My subjective record predictions (that do factor in schedule) vs FO's record projection system. My method was posted here. I'd describe it as a way of organizing and quantifying my subjective opinion while working in strength of schedule.
AFC SOUTH
Colts: FO 9.9----ME 14
Jaguars: FO 9.2----ME 10
Texans: FO 8.9----ME 8
Titans: FO 6.7----ME 7
AFC EAST
Patriots: FO 12.8----ME 13
Bills: FO 7.2----ME 7
Jets: FO 7.2----ME 7
Dolphins: FO 5.5----ME 4
AFC NORTH
Ravens: FO 8.5----ME 4
Steelers: FO 7.2----ME 10
Bengals: FO 6.8----ME 7
Brown: FO 6.3----ME 6
AFC WEST
Chargers: FO 11----ME 12
Broncos: FO 8.7 ----ME 7
Chiefs: FO 6.6----ME 6
Raiders: FO 3.9----ME 3
NFC SOUTH
Buccaneers: FO 10.3----ME 9
Panthers: 9.5 ----ME 8
Saints: FO 8.3----ME 8
Falcons: FO 3.5 ----ME 6
NFC EAST
Eagles: FO 11.7----ME 11
Giants: FO 9.6----ME 11
Cowboys: FO 8.1----ME 11
Redskins: FO 6.9----ME 8
NFC NORTH
Packers: FO 11.4----ME 11
Vikings: FO 10.1----ME 10
Bears: FO 6.9----ME 6
Lions: FO 4.3----ME 5
NFC WEST
Seahawks: FO 10.5 ----ME 10
Cardinals: FO 7.5----ME 5
49ers: FO 5.3----ME 5
Rams: FO 5.1----ME 7
So the Ravens are the big difference. I'm surprised at how close my predictions were to FOs projections since I made these a month ago before seeing their's. 5 of the 8 divisions are in the exact same order and my NFC East team were only separated by fractions of a win. The Raven's in the basement and a flip of the Cards-Rams are the only big differences.