2013 NFL Winning Stats Predictor: Game Picks Week 4

Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Winning Stats Predictor is rolling so far this season! See who it picks to win in Week 4.

Another banner week for the Winning Stats Predictor in Week 3, going 10-5-1 against the spread (including the Colts), bringing the season record to 26-19-3, well ahead of the pace set last year, when we were nine game under .500. It isn't tracked as much, but the Totals are also hitting at 28-20 so far. I'm thrilled with how the season is going so far. Let's keep it rolling.

Picking winners actually wasn't as good as picking against the spread, going just 9-7, bringing that season total to 31-17, or 64.6%. I'd like it to hit 70% ideally, so there's still some work to do. As we get more data for this season, I fully expect it to come up a bit.

Here are your picks for Week 4:

Home Score Away Score Probability
Rams 19 49ers 21 57.4%
Bills 25 Ravens 20 64.5%
Buccaneers 28 Cardinals 16 77.9%
Vikings 21 Steelers 20 51.8%
Chiefs 18 Giants 16 54.6%
Jaguars 21 Colts 27 66.9%
Texans 16 Seahawks 30 81.3%
Browns 16 Bengals 19 58.0%
Lions 23 Bears 22 51.5%
Titans 14 Jets 23 72.5%
Raiders 27 Redskins 23 60.7%
Broncos 32 Eagles 20 78.4%
Chargers 27 Cowboys 30 58.5%
Falcons 20 Patriots 28 70.1%
Saints 24 Dolphins 16 70.0%

For my SuperContest picks I stayed above .500 again last week, going 3-2, which means 9-6 on the season. I'd love to keep hitting three games each week. It'd make me quite happy. Here we go for Week 4:

  • Bills +3 vs. Ravens
  • Jets +3.5 at Titans
  • Patriots +2.5 at Falcons
  • Seahawks -2.5 at Texans
  • Jaguars +7.5 vs. Colts
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