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Strength of Schedule through Week 13

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There was a claim made earlier today that the Titans have the 4th toughest schedule in the NFL this season.  I also saw this same claim over at MCM earlier in the week, complete with a link to the "2008 Strength of Schedule".  However, there is one problem with these claims:

They are using last year's records.

This site has been up, presumably, since early January.  The number of wins/losses for each team tipped me off, as well as the lack of a tie anywhere, so I checked it out.  I figured I'd look at what the real strength of schedule for each team is, just based on Opponents Win % from 2008.  This isn't perfect, and I may do a little more data analysis using Opponents Opponents Win % (that isn't a typo).  I figured to go easy first.

Here's the Strength of Schedule for 2008, through Week 13:

Team W L T Win % Team W L T Win %
Bengals 91 52 1 0.635 Bears 72 71 1 0.503
Browns 82 61 1 0.573 Patriots 72 72 0 0.500
Chiefs 81 63 0 0.563 Ravens 70 71 3 0.497
Lions 81 63 0 0.563 Texans 71 72 1 0.497
Packers 81 63 0 0.563 Steelers 66 75 3 0.469
Chargers 80 64 0 0.556 Falcons 66 77 1 0.462
Rams 79 64 1 0.552 Buccaneers 66 78 0 0.458
Seahawks 76 67 1 0.531 Cowboys 65 77 2 0.458
Colts 75 69 0 0.521 Dolphins 66 78 0 0.458
Cardinals 74 69 1 0.517 Giants 65 77 2 0.458
Jaguars 74 69 1 0.517 Broncos 65 79 0 0.451
Redskins 74 69 1 0.517 Panthers 65 79 0 0.451
Raiders 74 70 0 0.514 49ers 64 79 1 0.448
Saints 74 70 0 0.514 Jets 64 79 1 0.448
Vikings 74 70 0 0.514 Titans 58 85 1 0.406
Eagles 73 70 1 0.510 Bills 54 90 0 0.375

Some thoughts:

  • Our Week 14 opponent, Cincinnati, has had the toughest schedule so far this season, by 9 games, over the 2nd toughest, the Browns.  That's pretty astounding.  This week will close the gap by 3 games, but it still be a very tough schedule.
  • The most wins of any team with a tougher schedule than the Colts is 5, which is the Packers.  On the flip side, the 49ers have had a fairly easy schedule, and still haven't won 5 games.
  • There are the Titans, sitting at 31st.  And after this week, they'll creep even closer to having the easiest schedule in the league.
  • This list does not take into account any future games.  This obviously means the Colts schedule will get easier over the next 3 weeks.  I figured I should point this out now, to avoid confusion.