colts averaged 10.2 Yards / Play on Monday night, which is the best in the NFL at least since 1996. Let that sink in for a second... The Colts averaged a First Down on EVERY PLAY. The previous high? 10.02 by the Packers in 1997, in a game they lost to the Colts.
After the jump you'll see both last week's stats and rankings, but a season total, with ranks. I'll just say Adjusted Net Passing Yards / Attempt is a pretty good indication of winning so far. You can also sort the Win % total in the season table, to see which stats are the best so far this season.
Here's how it looked on Monday Night...
| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Off/Def Above | Off/Def Below | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSR | 77.3% | 8 | 82.9% | 31 | N | N | 5-2 |
| ANPY/A | 13.958 | 1 | 3.400 | 4 | Y | N | 8-0 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | N | N | 8-1 |
| Yds/Drive | 44.50 | 4 | 50.38 | 31 | N | N | 4-1 |
| ToP/Drive | 1:51.6 | 32 | 5:38.4 | 32 | N | Y | 5-3 |
| Yds/Play | 10.171 | 1 | 4.798 | 8 | Y | N | 6-2 |
| First Downs/Drive | 1.75 | 17 | 3.38 | 32 | N | N | 4-3 |
| 3rd/4th Down | 42.9% | 15 | 72.7% | 32 | N | N | 1-3 |
| Avg Start Pos | 23.4 | 30 | 23.8 | 4 | N | N | 9-0 |
| 3 and Outs | 2 | 9 | 0 | 30 | N | N | 3-3 |
| RZ Eff | 100.0% | 1 | 100.0% | 24 | N | N | 3-3 |
| Plays/Drive | 4.375 | 32 | 10.500 | 32 | N | Y | 2-5 |
| Penalty Yds / Play | 0.571 | 6 | 0.238 | 31 | N | N | 9-6 |
| RB Success | 50.0% | 11 | 57.1% | 26 | N | N | 5-6 |
| Yds/Carry | 5.55 | 7 | 4.88 | 23 | N | N | 5-7 |
| Net Punts Yds/Game | 45.67 | 7 | 42.00 | 15 | N | N | 6-1 |
Here's what stands out to me:
- In terms of ANPY/A, this was the 5th best game of Manning's regular season career (Both Playoff games against Denver were higher). His record is 16.48, against the Eagles in 2002.
- The defense was 4th best in terms of ANPY/A, which is probably because the Dolphins didn't really try to pass that much.
- Once again, teams that were Above Average for both Offense and Defense in ANPY/A did not lose, going 8-0. Who's going to be the first team to lose?
- I mentioned the Yards / Play above. I'll mention it here again as it was so great. 10.2 Yards / Play. Unbelievable.
- The defense was bad. You don't need stats to tell you that.
The Season stats so far...
| Statistic | Offense | Rank | Defense | Rank | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSR | 76.9% | 4 | 75.0% | 24 | 12-2 | 0.857 |
| ANPY/A | 9.587 | 2 | 3.641 | 6 | 17-0 | 1.000 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 14-3 | 0.824 |
| Yds/Drive | 42.41 | 1 | 37.12 | 27 | 10-1 | 0.909 |
| ToP/Drive | 2:52.3 | 10 | 4:11.2 | 32 | 13-6 | 0.684 |
| Yds/Play | 6.867 | 3 | 4.540 | 7 | 12-4 | 0.750 |
| First Downs/Drive | 2.06 | 7 | 2.29 | 31 | 11-3 | 0.786 |
| 3rd/4th Down | 47.8% | 7 | 59.0% | 32 | 7-4 | 0.636 |
| Avg Start Pos | 28.4 | 20 | 25.9 | 7 | 13-1 | 0.929 |
| 3 and Outs | 5 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 7-5 | 0.583 |
| RZ Eff | 66.7% | 13 | 85.7% | 29 | 8-5 | 0.615 |
| Plays/Drive | 6.176 | 6 | 8.176 | 32 | 7-7 | 0.500 |
| Penalty Yds / Play | 0.352 | 2 | 0.317 | 32 | 14-11 | 0.560 |
| RB Success | 43.9% | 17 | 60.8% | 31 | 10-10 | 0.500 |
| Yds/Carry | 3.14 | 27 | 4.71 | 24 | 9-11 | 0.450 |
| Net Punts Yds/Game | 45.00 | 6 | 37.67 | 7 | 7-4 | 0.636 |
Couple things here too:
- Of the top 6 stats, the Colts offense are in the Top 5 in 5 of them, which is a fantastic start to the season. They are leading in Yards / Drive, which is pretty customary for the Colts. The Colts offense also is 2nd in the league in 3 and Outs, with only 5.
- Like I mentioned above, teams are 17-0 when both the Offense and Defense are Above Average in ANPY/A. Need any more evidence about how important Passing and defending the Pass are?
- On the flip side, the only stat that is under .500 is Yards / Carry. Pretty true to form over the past 8 years.
- The Colts' defense is ranked dead last in 4 categories, including Time of Possession / Drive (shocking, huh?) Let's start the turn around this weekend.
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Unitas
I am old enough to have watched many of his games and did. He was as good as anyone and better than most. He had a GREAT defense to go along with his skills at Q-back. If P had anything close(defense that is),he might never have lost a game. Just kidding, kinda!
another great post
love the work
"If you don't [draft me], I promise you I'll come back and kick your ass for the next 15 years."
you get uber rex
Now these are stats I love reading about. Fantabulous work Mgrex! (golf clap)
Hit em with your groin!
Offense
I have enjoyed reading you guys for a while now and I definitely agree with all of you on how bad our Defense played against Miami (and don’t get me started on DON’T CARE ABOUT THIRD-DOWNS Jennings) but while watching the game here in Florida I could not help but be disappointed with our Offense. Now don’t misunderstand me, I’m very happy with the win and I think is great that we scored 27 points on only 14:53 time of possession. What concerns me though is the fact that our Offence could not give our Defense a breather at a critical time. Going three and out in the third quarter was brutal and our Offensive line needs some real help. I don’t know what’s going on but I was not happy with Pollak, CJ and Saturday in this game.
It's not the offense's job
Nobody likes 3 and outs, but those happen from time to time. Peyton found huge holes in the Dolphins defense on several occasions, and exploited them for huge gains. That’s what he’s supposed to do. The defense is supposed to get themselves rest by forcing the other team to punt or getting a turnover. Even though Peyton makes it look easy, it’s not easy to score touchdowns in the NFL. I’d be furious if Peyton and Co. were just taking their time to get down the field only to have the ball intercepted or fumbled.
We have Peyton Manning at QB. If we wanted a game manager to dink-and-dunk it down the field, we should have traded for Kyle Orton. Sure, 3 & outs are bad, but nobody is perfect. The defense just needs to pick it up.
by hoosierdore on Sep 23, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions
Right
and although those were good playcalls, they aren’t designed to go for 80 yards a pop. It just ended up happening that way.
"Put him on the board. Houshmazilli....got it. CHAMPIONSHIP!"
You were disappointed with our offense?
Peyton and company were Magic. Sorry, but that’s just crazy talk.
"You can't defend the perfect throw, what can I say?" Peyton quoting Marino
The defense wouldn't need a breather,
if they could make a third down stop.
Exactly what I was thinking during the game.
Of course I was a little harsh: “it’s their own damn fault.” A very frustrating game to watch, save Peyton of course.
"I throw, you catch. It's NOT that hard!"
Peyton Manning, SNL, 2007
by peytonsthebest on Sep 24, 2009 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions
Agree and Disagree
I was furious when they went 3 and out. But was that the drive where Addai and Lilja missed on Porter, causing the sack? If so, then the 2nd and 3rd down passing playcalls are totally reasonable.
What’s more discouraging, though, was that Coyer didn’t seem to try anything new to help the defense make a play on 3rd down. At the same time, those offsides penalties were huge and that is 100% on the defensive players and not Coyers fault. The offense made all of the right decisions when it mattered most.
"Put him on the board. Houshmazilli....got it. CHAMPIONSHIP!"
That was just bizarre
From a non-Colts-fan point of view, I have to say the time of possession stat was easily the most impressive. We Patriots fans “get it” because we’ve seen it and we have a coach that knows it. There was never any doubt for us watching the Monday night game that the Colts would win, even with the see-saw nature of the scoring. If there was any time at all left at the end of the game (3.55 minutes??? Come on Sparano, you should know better), and Manning had the ball, it was a no-brainer. I think the Fins knew it too.
Keep the faith!
Similar to the Bills game
As soon as that guy started bringing the kickoff out of the endzone, I knew he would fumble. If he didn’t, I had a good feeling they would go 3 and out or turn it over. Once the Pats got the ball back, I knew they would score and win.
Winners find ways to win and losers find ways to lose. It never fails.
"Put him on the board. Houshmazilli....got it. CHAMPIONSHIP!"
Great job!
I’ve always enjoy reading these kind of articles.
Also the Packers have signed S Matt Giordano (to the active roster)… I don’t miss him at all.
Link
The problems with the Pats isn't on defense ist's the offense.
People have come out and said that the Pats’ defense is young and that is to blame for their 1-1 start. This couldn’t be farther from the truth. The Pats defense, despite missing its core group of players that have made it a dominant group in recent years, is currently fifth in the NFL in total defense. They give up 265 yards per game. They’re sixth against the pass at 158.3 yards per game and 13th against the run at 106.7 yards per game. They are giving up 20 points per game, which is higher then we are used to seeing, but with an offense with as many weapons as the Pats have then they should be able to win every game.
The Pats are currently averaging 370 yards of offense per game and 292 yards through the air. The o-line, for all the heat they are taking, has only given up 1 sack. (I know Brady was pressured) They are doing great job moving the ball inside the 20s, but are having trouble finishing drives with Touchdowns which is very suprising considering they have one of the best Red Zone Wide Receivers ever in Randy Moss. They also can’t seem to develop a downfield Passing Attack, as only two of Brady’s 62 pass completions have gone for more than 20 yards. The Pats are abandoning the run too much as they are averaging 3.6 yards a carry but have only run the ball 43 times.
This team has some issues that should clear up some once Brady is fully healthy. But how long that will take, remains to be seen. If it weren’t for that Leodis McKelvin fumble, the Bills and the Jets would be in a two team race for first in the AFC East.
"Pressure is something you feel if you don't know what the hell you're doing."-Peyton Manning
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