[Editor's Note: Stampede Blue welcomes new writer Christopher Price into the fold for his second week of spread-killing picks. Christopher knows a thing or three about sports betting... ask Vegas. Going 2-1 last week on his top picks, let's see how he fares in this week's action!]
Texans (4-0) @ Jets (2-2)
Pick – Texans (-7.5)
Pick of the Week: FIVE STARS!!!
Watching QB Mark Sanchez (69.6 QB Rating - 813 YDS, 5 TD's, 4 INT's) attempt to lead this New York Jets (2-2) franchise week after week has left much to be desired, to put it lightly. Maybe this is the week that the Jets get over the hump, get it turned around and... ahhh, hell... the Houston Texans (4-0) are headed into town - never mind.
If you were looking forward to a great start of the 2012 season for the Jets - you know, the same way ESPN and Rex Ryan over-hyped them since January - those hopes were quickly crushed when New York allowed the San Francisco 49’ers (3-1) to come into Met Life Stadium this past Sunday and showcased a 34-0 routing while taking the team’s leading WR Santonio Holmes (20 REC, 272 YDS, 1 TD) with them. San Francisco’s defense was as good as everyone expected; now allow me to introduce you to a Texans franchise who can shut down both the run (11th – 90.3 YPG) and the pass (2nd – 182.8 YPG) in impressive fashion while putting up numbers in bunches (31.5 PPG).
As everyone discusses Houston’s offensive power with their duo of workhorse RB’s Arian Foster (103 ATT, 380 YDS, 4 TD’s) and Ben Tate (30 ATT, 117 YDS, 2 TD’s), combined with the leadership of QB Matt Schaub (105.3 QB Rating - 953 YDS, 1 INT, 7 TD’s) and further complimented by their premier WR Andre Johnson (16 REC, 268 YDS, 2 TD’s) and TE Owen Daniels (19 REC, 232 YDS, 2 TD’s), I feel it's the defense that is going to be the key in covering the spread in New York. Consider it a good thing that no one expects anything from Sanchez’s passing game because he’s definitely not going to change any minds this week when facing a pass defense that'd make the two fine gentlemen playing in Foxboro this weekend lose sleep. Oh, and being the "talk of the town" throughout the sports world, we now want to spotlight the Texans on Monday Night Football? Game over.
Last week Sanchez looked extremely off - even for Sanchez. I’m not sure if the route-running was poorly timed, if no one on the team (offense or defense) were on the same page, if girlfriend Eva Longoria kept Sanchez up too late on Pinterest or if it’s simply his time to finally take a back seat and allow QB Tim Tebow to take the reigns at this point?
Whatever it is, let’s be honest - Sanchez is no leader. He’s not your come-from-behind quarterback. He’s not your scrambler out of the pocket. He’s not your deep threat, downfield passer. He’s not your athlete who simply makes things happen when he needs to. He’s… well... he's Mark Sanchez - a sub-par quarterback trying to fill a starter’s role. He could only hide behind a great defense for a few years – without CB Darrelle Revis he seems even more lackluster. Now, you’re asking this man to do the seemingly impossible without their key receiver on the field? C’mon, man… that sh*t cray!
Don’t let the half-point, thoughts of a breakout game by the Jets or being on the road while on MNF scare you – sometimes it’s as simple as it seems. Take the Texans to cover - like they've been doing the entire season... yes, they're that good!
Just So Ya' Know:
- Texans are 4-0 ATS this season
- Texans are 7-0-1 ATS in last 8-games following SU win of 14-points or more
- Jets are 5-0 all-time vs. Texans