Results-First Live Mock of the Season

Tonight was the way-too-early-post-bowl-games-pre-Super-Bowl live mock over at Mocking the Draft and I was the Colts rep for our single pick. What started out as a one-round mock became a two-rounder, not that it impacted me at all. No trades were allowed.

I've been doing live mocks for a while now, and I approach with the same strategy a good GM uses: where need meets value and refuse to make up my mind on a pick or position until I'm on the clock. But, if a player of such immense value presents himself, I'm not going to shy away from him unless it is a quarterback. I also made absolutely NO considerations about who gets signed in free agency and didn't let any of those speculations influence my decisions.

Without further ado, here are the results:

Round 1

1. Kansas City Chiefs: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas

2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Star Lotulelei, DE/DT, Utah

3. Oakland Raiders: Bjorn Werner, DE, Florida State

4. Philadelphia Eagles: Jarvis Jones, DE/OLB, Georgia

5. Detroit Lions: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M

6. Cleveland Browns: Dion Jordan, DE/OLB, Oregon

7. Arizona Cardinals: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia

8. Buffalo Bills: Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse

9. New York Jets: Damontre Moore, DE/OLB, Texas A&M

10. Tennessee Titans: Barkevious Mingo, DE/OLB, LSU

11. San Diego Chargers: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan

12. Miami Dolphins: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama

13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jonathan Banks, CB, Mississippi State

14. Carolina Panthers: Sheldon Richardson, DE/DT, Missouri

15. New Orleans Saints: Jesse Williams, DT/NT, Alabama

16. St. Louis Rams: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ezekiel Ansah, DE/OLB, BYU

18. Dallas Cowboys: Barrett Jones, C/OG, Alabama

19. New York Giants: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State

20. Chicago Bears: Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame

21. Cincinnati Bengals: Giovanni Bernard, RB, North Carolina

22. St. Louis Rams*: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas

23. Minnesota Vikings: Jonathan Hankins, DT/NT, Ohio State

24. Indianapolis Colts: Keenan Allen, WR, California

25. Seattle Seahawks: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson

26. Baltimore Ravens: Alec Ogletree, ILB/OLB, Georgia

27. Green Bay Packers: Oday Aboushi, OT, Virginia

28. San Francisco 49ers: Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina

29. Houston Texans: DJ Fluker, OT, Alabama

30. New England Patriots: Kawaan Short, DT, Purdue

31. Denver Broncos: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina

32. Atlanta Falcons: Alex Okafor, DE, Texas

Round 2**:

33. Jacksonville Jaguars: Cordarelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee

34. Kansas City Chiefs: Logan Ryan, CB, Rutgers

35. Philadelphia Eagles: Eric Reid, S, LSU

36. Detroit Lions: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia

37. Cincinnati Bengals***: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama

38. Arizona Cardinals: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma

39. New York Jets: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU

40. Tennessee Titans: Philip Thomas, S, Fresno State

41. Buffalo Bills: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee

42. Miami Dolphins: Robert Woods, WR, USC

43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Sam Montgomery, DE/OLB, LSU

44. Carolina Panthers: Dallas Thomas, OT/OG, Tennessee

45. San Diego Chargers: Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State

46. St. Louis Rams: Matt Elam, S, Florida

47. Dallas Cowboys: Margus Hunt, DE/DT, Southern Methodist

49. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jonathan Jenkins, DT/NT, Georgia

50. New York Giants: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame

51. Chicago Bears: Justin Pugh, OT, Syracuse

51. Washington Redskins: Tony Jefferson, S, Oklahoma

51. Minnesota Vikings: Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor

53. Cincinnati Bengals: Kyle Long, OT, Oregon

54. Miami Dolphins****: Brennan Williams, OT, North Carolina

55. Baltimore Ravens: Jordan Poyer, CB, Oregon State

56. Green Bay Packers: Stephan Taylor, RB, Stanford

57. Seattle Seahawks: Zach Etrz, TE, Stanford

58. Houston Texans: Corey Lemonier, DE/OLB, Auburn

59. San Francisco 49ers: Baccari Rambo, S, Georgia

60. New England Patriots: Da'Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech

61. Denver Broncos: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida

62. Atlanta Falcons: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington

*Via Washington

**New Orleans lost its second-round pick in the bounty scandal and Cleveland used its second round pick in the supplemental draft on Josh Gordan

***via Oakland

****via Indianapolis

Pick logic

It should make JZP feel better that there are those who agree with him. That's the beauty of a live mock, just like the real draft people do things you don't expect. Tyler Wilson going first overall and Ryan Nassib going 8th overall pushed a lot of players down.

I know most everyone wanted an offensive linemen. Lewan and Matthews returning for their senior years thinned out the tackle class and pushed Fisher up higher than he provides value. Aboushi is a good prospect (and one I considered), but I need to see him go up against the elite rushers in the Senior Bowl before I'm willing to move him into the first round. I also need to see more of Lane Johnson, especially since he only has two years of starting experience Chance Warmack went long before the pick, as did Barrett Jones on a reach from the Cowboys. Jonathan Cooper was available, but his injury history troubles me and while he provided value, it wasn't as great as Allen's value, especially with guys like Alvin Bailey, Travis Frederick, Gabe Jackson, and Omogorie Uzzi all likely available in the third round, not to mention tackles like Brian Winters, Ricky Wagner, Brennan Williams who could all take over for Winston Justice on the right side.

Unfortunately, all the value in the defensive backfield was also taken. My favorite corner prospect, Jonathan Banks, went early (I don't think Dee Milliner will live up to his draft position). Xavier Rhodes, the other corner I'd consider in the first, went a few picks ahead. Kenny Vaccaro, my favorite safety, suffered the same fate. I know some here have advocated for Matt Elam, but I'm not fond his size. Further, I think he'll be a factory for personal foul calls and fines in the next level unless he can display more discipline. 24 would have been a major reach for Eric Reid. Again, there is likely some safety value in the third, especially Shawne Williams, TJ Macdonald, Robert Lester, Duke Williams, and Phillip Thomas.

This is a good draft for pass rushers, but unfortunately the best were long gone even though they fell. The only pass rusher I like in the area the Colts will be picking was Ansah, and he was long gone. Sam Montgomery has some major hips issues, he is far too stiff, and lacks the ability to quickly change direction. Between Montgomery or Jerry Hughes for the role of third rusher, I'd rather have Jerry Hughes (who I saw dramatic improvement from this year). There are some decent mid-round pass rushers like Sean Porter, Travis Long, Chase Thomas, and Trevardo Williams.

In the end, I took Keenan Allen because he provided the best value, better than Montgomery, Cooper, Aboushi, or Elam. Allen is the best receiver in the class and the 12th overall prospect according to CBS. While Allen does not have take-the-top-off high end speed, he has excellent short-area quickness. Allen has excellent balance and agility and the ability to take a short-gain and get the ever-valuable YAC. Allen is a hand-catcher and plucks the ball at its crest more often than not. Allen is experience and fluid in his routes and isn't afraid to go over the middle. Allen is also and able and willing blocker in the run game.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors.

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