2011 NFL Winning Stats Predictor: Game Picks Week One

by mgrex03 on Sep 7, 2011 11:00 AM EDT in Winning Stats

Editors Note: Be sure to enter your picks in the Stampede Blue Prediction Contest. Get in early so you have a chance to be the best predictor on the site!

These predictor posts kind of fell off last season, and I don't want that to happen again this year. I've made a couple improvements to the predictor, and the previous results jumped up over 5% against the spread over the past 5 years, which I was thrilled with, and I still have quite a few ideas to make it even better.

Each week I'll let you know what the predictor says for each game of the NFL season, and I'd really like to see if it can beat everyone against the spread. That's your challenge. Can you do it?

Here's the picks for Week 1:

Home	Score	Away	Score	Probability
Packers	32	Saints	24	95.6%
Bears	16	Falcons	23	91.5%
Texans	36	Colts	35	52.7%
Chiefs	27	Bills	19	91.3%
Jaguars	24	Titans	25	52.0%
Browns	18	Bengals	29	97.4%
Rams	11	Eagles	28	99.7%
Ravens	19	Steelers	24	82.8%
Buccaneers	33	Lions	29	81.3%
Chargers	32	Vikings	14	99.8%
Redskins	12	Giants	20	95.2%
Cardinals	9	Panthers	8	70.9%
49ers	26	Seahawks	13	98.7%
Jets	20	Cowboys	13	90.3%
Dolphins	26	Patriots	37	99.5%
Broncos	16	Raiders	26	96.7%

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Comments

Is this with or without Peyton?

by icedude on Sep 7, 2011 11:06 AM EDT reply actions

36-35??

How are we going to score 35?? I’m thinking 34-14 houston. They’ll look good in week 1 just like last year, and just like last year they’ll eventually fade away. They consider it their Super Bowl when we come to town!

Also, I see the Rams beating Philly. Dont buy into the Eagles hype, they arent that good!

by bigpony on Sep 7, 2011 11:21 AM EDT reply actions