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BigBlueShoe's bold prediction: The Colts will win it all! (A study in blind homerism)

The playoffs are here. Since the very beginning of the season, we have all maintained that no one will care what the Colts do during the regular season. They won 9 in a row to start the season, the first time a team has started 9-0 in consecutive seasons since Curly Lambeau (that's the guy they named that field after in Green Bay- you've heard of it I'm sure).

The Colts won 9 in a row, and no one cared.

Peyton Manning had a tremendous regular season. More so than any other season, he carried this team. Despite a weak defense that can't get the other team's offense off the field, Manning was the model of efficiency. His offense got the fewest snaps in football, yet still dominated (27 ppg, amazing red zone and third down rating).

Still, no one cared.

The Colts replaced Edgerrin James with Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes, and the running game didn't miss a beat. Addai especially came into his own, leading all rookies with over 1,000 yards rushing.

No one could care.

It is all about what the Colts do right now, and make no mistake, despite the Vegas odds and all the prognostications, NO ONE expects the Colts to beat the Chiefs.

The Chiefs sport RB Larry Johnson, a dominant offensive line, and the will to cram the football right down your throat until it hits you square in the balls! The Colts sport one of the worst run defenses in NFL history. They surrender 173 yards rushing a game on average, and a heart-attack-inducing 5.3 yards a rush. For media pundits and wannabe funny guys that like to think people give a shit about what they write, this game is a no-brainer.

Chiefs will maul them. No surprises. No intrigue. Chiefs will kill the Colts, sending them into another off-season of questions.

I will go out on a limb here folks. A limp so far and so long that it is very possible it will break and I'll fall flat on my face and look like a big, fat schmuck doing so: The Colts will indeed beat the Chiefs, and beat them badly. The Colts will then beat every other team they face in the playoffs and win the Super Bowl.

The media reacts to BigBlueShoe's bold predictions

I have no logic for this line of thinking. Logically, the Colts should have won it all last year, and a team like Pittsburgh (6th seed limping into the playoffs), should have lost to Cincy, Indy, Denver, or Seattle. But logic and the playoffs have nothing in common. What you think will happen doesn't, and what does happen often makes a lot of people look stupid. Hey, I might as well join the party.

The Colts will beat the Chiefs, and then they will play their next playoff game in Baltimore for the first time since the Baltimore fans abandoned the Colts, thus prompting them for Indy. The Colts will then beat the Ravens, and then square off in the AFC Championship game against... the Patriots. Yes folks. The Patriots will beat the heavily favored San Diego Chargers, and they will face the Colts in the AFC Championship Game in Indianapolis. The Colts will beat New England (again), and thus make the Super Bowl. A road through the AFC like this is storybook: Beleaguered run defense against Larry Johnson; Colts in Baltimore for the playoffs; Colts against Patriots in AFC Championship Game. In one swoop, all playoff demons get exorcized.

The Colts will then face the New Orleans Saints in the Super Bowl, a team Peyton Manning's father once played for. Drew Brees is an Indiana legend, having played his college ball at Purdue.

That's the road to the Super Bowl. My predictions are not logical.

I could say history is on the Colts side, but that might not mean a thing. The Colts went 8-0 at home this season. The last time they did that they won the NFL Championship in 1958. Peyton Manning led the league in QB rating for the fourth straight year. The last QB to do that was Steve Young, and the year he did it his team won the Super Bowl. But, my predictions aren't based on history. They are based solely on blind homerism, and a sense that this year is different. For whatever reason, these playoffs don't feel like the playoffs of old. Often, the Colts are expected to win, and when they don't the media machine comes down hard on them. Now, no one expects them to win. Like the Steelers last year and the St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB playoffs this past season, no one expects the Colts to go very far. They have limped into these playoffs with a porous run defense, a damaged psyche, and lots of question marks. No one expects them to venture past the Chiefs. Will the team use this as motivation? Is this why Dungy has closed practice all week? Who knows.

That's my stance on it. The Colts will win it all. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong and I look like an idiot. I could care. It's not the first time. But, if I'm right, then the folks at Deadspin, ESPN, and pretty much any other media outlet better be prepared to feel my wrath, because none of them really gives Indy a chance. When Indy wins it all, these turds better watch out, because BigBlueShoe will open up a salvo so shocking that the writers for those respective media outlets will duck under their desks, suck their thumbs, and cry for mommy.

Go Colts!

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I believe... I believe... it's silly but I believe
I am actually glad we have the first game this weekend... no agonizing wait till late sunday to watch.
Go Colts!

by Marked Hoosier on Jan 5, 2007 12:12 PM EST reply actions  

Not eveyone is picking the Chiefs ...
On "Inside the NFL" Marino, Costas and Collinsworth all picked Indy.

Only Cris "I'm an Idiot" Carter picked the Jefes.

by PaytonMenning on Jan 5, 2007 12:12 PM EST reply actions  

I know
A lot of people are picking the Colts, but I don't think they really feel Indy will win.
Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.

by Brad Wells on Jan 5, 2007 1:43 PM EST up reply actions  

not logical is right
The Colts have as much of a chance to win it all as the Cowboys - zero!

Its impossible for a team giving up 173 rushing yds per game to win a SB, absolutely impossible, can't be done.

by Terry @ Stampede Blue on Jan 5, 2007 2:18 PM EST reply actions  

More people should be like me
and pick the Chiefs to cover the spread, but not actually declare a winner!
Bleeding Green Nation Philadelphia Eagles Blog

by JasonB on Jan 5, 2007 2:19 PM EST reply actions  

Appreciated . . .
I did a diary over at Arrowhead Pride today with links to all the "Expert Picks."  Without a doubt, Indy is heavily favored by the experts.  Very few commentator have picked the Chiefs.  

But I appreciate all you Indy fans pretending like you are the underdogs when you are 12-4 & undefeated at home.  It makes me think the Chiefs have a smidgen of a chance because maybe Petyon & Co. are as nervous as their fans.  

My husband is going crazy.  He thinks the Chiefs are going all the way.  I think he is nuts.  I don't think we will win this game.  But I am so grateful for getting the opportunity to do Chiefs football for one more week.  In our house we have football season & the gray season.  Things are happy & fun during football season (even on weeks when we lose to Cleveland) because the Chiefs are PLAYING!!  We wait all weekend and on Sundays we pack up & go to Arrowhead or watch the game on t.v. with friends.  During the gray season, we will do a little college basketball & some golf but for the most part, we are waiting for training camp to start.  

But cut the crap with Indy being the underdog - you are favored by a touchdown & 75% of the experts are picking you to win.  

Like the author, I believe you will win big but I will still root for my team & go crazy & have fun on Saturday because that's what football fans do.

Go Chiefs!

by tailgateandwin @ Stampede Blue on Jan 5, 2007 2:57 PM EST reply actions  

Troll!
;)
Please make an account and post a diary, add some comments, and make some noise. Accounts are free, and only require an email address.

by Brad Wells on Jan 5, 2007 5:05 PM EST up reply actions  

You what...
I have in common with Vince Young?

We'll both be watching the playoffs on TV!

by Chad @ Stampede Blue on Jan 5, 2007 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Grrrrrrr.....
It should read

You know what....

I have....

by Chad @ Stampede Blue on Jan 5, 2007 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Great Article BBS
Got me pumped up.
"GO HORSE!"

by beester on Jan 5, 2007 9:54 PM EST reply actions  

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