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Strength of Schedule through Week 14

By mgrex03

I promised I'd keep doing the Strength of Schedule, even after the Colts play the lowly Bengals and Lions.  I've gone all fancy on you, and the table is after the jump.  Here's some notes on the table:

  • The first set of columns is the straight up Opponents' Winning Percentage.  The Colts are still over .500, but probably will fall under it after this week.  They are 14th toughest in this.
  • The second set of columns is Opponents' Winning Percentage with games played against that team taken out.  For example, the Colts are 9-4, so I took away 9 losses, and 4 wins to get this percentage.  The Colts are 10th toughest this way.
  • The third set of columns is the Opponents Opponents' Winning Percentage.  You can't really take anything from these numbers by themselves, but they will be used in the overall Strength of Schedule.
  • The Last Column is the Strength of Schedule, which is 2/3 Opponents' Winning Percentage, and 1/3 Opponents Opponents' Winning Percentage.  This is what the NCAA used to use for football, and uses now for basketball, so I think it's a decent way of doing it, rather than just straight up Opponents' Winning Percentage.  The Colts are 13th toughest. 
  • Each of the columns are sortable, so you can see anything you want, and draw your own conclusions.

My observations?  The Colts have played a league average schedule, nothing more, nothing less.  Even though it will drop the next two weeks, it will get a nice boost in Week 17.  I bet we'll finish around 12th or 13th.

We also see why the AFC East has 3 teams tied at 8-5, as all 4 teams are in the bottom 7 in SoS.  And they all still have crappy teams to play.

 

Team Opponent Opp. - Record Opp. Opponent SoS
W L T Win % W L T Win % W L T Win %
Bengals 107 61 1 0.636 96 60 0 0.615 1070 1103 24 0.492 0.5882
Browns 100 68 1 0.595 91 64 1 0.587 1057 1120 20 0.486 0.5583
Lions 96 73 0 0.568 83 73 0 0.532 1064 1125 8 0.486 0.5407
Packers 94 75 0 0.556 86 70 0 0.551 1070 1119 8 0.489 0.5338
Chiefs 95 74 0 0.562 84 72 0 0.538 1023 1171 3 0.466 0.5302
Rams 93 75 1 0.553 82 73 1 0.529 1044 1140 13 0.478 0.5282
Eagles 89 79 1 0.530 84 72 0 0.538 1091 1084 22 0.502 0.5203
Jaguars 89 79 1 0.530 80 75 1 0.516 1069 1117 11 0.489 0.5161
Chargers 90 79 0 0.533 82 74 0 0.526 1052 1139 6 0.480 0.5151
Seahawks 89 79 1 0.530 78 77 1 0.503 1062 1124 11 0.486 0.5150
Redskins 87 81 1 0.518 81 74 1 0.522 1108 1068 21 0.509 0.5149
Ravens 83 83 3 0.500 79 74 3 0.516 1147 1035 15 0.525 0.5085
Colts 85 83 1 0.506 81 74 1 0.522 1120 1064 13 0.513 0.5082
Saints 87 82 0 0.515 81 75 0 0.519 1084 1109 4 0.494 0.5080
Texans 83 85 1 0.494 76 79 1 0.490 1135 1049 13 0.520 0.5026
Raiders 86 83 0 0.509 76 80 0 0.487 1063 1129 5 0.485 0.5009
Steelers 80 86 3 0.482 77 76 3 0.503 1156 1025 16 0.530 0.4981
Bears 82 86 1 0.488 76 79 1 0.490 1112 1079 6 0.508 0.4946
Buccaneers 82 87 0 0.485 78 78 0 0.500 1098 1094 5 0.501 0.4904
Vikings 81 88 0 0.479 76 80 0 0.487 1116 1075 6 0.509 0.4893
Falcons 80 88 1 0.476 75 80 1 0.484 1117 1078 2 0.509 0.4872
Cowboys 78 89 2 0.467 73 81 2 0.474 1143 1039 15 0.524 0.4862
Giants 77 89 3 0.464 75 78 3 0.490 1140 1039 18 0.523 0.4840
Cardinals 81 87 1 0.482 76 79 1 0.490 1061 1123 13 0.486 0.4835
Panthers 79 90 0 0.467 76 80 0 0.487 1116 1077 4 0.509 0.4813
Patriots 81 88 0 0.479 76 80 0 0.487 1057 1131 9 0.483 0.4806
Dolphins 79 90 0 0.467 74 82 0 0.474 1048 1141 8 0.479 0.4712
49ers 77 91 1 0.459 69 86 1 0.446 1084 1101 12 0.496 0.4711
Jets 76 92 1 0.453 71 84 1 0.458 1075 1117 5 0.490 0.4653
Broncos 71 98 0 0.420 66 90 0 0.423 1126 1067 4 0.513 0.4512
Titans 67 101 1 0.399 66 89 1 0.426 1160 1026 11 0.530 0.4431
Bills 67 102 0 0.396 60 96 0 0.385 1115 1075 7 0.509 0.4340

 

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