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2011 NFL Winning Stats Predictor: Game Picks Week Five

It's time for Week 5 of the Winning Stats Predictor, and it had its best week of the season last week, going 9-7 Against the Spread and 11-5 Straight Up. We get our first byes of the season, so only 13 games this week.

This week I'm strictly using data from 2011, so it's still pretty volatile, but I think better than using numbers from last season, as so many teams are different from a year ago. In past years I've done it in Week 6, but I think it's a little more accurate this way. I guess we'll find out.

Here are the picks for Week 5:

Home Score Away Score Probability
Panthers 21 Saints 34 85.2%
Bills 20 Eagles 29 73.2%
Giants 25 Seahawks 10 84.9%
Jaguars 20 Bengals 25 62.3%
Colts 27 Chiefs 22 65.3%
Steelers 25 Titans 27 55.9%
Vikings 22 Cardinals 19 58.4%
Texans 29 Raiders 26 58.0%
49ers 29 Buccaneers 33 64.2%
Patriots 28 Jets 22 67.8%
Broncos 11 Chargers 31 91.1%
Falcons 20 Packers 31 75.9%
Lions 17 Bears 12 65.2%