Peyton not typical of #1 pick QBs

by ex-Viking fan on Sep 18, 2011 1:24 PM EDT

What do Jeff George, Drew Bledsoe, Peyton Manning, Tim Couch, Michael Vick, David Carr, Carson Palmer, Eli Manning, Alex Smith, JaMarcus Russell, Matt Stafford and Sam Bradford have in common? They are the twelve QBs taken with #1 overall picks since 1990.

Note that 10 of these QBs have never started in a Super Bowl, with 5 turning out to be complete busts for the teams that picked them. Only one has really earned the label of superstar. I believe four others have played in the Pro Bowl, and two are too young to fairly evaluate. If we "suck for Luck" and take him #1, past experience with #1 pick QBs suggests about even odds between a bust and a good QB.And including other QBs taken in the top 5 doesn't change much. That doesn't add any Super Bowl winners but does add some notable busts like Akili Smith and Ryan Leaf, though also some solid QBs like Phillip Rivers or Donovan McNabb. I believe the earliest that any Super Bowl-winning QB not named Manning has been picked since 1990 has been Ben Roethlisberger at #11.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors.

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Eli Manning

He won a superbowl. And I see 3 busts Couch, Carr, and Russell. George never lived up to the 1st pick, but was descent and Alex Smith is the starter for the 49ers.

by EuroCap on Sep 18, 2011 4:21 PM EDT reply actions

Thats what he said in the article he didnt say peyton

I believe the earliest that any Super Bowl-winning QB not named Manning has been picked since 1990 has been Ben Roethlisberger at #11.

by C.Settles on Sep 19, 2011 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions

Peyton is not typical period.

There is nobody that compares, especially in importance to his team. As evidenced by the first 0-2 start in forever.

by tim55 on Sep 18, 2011 5:12 PM EDT reply actions

Something to consider

Teams with the first pick usually are extremely unstable. The coaching staff changes quickly, and there had to be something terribly wrong with the team to finish with the worst record in the league. And if we have the number one overall pick, we know that terrible thing is not having Peyton Manning. Luck would be in a relatively stable situation in which he could develop his skills and become better acclimated to the coaching staff and schemes before he had to play. Besides, go ahead and take out Jamarcus Russel. I don’t think he should count. Al Davis picked him, after all…

by coltsfan88 on Sep 18, 2011 6:38 PM EDT reply actions

This doesn't really make sense, sorry

You can’t decide not to draft a player like Andrew Luck because he could be the next Jamarcus Russell (0 chance whatsoever of that being true aside). You must draft him because he could be the next great QB. That’s the entire point of the draft.

by LeftNutForAStarCenter on Sep 20, 2011 10:11 AM EDT reply actions