The Colts should NOT pursue Percy Harvin

The idea of Percy Harvin becoming a Colt has received a lot of attention on this blog in recent days. Between FanPosts, blog posts by our douchebagy fearless leader (zing!), and active comments sections, Percy Harvin appears to be getting way more attention than anyone named "Percy" actually deserves.

All joking aside, it's hard not to engage in some pie-in-the-sky speculation about a big name, big time player like Harvin coming to Indy. It'd certainly give us something new to be excited about for the upcoming season. However, I think trading for him would be an absolute mistake. There are a few compelling reasons why such a trade would be bad for the Colts. Let's take them each in turn.

  1. He is injury prone. I know many people will point to the fact that in his first three seasons he's only missed something like 3 or 4 starts, and still others will say something like "derp it's football everyone has an injury history!" These are both valid points, but neither of them change the fact that Harvin is coming off a big knee injury and has chronic migraines. We can evaluate the knee and have an expected timetable for his return and have an idea about how likely a re-injury is. The bigger issue is the migraines. The problem with chronic migraines is that we don't know when one will strike. He could be fine all week only to wake up Sunday morning without the ability to open his eyes. The Colts have a history of awesome-but-often-injured players that wreak havoc on our team because of our inability to rely on them (Bob Sanders, Austin Collie, Joe Addai, Jerraud Powers, Dallas Clark, etc). This wouldn't even be a low risk/high reward situation, given that.....
  2. He would be too expensive. I mean this both in terms of what we'd trade and what we'd have to give him when his contract expires at the end of next season. As far as a trade goes, odds are the bare minimum would be our 3rd round pick. That leaves us with only a 1, 4, and 6. Three picks. I get the argument that we might not find anyone of Harvin's caliber in the 3rd round, but that isn't always true. More to the point, though, WR isn't our most pressing need (more on that later). We need to use our picks to build depth at positions of need--DL, OL, OLB, DB, FB, and maybe RB. Even if we'd be okay sending a 3 to the Vikings, we'd still have to resign him at the end of next season. He would be a 4 million dollar cap hit this year. I can't begin to imagine how much he'd demand next year. Which brings us to our next point.....
  3. He'll be a free agent next year. If we wait a year, we can sign him without giving up a draft pick. Even still, he'd be overpriced because.....
  4. He does not fit a pressing need. I get it. Percy Harvin is electric. He's exciting. He's a threat to take it all the way every time he touches the ball. I'd love to have a guy like that on our team. That's why I'm thrilled that we already do. TY Hilton is our Percy Harvin. Before all you HarvinHeads go off about how TY Hilton isn't nearly as good as Harvin, please know that I agree. Hilton is a far cry from Harvin. However, there is no denying that Percy Harvin is still nothing more than a better, slightly taller, but slower TY Hilton. Rather than pay a boat load of money and picks for Harvin, I say we simply focus on developing TY. There are two things you cannot teach in the NFL: size and speed. TY is shorter than Harvin, but only by two inches, but far more importantly for WCO speed receiver is, well, speed. TY is faster than Harvin (their 40 times are almost a full second apart: 4.34 vs. 4.41). Don't forget, TY only averaged about 2 yards after catch less than Harvin (~6.3 compared to ~8.3). Besides, if we do trade for Harvin, we might find that.....
  5. He is a product of a system. Or, well, he might be. A player like that could very easily be the product of a system that has one of the greatest running backs in the history of the league. With that type of run game, teams stack the box. When teams stack the box, bubble screens to wideouts tend to be extremely successful. Compare his average YAC to Hilton's average YAC (stats posted above). With the best run game in the league, Harvin was only able to eek out an extra 2 YAC per catch. But even if all of that were not true; even if he were great, there's still the problem of....
  6. He is a head case. A player like that who openly asks to be traded prior to the start of a season, then again after the season, and has strained relationships with his coaching staff should raise some major red flags. He might be awesome, but if he's a locker room cancer then it might do more harm than good. At this point there is no room on the roster for a prima donna. He isn't an Albert Haynesworth or Titus Young, but he also isn't a Peyton Manning or Jeff Saturday.

So there you have it. Six reasons why we shouldn't pursue Percy Harvin. I get it why people want him; heck, even I really wanted him at first. At the end of the day, though, we can't get caught up in the dazzle of someone's big-play making ability.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors. It does reflect the views of this particular fan though, which is as important as the views of Stampede Blue's writers or editors.

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