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DVOA on the Colts (week 11)

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No big surprises in the Colts rankings (up one spot to 10th overall). So I'm trying something new here. After the jump is the normal, listing of all the little ups and downs, but up front will just be the things that really jumped out at me.

Massive split on the OL between pass pro and run blocking. The Colts pass pro is now ranked first in the league giving up only 11 sacks (4th least) in a pass heavy offense that has faced more than it's share of 3rd and longs, thanks to the OL's 27th run blocking rating. Short yardage situations (10th) have been the only area where the Colts OL hasn't been among the leagues worst run blockers.

The Colts kick returns rank as the 5th worst in the league. Not a surprise for a team that lost it's returner in preseason and has used 4 different players since. Punt returns are the same story, but with a bit better results (only the 8th worst in the league).

The Colts playoff odds took another healthy jump (9.6%) up to nearly 80%, but their odds of winning the division were cut in half to about 1%. DVOA seems to have chosen it's AFC playoff field with 6 teams over 74% (TEN, PIT, DEN, NYJ, IND, BAL) and only one between 74%-20% (MIA with 45.5%).

After beating the 26th ranked Texans the Colts moved up one spot to 10th overall and weighted (largely because the Falcons who had been 10th were outplayed by the then 21st ranked Broncos).

The Colts O moved up one spot to 4th overall and 5th passing on the strength of their 3rd straight great passing game. The Colts run O actually fell a spot even with the best totals of the year, because those great numbers were par for the course against the 32nd ranked Houston run D.

The run D fell a touch, after giving up a good day to the #10 run O and the Pass D moved up one spot. The Colts total defensive DVOA moved them just barely into the bottom half of the league at 17th.

The special teams remains improved, but still below average, up to 23rd from 24th. The Colts kick returns rank as the 5th worst in the league. Not a surprise for a team that lost it's returner in preseason and has used 4 different players since. Punt returns are the same story, but with a bit better results (only the 8th worst in the league). The Colts punt team has fallen from 1st a few weeks ago down to 7th. The kickoff team is still above average and the FG/XPs below it.