2013 NFL Winning Stats Predictor: Week 6 Picks

Pat Lovell-USA TODAY Sports

A week to forget last week. Let's try to turn it around this week.

It was a rough week for the Winning Stats Predictor, going just 5-9 Against the Spread, bringing the season total down to 38-36-3, dangerously close to .500, an area I'd really like to avoid going under. As far as picking winners it wasn't much better, going just 7-7, bringing that season total to 48-29. Still looking OK, just don't like the bad week.

After this week I'll be phasing out last season and exclusively using data from 2013. I toyed with doing it this week, but I think it's still too early, even though I think the team rankings are looking a lot closer to where my eyes see things. I did notice of the 15 games this weekend, only the first (the Bears) and the last (Colts) are picked to cover as the favorite. We'll see how it goes (as I'm writing this, it's 27-14 Bears, so a good chance they cover. You'll know when you're reading this).

Here are the picks for Week 6:

Home Score Away Score Probability
Bears 25 Giants 16 71.6%
Ravens 23 Packers 24 51.2%
Buccaneers 24 Eagles 21 57.9%
Jets 20 Steelers 19 53.1%
Vikings 23 Panthers 25 56.1%
Chiefs 20 Raiders 15 63.9%
Texans 25 Rams 20 62.4%
Bills 16 Bengals 20 59.5%
Browns 21 Lions 20 52.9%
Seahawks 23 Titans 20 58.9%
Broncos 31 Jaguars 18 81.4%
Patriots 22 Saints 25 59.3%
49ers 20 Cardinals 14 65.3%
Cowboys 28 Redskins 25 56.7%
Chargers 24 Colts 31 68.1%

As far as the Super Contest goes, it was a bad 1-4 week, my first one of the year. Season total 13-12.

  • Bills +7 vs. Bengals
  • Ravens +2.5 vs. Packers
  • Titans +13.5 at Seahawks
  • Saints +2.5 at Patriots
  • Colts -1.5 at Chargers
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