Winning Stats Power Rankings - Week 7

A new weekly article I'll have starting this week is the Winning Stats Power Rankings, Strength of Schedule, and Consistency rankings.  I did this last year as well, and this basically remains the same.  It takes into account the 16 stats we look at every week in Inside the Numbers, compares them with all other teams, and sees how they rank against each other.

You'll notice that Wins and Losses don't play into this at all, like most of the subjective rankings.  Remember, it has 9 years of data to bounce off of, so it looks for the same things that have resulted in the most wins over the past 9 years, even if they aren't leading to wins this season.

I'll have some commentary after each set of data, and you can sort on all columns.  We also have a Winning Stats page, where you'll get Colts season stats, as well as these tables, updated on Tuesdays.  It's for those of you that just can't wait for the data.  You can sort any column by just clicking on the header.

Let's get to the rankings:

Power Rankings:

Team Power Rankings
Non-Adjusted Adjusted
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Giants 18 1 2 20 1 1
Colts 1 22 3 1 16 2
Chargers 7 3 1 9 6 3
Titans 22 5 11 19 3 4
Steelers 17 4 5 18 4 5
Eagles 11 10 4 12 7 6
Cowboys 6 20 10 2 23 7
Falcons 4 18 7 5 21 8
Chiefs 9 15 9 13 9 9
Ravens 15 9 8 16 8 10
Jets 12 8 6 21 12 11
Dolphins 8 27 16 8 22 12
Saints 5 24 12 6 28 13
Patriots 3 29 18 4 30 14
Packers 10 21 13 7 27 15
Bengals 13 16 14 17 15 16
Raiders 20 11 15 22 13 17
Texans 2 32 24 3 31 18
Vikings 23 13 20 28 5 19
49ers 28 14 23 25 14 20
Buccaneers 14 25 19 10 26 21
Redskins 27 17 25 27 11 22
Bears 30 2 21 30 2 23
Browns 24 26 27 24 17 24
Rams 21 12 17 23 20 25
Broncos 19 28 28 15 24 26
Lions 25 23 26 14 25 27
Seahawks 29 6 22 26 18 28
Jaguars 16 31 30 11 32 29
Panthers 32 7 29 31 10 30
Bills 26 30 31 29 29 31
Cardinals 31 19 32 32 19 32

Some thoughts:

  • I'm going to focus on the Adjusted Rankings, as that gives a better view as to how well the teams have been playing.  Overall, the Colts come in at #2, and have held steady in the top 5 pretty much all year.  The Giants took over the top spot this week after taking care of the Cowboys on Monday night.  Yes, that same Giants team that both the Colts and Titans made look really bad. 
  • You'll also notice the 2-5 Chargers ranked at #3.  Truth be told, their numbers have been very good this season, only being "outplayed" once all year, against the Rams.  However, they've been very bad in select categories in each game, and have gotten destroyed in Special Teams, which admittedly aren't a big component of these rankings (improvement for another day).  That means I fully expect them to actually start winning games soon.
  • The Colts offense is #1 in the league.  I'm interested to see how missing several weapons will change that ranking.  The defense is very much middle-of-the-road, which is an improvement over years past.  This absolutely needs to continue if the Colts want to make the playoffs.

Strength of Schedule:

Team Schedule Strength
Past Future
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Texans 3 6 1 3 6 4
Titans 9 7 2 28 1 5
Jaguars 4 15 3 7 3 3
Cowboys 1 29 4 18 9 10
Browns 18 5 5 23 20 24
Redskins 25 2 6 2 11 6
Steelers 14 8 7 20 23 23
Giants 15 10 8 14 12 11
Chiefs 29 3 9 13 31 27
Broncos 10 14 10 8 19 13
Lions 2 28 11 27 15 20
Colts 20 11 12 11 2 2
Vikings 32 1 13 6 32 26
Panthers 7 23 14 25 18 22
Eagles 27 9 15 1 7 1
Cardinals 28 12 16 22 25 28
49ers 16 17 17 32 29 32
Bills 31 4 18 10 21 14
Patriots 11 22 19 12 22 17
Bears 21 16 20 26 14 19
Bengals 26 13 21 4 10 7
Falcons 8 26 22 29 24 30
Raiders 17 21 23 17 4 8
Dolphins 19 19 24 5 26 18
Ravens 22 18 25 30 8 16
Buccaneers 13 25 26 21 28 29
Jets 24 20 27 31 13 21
Packers 5 30 28 9 17 12
Rams 23 27 29 24 30 31
Seahawks 6 32 30 15 27 25
Saints 12 31 31 19 16 15
Chargers 30 24 32 16 5 9

A couple things here:

  • The Colts have played the 12th toughest schedule in the NFL, which seems about right.  The Broncos and Jaguars certainly aren't helping that ranking.  The Defense has played a tougher schedule than the Offense has, which I didn't expect.
  • The Texans, Titans, and Jaguars have played the 3 toughest schedules in the league so far.  Anyone want to argue what the toughest division in football is?
  • The Colts future schedule is extremely tough, ranking only behind the Eagles.  It also includes a big challenge for the defense.  Getting Bob Sanders back would be a big help right about now...

Consistency:

Team Consistency
Non-Adjusted Adjusted
Offense Defense Total Offense Defense Total
Browns 7 18 1 23 28 1
Patriots 20 2 5 10 10 2
Dolphins 8 24 14 5 20 3
Steelers 29 12 7 24 22 4
Cowboys 17 1 9 2 3 5
Vikings 2 11 3 1 13 6
Redskins 10 21 2 9 14 7
Packers 13 7 11 17 12 8
Eagles 6 4 4 8 18 9
Saints 11 15 6 15 1 10
Buccaneers 4 31 16 4 26 11
Texans 23 6 12 21 4 12
Chargers 5 10 17 7 15 13
Panthers 14 19 13 12 5 14
Bears 27 28 15 16 19 15
Jets 30 13 21 25 9 16
Bengals 19 32 10 26 27 17
Jaguars 24 8 25 14 6 18
Seahawks 9 27 19 18 21 19
Titans 31 9 20 32 11 20
Ravens 22 16 8 30 32 21
Falcons 18 25 30 13 16 22
Chiefs 32 22 28 29 8 23
Giants 16 29 31 19 23 24
Lions 26 5 23 20 7 25
Bills 28 3 22 31 2 26
Cardinals 3 26 29 6 31 27
Colts 1 30 18 3 29 28
Rams 12 14 24 22 17 29
49ers 15 17 26 11 30 30
Broncos 21 20 27 28 25 31
Raiders 25 23 32 27 24 32

A few things here:

  • The Colts offense = Consistent, the Colts Defense = Not Consistent.  Anyone Surprised?
  • This isn't take into consideration whether teams are consistently good or consistently bad, just consistent.  Take, for example, the Saints defense, which is ranked 28th overall, is the most consistent defense.  They've just been consistently bad.
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