It's time for Week 5 of the Winning Stats Predictor, and it had its best week of the season last week, going 9-7 Against the Spread and 11-5 Straight Up. We get our first byes of the season, so only 13 games this week.
This week I'm strictly using data from 2011, so it's still pretty volatile, but I think better than using numbers from last season, as so many teams are different from a year ago. In past years I've done it in Week 6, but I think it's a little more accurate this way. I guess we'll find out.
Here are the picks for Week 5:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers | 21 | Saints | 34 | 85.2% |
| Bills | 20 | Eagles | 29 | 73.2% |
| Giants | 25 | Seahawks | 10 | 84.9% |
| Jaguars | 20 | Bengals | 25 | 62.3% |
| Colts | 27 | Chiefs | 22 | 65.3% |
| Steelers | 25 | Titans | 27 | 55.9% |
| Vikings | 22 | Cardinals | 19 | 58.4% |
| Texans | 29 | Raiders | 26 | 58.0% |
| 49ers | 29 | Buccaneers | 33 | 64.2% |
| Patriots | 28 | Jets | 22 | 67.8% |
| Broncos | 11 | Chargers | 31 | 91.1% |
| Falcons | 20 | Packers | 31 | 75.9% |
| Lions | 17 | Bears | 12 | 65.2% |
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