Any one else going back and editing their Colts picks for the year with today's not so good news?

My general big-picture guesses:
If Peyton is Peyton, Colts win 10 to 13.
If Peyton is not Peyton, Colts win 5 to 7.
If no Peyton at all, Colts win 2 to 3, draft Andrew Luck, Manning plays 3 more years and the Colts go to the playoffs the next 15 years.

I still believe that Manning starts week one in Houston; however, I don't think it's for all the right reasons and he'll be lucky to be at 80% of himself.  At Hou he plays reasonably well, but it becomes apparent when analyzing the game film that he can't throw with any zip or tight accuracy outside of 20 yards.  Colts lose to Hou by 16 because they can't stop their running game and AndJo goes for 150. 

With Peyton at 70 to 80%, the Colts are still able to sneak past inept Cle by forcing C McCoy into some bad picks.  But now it's beyond obvious he can't throw downfield.

Pitt completely exploits this inability and wins by 30 with Collins playing half the game.  NBC is embarrassed they got this telecast.  Dungy says he really has no idea what's going on the postgame show.

By the Tampa trip, he's either all the way back or they short-term shelve him and Collins starts the next 3 winnable games at TB, vs KC, and at Cincy. 

Hopefully the nerves are able to properly stimulate his tricep soon.  Otherwise it's going to be a long season.  Being able to pull a power running game out of their ass with the 3 new guys on the O line would also be most bodacious, but I'm not holding my breath.