Another Colts Mock Draft: Big Steps Towards Super Bowl XLV
I did one of these back in December, and a lot of things have changed. We've seen the Senior Bowl, the playoffs, and the Combine is on its way. I feel like I know a lot more about the prospects in this draft after all of the games and just more time around the draft. It's sad to see the Colts picking at #31, but a great draft like the 2009 one would help me get over it really quickly. The Colts are just a few pieces away from a championship. Hell, they are a pick 6 away from one right now and that is with this team that is full of flaws. The draft is what creates championships. That's why it is so great. This draft is deep, and the Colts could find multiple starters like they did in the 2009 draft. Of course, it all starts at pick 31.
1st: Charles Brown/OT/USC-It is well known that Charles Brown is my favorite mid-to-late first rounder in the entire draft. For someone who could fall out of the first round, he doesn't have a lot of flaws. The main knock on him is surrounding his size. A growing trend in college football is converting tight ends to offensive tackle to keep up with the new faster offenses. Jason Smith, the #2 pick overall in 2009, was a converted tight end. The difference between him and Brown is that Smith went from 220 pounds to 310 pounds, which is nothing short of amazing. Brown played last season at around 285 pounds. For an offensive lineman, this is pretty small. However, for football, size isn't everything.
Brown's footwork is tremendous. He first caught my eye at the Notre Dame-USC game when he dominated all of the Notre Dame defensive ends and blitzers. This wasn't as impressive at first glance since I believe a traffic cone could contain the Notre Dame pass rushers, but what was impressive was that he did the same thing against Cal and Ohio State, schools with football teams. He went up against Tyson Alualu and Cameron Heyward in those games and held his ground. Those two guys are bigger than him but he used his great technique to keep freshman QB Matt Barkley on his feet. Brown also has great initial quickness and uses this to his advantage when run blocking. Brown isn't a great run blocker and doesn't have the size most GMs would look for in a lineman, but he makes up for it with his intensity and technique.
Other players considered: Brandon Graham/DE/Michigan, Perrish Cox/CB/Oklahoma State, Bryan Bulaga/OT/Iowa, Mike Iupati/OG/Idaho, Kyle Wilson/CB/Boise State (No one came close to Brown)
2nd: Javier Arenas/CB & RS/Alabama-Arenas is another one of my favorites. Not only did he have a great year at cornerback, but he is the best returner in SEC history, setting the record for most punt return yards and punt return TDs in conference history. Imagine what Tim Jennings could have been if he knew what he was doing out there. Now imagine him plus the return abilities of Devin Hester. That's Arenas.
Arenas isn't the next Nnamdi Asomugha, but he is going to be a great nickelback like Jennings should have been. Like Jennings, he is very small (5-9, 198), but unlike Jennings, he is great in zone coverage and is an excellent tackler. He has great quickness and can tackle. He had 12 tackles for a loss which is unbelievable for a cornerback.
Hey, maybe he doesn't pan out as a cornerback. However, he is a sure thing as a returner. In all of his returns that I have seen, never has he been taken down by a half-assed tackle attempt. If the defender didn't wrap up, Arenas bounces off of him. If the defender just tries to dive at his feet, he steps out of it. This leads to massive returns. My favorite was his 86 yarder against Oklahoma State in the 2006 Independence Bowl when he was surrounded by 4 Cowboy defenders right when he caught it with only one blocker in sight. Needless to say, none of them stand a chance. This is one of his many amazing returns. He has the potential to be the next Devin Hester.
Other players considered: Daryl Washington/MLB/TCU, Geno Atkins/DT/Georgia, Mike Neal/DT/Purdue, AJ Edds/OLB/Iowa, Chad Jones/S/LSU, Kareem Jackson/CB/Alabama
3rd: Austen Lane/DE/Murray State-Austen Lane is the classic Division 1-AA prospect. Great size and speed, amazing production, and loads of potential. Lane has reportedly ran a 4.58 forty yard dash and has a 35 inch vertical, all while weighing in at nearly 270 pounds. Not Freeney-like athleticism, but it is very impressive. Not only is he fast, but he has enough moves to hold his own. All of this goes with his great production. He had 11 sacks and 19.5 tackles for a loss as a senior, and that was worse than his 2008 season of 22 tackles for a loss and 12 sacks. Shake called him "a love child of Robert Mathis and Josh Thomas." I've seen him compared to Jason Taylor as well, which is very high praise. Lane's main problem is against the run. He's a pass rush specialist for sure. At best, he is Jason Taylor or bigger Robert Mathis. Lane seriously hurt Vladimir Ducasse's stock by dominating him at the Senior Bowl practices and even scored a TD in the game. For a player who hasn't played good competition (hell, IU was on their schedule in 2008!), a good Senior Bowl goes far for a prospect. In the third round, a team that is coming off of a Super Bowl appearance could use a player like Lane.
Other players considered: Pat Angerer/MLB/Iowa, Geno Atkins/DT/Georgia, Brandon Lang/DE/Troy, Jason Fox/OT/Miami, Mike Johnson/OG/Alabama, Myron Rolle/S/Florida State, Matt Tennant/C/Boston College, Robert Johnson/S/Utah
4th: Anthony McCoy/TE/USC-I had trouble deciding whether there was a chance McCoy would even be left right here. I've seen him be as far down as the 6th round but as high as the 2nd. I guess I met them in the middle in the fourth round. Watching McCoy play, he doesn't have great speed, but his hands are fantastic. However, if the Colts are drafting him, it's for his blocking. McCoy is big and a punishing blocker. He's one of the best blockers in this class. His threat in the receiving game is just a complement to his fantastic blocking. He's a more athletic Ben Utecht with better hands. He is good value in the 4th. I just can't see him being taken in the 2nd round with his lack of speed and production at USC. He also had some academic problems which cost him some time as well. With the big need of left tackle and two minor needs at cornerback and defensive end covered, it's all about value. If Gijon Robinson doesn't see the field, I will be just fine. Tom Santi has a lot of potential, but he is also too injury prone. Jacob Tamme is a receiving tight end, not a blocker. Cut Gijon and draft McCoy? I'd be down for that.
Other players considered: Ed Dickson/TE/Oregon, Robert Johnson/S/Utah, Myron Lewis/S/Vanderbilt, Micah Johnson/MLB/Kentucky, Darryl Sharpton/MLB/Miami (Fla.), Rennie Curran/OLB/Georgia, Vince Oghobaase/DT/Duke, Jeff Byers/OG/USC
5th: Barry Church/SS/Toledo-None of my struggles deciding who to take compared to the one I had for the 5th round. I looked at a bunch of middle linebackers, offensive guards, centers, outside linebackers, defensive tackles, and safeties. Church ended up coming out on top. This is a bit of a stretch depending on who you ask, but Church is really good, and as I recall, Jerraud Powers was a stretch as well. Church is a very poor man's Bob Sanders in the way that he plays. He is very good in run defense and has good coverage skills in the zone defense. He is a good open field tackler with a lot of experience. He started every game in his college career and was on the All-MAC team in all 4 years as well. He has great size at 6-2, 219. His main problem is man coverage, but thankfully the Colts run a Cover-2 defense where he will rarely have to play in man. He also has a shot to grow into a linebacker in my opinion. No matter where he plays, I like this pick a lot.
Other players considered: Earl Mitchell/DT/Arizona, Boris Lee/MLB/Troy, Joe Pawelek/MLB/Baylor, Kenny Alfred/G & C/Washington State, Leigh Tiffin/K/Alabama
7th: Phillip Dillard/MLB/Nebraska-I just can't see Leigh Tiffin falling all the way to the bottom of the 7th round. I think Tiffin is going to be awesome, and if the Colts get a 6th round compensation pick, then Tiffin would be that pick. However, since there is no kicker worth taking, middle linebacker seems to be the best route. Dillard seems like a good value pick in round 7. When a team is picking this late, special teams has to be a concern. Dillard projects well as a kickoff and punt coverage man. He is a nice tackler and has good speed. Another concern is if Dillard could be a successor to Gary Brackett. Brackett will be re-signed. I have no doubt about that, but he is also getting up there in age. Dillard is pretty good in pass coverage and can stop the run. I don't know if he will ever be starting material, but he should get his chances.
Other players considered: Vincent Rey/MLB/Duke, James Williams/OT/Harvard, Thomas Welch/OT/Vanderbilt, Will Barker/OT/Virginia, Aaron Pettrey/K/Ohio State, Tim Hiller/QB/Western Michigan, Armanti Edwards/WR/Appalachian State, Chris Chancellor/CB/Clemson
So there you go. Six picks and the Colts pick up a strong left tackle, a cornerback who is electric on special teams, a defensive end with unbelievable upside, a blocking tight end who can also make great catches, a safety who I consider to be a major sleeper, and a middle linebacker with a history of good leadership and work ethic. I regret not finding another offensive lineman or a kicker in the draft, but there are only so many picks. There are still some undrafted free agents left to be picked up. As Jacob Lacey, Eric Foster, and Gary Brackett proved, not being drafted doesn't mean failure is ahead. Polian will pick out a gem in UDFAs. It is too hard to project all of the undrafted free agents, but a kicker, defensive tackle, and offensive guard seem like the positions with the most potential to find the next UDFA star.
I would grade this draft as an A+ for sure. I see a Pro Bowl left tackle, a Devin Hester-like returner, a defensive end who could be a superstar, and 3 other players who should be big contributors on offense, defense, and special teams. If the draft week brings the Colts this team, I would be absolutely thrilled.
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Comments
I would punch everyone I know if this was our draft
Because I was happy, though. Love the idea of getting a corner w/returning skills. The only downside to that would be that he has twice as many opportunities to get hurt and it would screw us over twice as bad if he does.
But, in reality, we’ll all probably be scratching our heads and saying, “Who, Bill? Who did you just draft?” And then a few months later they’ll all be starting and we’ll look like morons for questioning the guru.
True
Although last year’s draft was oddly not surprising. Donald Brown was mocked to the Colts by Drafttek (although in the 2nd) and I had Fili Moala going to the Colts in the 2nd round in two mocks I did prior to the draft last year. Powers was the only one that was a shocking surprise and pretty much describes your last sentence.
"I find a duck's opinion of me is very much influenced by whether or not I have bread."
-Mitch Hedberg
I wasn't following this site last year
But I remember all of the big deal mockers were giving us a DT or WR in the first. DHB or Nicks for WRs. and Jerry or Hood for DTs. I was aware that they might look for a 2nd halfback, but was surprised when they did it in the 1st.
I loved Nicks and Jerry
DHB was never a fit for the Colts. Once it was clear Jerry would be gone before the Colts picked everyone got on the Ziggy Hood bandwagon. I have a bad feeling something like that could happen to Charles Brown in this year’s draft.
"I find a duck's opinion of me is very much influenced by whether or not I have bread."
-Mitch Hedberg
I've got the same feeling about Arenas this year
He was initially projected to the 3rd. Now he’s being projected into the 2nd and after the combine, who knows? I just think a lot of teams will want an electric returner who happens to be a decent corner. Remember the Dolphins taking Ginn Jr. when they had much bigger needs?
I like It
Would you shift CJ to right tackle or inside? I’ve read either are possible.
Every Breath That Is In Your Lungs
Is A Tiny Little Gift To Me
Is A Tiny Little Gift To Me
by DClark#44 on Feb 11, 2010 5:58 PM EST via mobile reply actions
Not sure
I would like it if there was a 3 man race for right tackle with Ugoh, Diem, and CJ with the two losers battling with DeVan for the right guard spot. CJ was pretty terrible in 2007 at right tackle filling in for Diem, but he’s a better player overall. I really hope that both CJ and Ugoh can beat out Diem for RG and RT just so there can be more promise on the line.
"I find a duck's opinion of me is very much influenced by whether or not I have bread."
-Mitch Hedberg
If Ugoh emerged at RT I'd be so happy
I was such a fan of the guy his rookie year, but by the time he was benched I couldn’t be overly outraged (I mostly recall being puzzled since CJ hadn’t shown much before then).
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Feb 11, 2010 6:08 PM EST up reply actions
Another Question
Since we signed Chick from the CFL, do you think we should spend another draft pick on a de?
Every Breath That Is In Your Lungs
Is A Tiny Little Gift To Me
Is A Tiny Little Gift To Me
by DClark#44 on Feb 11, 2010 6:27 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
if there's value there
and with 6+ picks there’s a good chance there will be at some point.
Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
by shake n bake on Feb 11, 2010 6:45 PM EST up reply actions
Oh and on the draft
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Luck is probability taken personally, clutch is probability attributed to individuals.
This +
The Andy Samberg picture = My draft day reaction if this happens.
"I find a duck's opinion of me is very much influenced by whether or not I have bread."
-Mitch Hedberg
Can our team contract undrafted players this year?
It’d be pretty awesome if you shake could predict our UFA contracts after all
Quitters never win, but cheaters sometimes do
Love it
In my mocks I always have either Arenas or Cox in the second, Lane in the third and sometimes Brown in the first. I maybe would have taken Rolle in the 4th (if he was available), if not Greg Olsen, then Joe Pawelek in the 5th and either another CB, an interior O-lineman (if we didn’t already draft Olsen), a safety (if we didn’t already draft Rolle) or a DT in the 7th. But this would be great.
Trouble is Lane is going to skyrocket up the draft boards come combine time, and I have a feeling Arenas will too. I see Arenas as an early-to-mid second rounder by draft day, and unless he has a horrid combine Lane is going to workout his way into the top of the 3rd. Plus, Lane is too huge for the Colts. They like their ends teeny-tiny. But damn, if it wouldn’t be awesome to see a guy with his size and potential on the roster.
"You're hitting the wrong person. Don't you know you're hitting Ron Artest?"
I remember when my HS played Pawelek's.
We were in the same district. He’s a beast.
"Between the wish and the thing the world lies waiting."
— Cormac McCarthy (All the Pretty Horses)
by Addai Another Aday on Feb 11, 2010 8:05 PM EST via mobile up reply actions
I agree
I hate the Combine. It always makes the good players rise up the board. Although it could do the opposite for Brown and make him available at #31. If Brown is gone and Arenas’ stock rises because of the Combine I would not be opposed to taking him at #31. I wonder if Cincinnati wouldn’t mind trading down to 31 so the Colts could get Brown. I’m afraid of not coming out of this draft without a better offensive line.
"I find a duck's opinion of me is very much influenced by whether or not I have bread."
-Mitch Hedberg
Worried
About Pete Carroll wanting Brown at 14, since he’s a former USC guy and he’d fit in there scheme-wise. If I were Carroll I’d take Bradford 6th if possible, then the best OT at 14, and to him that may be his guy Brown. If Brown is close to 300 by combine, I really don’t think he has any other choice.
"You're hitting the wrong person. Don't you know you're hitting Ron Artest?"
I agree I believe he should and will take either Clausin or Bradford 6th and then probably an OT with the 14th just not sure which one but Brown def. is an option.
Draft Mocker/ Co-Leader of yearly 7 round live mock draft at MtD
by TheAngelsColts on Feb 11, 2010 11:13 PM EST up reply actions
I like it
I really, really like it.
I would like to upgrade our OLBs at some point. OLB falls in the same category as S and DT for me.
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi
Pretty good.
I like Brown and think he is the obvious choice if available, i’m just not as over the top excited about him as some others are. I’m very concerned about his strength in the run game. I would really like to see him bulk up and show some power. I also thin it’s only about 50-50 that he is available for us.
Arenas wouldn’t be too bad. I’ve been lobbying against a KR specialist in the early rounds, but I think he does have value at nickle corner as well. Wouldn’t be a bad pick.
Haven’t seen much of Austen Lane, but I would not take a DE that high. I would love to see another OL here. If Jon Asamoah G Illinois happens to fall this far another versatile interior lineman would be a good pickup.
As much as I don’t really like it, I think you are right about us taking a TE at some point. I would prefer Ed Dickson to McCoy, but 6 of one half dozen of the other.
I think we do need a safety and Church is by far the best available this late. If someone like Reshad Jones slips into round 3 I might pull the trigger there though.
Dillard would be a great pick in the 7th. Very solid player and Nebraska and we could use a backup MLB.
Polian's complaining about our OL
Is a sign that he’s gonna draft at least 2 or 3 OL players. I just hope he manages to find those late picks which can turn out to be great players in our team.
Quitters never win, but cheaters sometimes do
Best Scenario
This is a really good mock draft, but I think Arenas will be available in the third round.
1st Round: OT-Bruce Campbell-6’7 310-Maryland- This guy is a beast and dominated opponents both in the run game and pass game, though he is a little bit raw. I should know, I watched every one of his games b/c I live in Maryland. He would allow Charlie to either move to guard or Right Tackle.
2nd Round:DE-Jason Pierre-Paul-6’6 275-USF-After transferring to USF from a small school, Paul came out of nowhere and dominated with 16.5 tackles for loss and 8 sacks. He is very raw, but if he reaches his full potential, the Colts defense could could actually be great even if Freeney or Mathis goes down. Great speed rusher.
3rd Round:CB/KR-Javier Arenas-5’9 205-Bama-Unbelievable tackling ability for a corner of his size. He might fall this far because his stock dropped a little bit in the Senior Bowl, as he was vulnerable on deep throws. Still, the colts could definitely use him as a nickelback, not to mention he would add a whole other dimension to this team with his kick and punt returning abilities.
4th Round:MLB-Daryl Washington-6’2 230-TCU-Yes he doesn’t have the greatest bulk, but he is very fast and fits the Colts profile. Not to mention he is pretty tall and has great coverage abilities and is agreat leader.He could be groomed as Gary Brackett’s replacement.
5th Round:OG-Mike Johnson-6’5 305-Bama- Very well rounded and is a great pass blocker as well as run blocker. Only reason he may fall this far is because of improper technique, which isn’t unfixable.
6th Round-No Pick(Traded to Eagles last year)
7th Round-K-Leigh Tiffin-6’1 212-Bama-Probably one of the most reliable kickers in college football history. Could add some young leg here for the Colts as Stover is sure to be released and Vinatieri struggling with injuries. Could be used for the longer kicks. He could eventually become the starter after Vinatieri retires.
Well, that would be the best kind of draft for the Colts, since all the needs would be adressed, along with taking the best player on the board instead of reaching.
(Note: not a Bama homer, just like how their players play in a pro system)
I think...
1) Campbell in the 1st is optimistic
2) Pierre-Paul in the 2nd is very optimistic (I think end of 1st is optimistic for him)
3) Arenas late in the 3rd is optimistic
4) Washington in the late 4th is very optimistic
5) Johnson in the 5th is optimistic
6) Kiffin late in the 7th is optimistic.
You basically have all players falling ½-2 rounds later than most (if not all) projections.
"It's the greatest job in the world until Peyton comes off the field and you think his thumb might be broken and there's three minutes left in the AFC Championship Game and you're down by three to New England and you haven't taken a snap all year. Yeah, it's a great job until that point." - Jim Sorgi
by gizzardfanny on Feb 12, 2010 11:27 AM EST up reply actions
Afraid I agree...
Campbell could be gone in the top 10 and certainly by the time the Cowboys pick…
McShay has JPP going in the top 5… not going to happen, but likely a mid-first early 2nd rounder.
Outside chance that Arenas falls this far (his cover skills certainly warrant no better than a 3rd round grade) but his return skills make him a late 2nd – mid 3rd.
Washington is also a late 2nd – early 3rd rounder.
Hard to tell about Johnson. Could go as high as the 2nd round, but feels like a mid 3rd – early 4th to me.
Tiffin… who knows with kickers. I suspect someone might grab him in the 6th, but hard to say.
by invisibulman on Feb 12, 2010 2:30 PM EST up reply actions

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