This week in the Power Rankings, I've added a new way to look at how well teams have played this year: Consistency. It gives a pretty good look at how a team have played this year, and what you can expect the last 4 weeks on the year. I'll talk about what I found above the fold, but the full rankings will be at the bottom of the post:
- The Colts, unsurprisingly, are the most consistent team in the league, followed by the Eagles and Cowboys. Anyone who is surprised by this clearly hasn't watched the Colts play this year. Saints? 20th.
- This week's opponent, the Broncos, are the least consistent team in the NFL. In their 8 wins, they've had 7 in the top 101 games of the season, and the 8th was in the top 150. In their 4 losses? 306, 359, 351, and 353 (out of 384). Yikes. When they are on they are pretty good; when they are off, they really are bad.
- If you look at non-defense adjusted numbers, the most consistent team is the Redskins. I said this measures consistency, not "goodness".
After the jump you'll see the full Power Rankings, Schedule Strength (Past and Future), and the Consistency Rankings...
Power Rankings (click on headers to sort):
Team | Power Rankings | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Non-Adjusted | Adjusted | |||||
Offense | Defense | Total | Offense | Defense | Total | |
Saints | 3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Patriots | 2 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 2 |
Colts | 1 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
Vikings | 5 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Packers | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 5 |
Bengals | 12 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 6 |
Ravens | 15 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 7 |
Steelers | 6 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 8 |
Giants | 11 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 9 |
Eagles | 16 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 4 | 10 |
Cowboys | 7 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 11 |
Cardinals | 17 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
Dolphins | 14 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 21 | 13 |
Broncos | 18 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 6 | 14 |
Jets | 22 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 15 |
Texans | 13 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 |
Chargers | 4 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 31 | 17 |
Redskins | 19 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
Falcons | 9 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 29 | 19 |
Jaguars | 10 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 28 | 20 |
Titans | 20 | 28 | 24 | 19 | 24 | 21 |
49ers | 27 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 3 | 22 |
Seahawks | 21 | 14 | 21 | 26 | 13 | 23 |
Panthers | 24 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 24 |
Bears | 23 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 23 | 25 |
Bills | 29 | 15 | 26 | 29 | 14 | 26 |
Lions | 26 | 31 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 27 |
Buccaneers | 28 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 28 |
Chiefs | 30 | 23 | 27 | 30 | 20 | 29 |
Rams | 25 | 30 | 28 | 22 | 32 | 30 |
Raiders | 32 | 26 | 31 | 32 | 26 | 31 |
Browns | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 32 |
Some thoughts:
- The Colts are ranked #3 this week in the Power Rankings, which includes the #1 offense and the #15 defense. The defense needs to play well the rest of the season to leap frog the two teams ahead of them.
- Even with the Patriots losing twice in a row, statistically they didn't look that bad, maintaining the #2 spot in the rankings. Not playing well this week will not be so kind to them.
- Even though the Chargers have won 7 games in a row, they haven't been all that impressive doing it, especially defensively, ranking 31st in the league. That's what happens when you let Brady Quinn throw 3 TD passes against you. I know they have been the nemesis of the Colts the past 2 years, but they are the worst team they will win a division.
Schedule Strength:
Team | Schedule Strength | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Past | Future | |||||
Offense | Defense | Total | Offense | Defense | Total | |
Titans | 12 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 25 |
Buccaneers | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
Browns | 2 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 28 | 32 |
Patriots | 1 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 23 | 24 |
Dolphins | 3 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 7 | 13 |
Lions | 9 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 20 |
Ravens | 17 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 31 |
Falcons | 4 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 31 | 18 |
Rams | 10 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 23 |
Colts | 14 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 29 | 21 |
Raiders | 15 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 27 | 28 |
Jets | 22 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 4 | 10 |
Bills | 7 | 18 | 13 | 29 | 2 | 9 |
49ers | 28 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 21 | 26 |
Panthers | 16 | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Texans | 13 | 19 | 16 | 21 | 12 | 17 |
Broncos | 30 | 6 | 17 | 24 | 24 | 27 |
Giants | 27 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
Chiefs | 31 | 9 | 19 | 16 | 32 | 30 |
Bears | 19 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 |
Cardinals | 24 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 26 | 29 |
Saints | 20 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 14 | 22 |
Seahawks | 29 | 20 | 23 | 14 | 20 | 16 |
Redskins | 21 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 8 | 14 |
Jaguars | 5 | 30 | 25 | 27 | 5 | 11 |
Cowboys | 8 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 2 |
Bengals | 23 | 27 | 27 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
Vikings | 18 | 29 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 7 |
Steelers | 25 | 28 | 29 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Packers | 26 | 26 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Eagles | 32 | 23 | 31 | 6 | 16 | 5 |
Chargers | 11 | 32 | 32 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
A couple thoughts here:
- The Colts have played the 10th toughest schedule so far, making their 12-0 record that much more impressive. The Patriots are the only team with a tougher schedule that even has a winning record, and they are 7-5.
- Let's look at the Colts Week 14 opponent, the Broncos. Their offense has faced a very easy schedule (3rd easiest), but their defense has faced a very tough schedule (6th toughest). Their offense should get tested this week against an underrated Colts defense.
- The Colts' future schedule looks to be lopsided, but overall manageable: Facing very good defenses, and not very good offenses. With Peyton Manning under center, I'll take that.
- The Cowboys, Giants, Eagles, and Chargers all have tough finishing schedules, so making the playoffs isn't a sure thing for any of these teams, who have relatively easy schedules up to this point.
Consistency Rankings:
Team | Consistency | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Non-Adjusted | Adjusted | |||||
Offense | Defense | Total | Offense | Defense | Total | |
Colts | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
Eagles | 12 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
Cowboys | 5 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
Chiefs | 6 | 25 | 20 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
49ers | 3 | 23 | 16 | 3 | 24 | 5 |
Panthers | 27 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 6 |
Falcons | 7 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
Lions | 23 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 8 |
Buccaneers | 17 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 9 |
Bears | 10 | 31 | 22 | 7 | 31 | 10 |
Cardinals | 24 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 25 | 11 |
Vikings | 4 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 12 |
Texans | 11 | 22 | 17 | 15 | 21 | 13 |
Rams | 20 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 2 | 14 |
Ravens | 29 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 15 |
Redskins | 19 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 16 |
Browns | 30 | 17 | 18 | 26 | 22 | 17 |
Steelers | 15 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 18 |
Packers | 13 | 19 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
Saints | 2 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 |
Dolphins | 25 | 12 | 13 | 30 | 19 | 21 |
Chargers | 9 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 28 | 22 |
Bills | 28 | 18 | 21 | 29 | 9 | 23 |
Raiders | 16 | 26 | 19 | 17 | 30 | 24 |
Seahawks | 22 | 24 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
Jets | 32 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 26 |
Patriots | 8 | 32 | 25 | 4 | 32 | 27 |
Giants | 18 | 30 | 31 | 13 | 29 | 28 |
Titans | 31 | 21 | 29 | 32 | 16 | 29 |
Jaguars | 21 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 10 | 30 |
Bengals | 14 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 11 | 31 |
Broncos | 26 | 29 | 32 | 22 | 20 | 32 |