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Results: FO vs ME

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I put my record predictions up against FO's projections in PFP 2008. I was off by an average of 2.9 wins.

Jump for how they did.

AFC

Team Projected Actual Difference
Titans 6.7 13 +6.3
Steelers 7.2 12 +4.8
Colts 9.9 12 -2.1
Ravens 8.5 11 +2.5
Dolphins 5.5 11 +5.5
Patriots 12.8 11 -1.8
Jets 7.2 9 +1.8
Chargers 11 8 -3
Texans 8.9 8 -0.9
Broncos 8.7 8 -0.7
Bills 7.2 7 -0.2
Raiders 3.9 5 +1.9
Jags 9.2 5 -4.2
Bengals 6.8 4.5 -3.3
Browns 6.3 4 -2.3
Chiefs 6.6 2 -4.6

 

NFC

Team Predicted Actual Difference
Giants 9.6 12 +2.4
Panthers 9.5 12 +2.5
Falcons 3.5 11 +7.5
Vikings 10.1 10 -0.1
Eagles 11.7 9.5 -2.2
Cardinals 7.5 9 +1.5
Bucs 10.3 9 -1.3
Cowboys 8.1 9 +0.9
Bears 6.9 9 +2.1
Redskins 6.9 8 +1.1
Saints 8.3 8 -0.3
Niners 5.3 7 +1.7
Packers 11.4 6 -5.4
Seahawks 10.5 4 -6.5
Rams 5.1 2 -3.1
Lions 4.1 0 -4.1

Most Overestimated: Seahawks, Packers, Jags, Chiefs, Lions

Most Underestimated: Falcons, Titans, Dolphins, Steelers

Right on: Saints, Vikings, Texans, Broncos, Cowboys, Bills

Average Off: AFC: 2.9  NFC: 2.7 Total: 2.8

FO wins by a tenth of a win per team.

or to score it a different way.

Shake closer: Colts, Texans, Titans, Bills, Steelers, Browns, Chiefs, Bucs, Saints, Falcons, Giants, Eagles, Redskins, Packers, Vikings, Seahawks (16)

FO closer: Jags, Patriots, Jets, Fins, Ravens, Bengals, Chargers, Broncos, Raiders, Panthers, Cowboys, Bears, Lions, Niners, Rams, Cardinals (16)