In A Class Of His Own: Scouts Overwhelmingly Prefer Andrew Luck To RG3
Well, the verdict is in. Sorta, kinda, maybe.
In an excellent, and I mean excellent article from Jason Cole detailing everything Andrew Luck (yes, even his infamous neck beard), there was one small statistic that rings home with what we've heard for months and months.
In a survey of 15 scouts, dating back to the Senior Bowl, 14 of them said that Luck would be their pick at number one overall. And that gasp you hear is from RG3's agent/camp. Not really, but is anyone surprised? To be perfectly honest, while RG3 has certainly made the "battle" for the numbered golden boy status interesting, the race was never really that close.
And no, it's not about the color of his skin or the simple fact that he's very mobile. If anyone makes a judgement from the color of one's skin, I'll be very blunt about my feelings towards them: They're an idiot, a bigot, and simply don't deserve to be considered. I hate to even bring it up, but there is just absolutely no room for any of this. I've seen some despicable comments on a variety of forums and until those go away, it will always be questioned.
When you look past the hype/garbage and get down to brass tacks, it's always about talent evaluation. We've seen what a prototypical "scramble first" quarterback (Cam Newton) can do in this league in the pocket and on the run. RG3 has the ability, the arm, and the brains---graduated with an impressive 3.65 GPA in political science---to be very successful. Maybe even more successful than Newton, Luck, or both combined. So, without trying to steal too much thunder from Matt's upcoming Luck draft profile, let's vaguely break down some of the elements of why he's ultimately preferred:
First off, he's very familiar with a pro-style offense and has some brains of his own (academic All-America). That has been the focal point at Stanford for the last three years. Luck was basically given the reigns to the offense as a RS sophomore, calling audibles at the line to counter defenses. Without a stud wide out and even with the departure of his coach/mentor, Jim Harbaugh, he put up gaudy stats---insane accuracy---by utilizing Stanford's two tight ends, Coby Fleener and Zac Ertz.
Secondly, he's built like a brick you-know-what and is severely underrated in the mobility category. Sitting at 6-foot-4, 235 pounds, he's a top-notch physical specimen for the position and can make moves within the pocket that remind you of Aaron Rodgers. If anyone can seemingly take a beating at the next level from NFL quality pass rushers, it'll be Luck. RG3 is 6-foot-2, 220 pounds and two seasons removed from a disastrous ACL injury. Thankfully, for the sake of his health and for the sake of college football, RG3 was able to fully recover and prove all of his doubters wrong. This approach might be the factor that pushes him to excel beyond everyone's wildest dreams. If teams see Luck as the better prospect (which he is), then maybe it will only serve as motivation for the Baylor product to prove everyone wrong, once again.
Or maybe he takes a hit and his knee goes kaboom, once again.
Tom Brady demolished his ACL and MCL, only to come back and rarely miss a step. RG3 could go on to lead a long NFL career, injury-free. However, that's a very legit risk that will forever remain with RG3. Is it unfair? Maybe. And I hate to dwell on such. But, when your putting all of your chips on the line with one guy, it's always better to be safe than sorry and Luck is one heck of a "safety net".
Yes. RG3 is very mobile, has a huge arm, and is an Olympic athlete, but that won't always be there to save him in the NFL. He will take brutal hits and only time will tell if he can sustain them.
And just in case some of you are wagging your fingers in disapproval because Luck wears his own knee brace, you can rest easy knowing that it is for preventative purposes. That little habit comes from Jim Harbaugh. Alex Smith wears one. Colin Kaepernick wears one. Not only does it look cool, but it helps provide stability on the quarterback's plant leg and helps prevent trauma when either side of the knee is contacted. Harbaugh wore the same brace throughout college, took it off, but started using it again after a MCL injury.
So, while Andrew Luck might not be the next Peyton Manning and may never win a Super Bowl, he's undoubtedly, the primo pick that has every piece of the puzzle to be very successful at the next level.
Bring on the neck beard.
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Great write up as usual...
It baffles me that people that like Luck frequently trash RG3 as a Vick 2.0 and people that like RG3 paint Luck as a Leaf 2.0…
There is room in the NFL for both to become elite QBs. Indy should draft Luck because he is betters better player and prepared to play in a pro offense. RG3 has huge upside and should be an excellent QB if he goes to a
franchise who surrounds his skills with matching talent.
Very few QBs (Manning being one of them) can instantly change a franchise by themself. And even Peyton had great tools to work with early on when Polian was knocking the drafts out of the park. If the Colts didn’t have a Harrison or an Edge Peyton would not have been as statistically successful in his early years nor would the Colts have had 12-14 wins every season.
Brady would not be where he is if he was drafted by the Lions or the Bills. The Colts know how to build a winner and have outstanding facilities and generally draft well and have a strong locker room so Luck will be fine. Let’s not discount the benefits of playing in a dome stadium for QBs either. Unlike Favre and Eli and Brady you are not fighting the wind and elements.
If RG3 goes to a dumpster fire like Cleveland or he probably will be a bust. If he goes to a team like Washington or Miami who has always has some high level talent but no QB he will have a chance to be really good. If Carolina surrounds Cam with good draft picks he will be a SB contending QB otherwise he will not
by (206)NightRidah on Feb 22, 2012 12:26 AM EST via mobile reply actions
Not saying that RG3 is going to be a Vick but if you look at film of ever down and not just highlights, Luck is more poise, in control, looks over the entire field and puts the ball where it has to be. In highlights of RG3 some of his completions are WR having to make adjustments to catch it.
by Cwhite916 on Feb 22, 2012 10:30 AM EST via mobile up reply actions
My issue with RG3
In the NFL, you cannot rely on getting out of the pocket before making your throw as your primary modus operandi. Pocket passing abilities matter more still, IMO, especially when you have about 3 seconds to diagnose things and get rid of the ball against the best edge rushers at the pro level.
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/players/1620788/robert-griffin-iii
Certain red flags in the above scouting profile:
“looks to get outside of the pocket too soon”
“Needs to develop better pre-snap awareness to see the blitz and recognize what the defense is doing”
“RG3 can tend to hold the ball too long and take unnecessary hits”
These are the main reasons I would prefer Luck.
It is important to mention that quarterbacking in the NFL is about 80% mental, more so than any other position in sport with the possible exception of auto racing. Mental speed-processing information correctly is usually the difference between winning and losing. I’m not concerned with the scouts saying his arm isn’t especially strong. What interests me is the fact that not only has he been completing 72% of his passes while calling his own plays in a pro-style offense, but he
has had a role this past season in preparing the game plan each week! Sound like anyone we
know? God bless the ‘Sheriff’, but now we can start over with the ‘Architect Of Victory’.
All the above can be corrected.
To me, you can’t go wrong with either guy. Both of them are definitely a cut above the rest of the field. Also, both are unproven in the NFL…
Andrew Luck all the way
I wouldn’t have considered RG3 given the choice. The risk of injury is higher for QB that run the ball too much. Luck is good to go but the question that lingers is always going to be this Manning Saga.
REPORTS
at the Combine are saying that Griffen will measure closer to 6’. That will be a problem for a lot of teams.

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