:format(webp)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/3335119/155854544.0.jpg)
As the early game were playing out, I thought last week was going to be a disaster for the Winning Stats Predictor, as I missed the first four games on the list for the weekend, but came back strong 8-1-1 to finish 8-5-1 (thanks David Akers), bringing our season record to 86-59-1 (I'm dropping the 1 after this week). Against the Spread fell off a bit, going 6-8 after losing the two prime-time games, bringing our season record there to 66-77-3. Lots of work to do.
This week we have another mismatch in Houston when the Jaguars come in to be sacrificial lambs to Arian Foster, and there are 5 other games that are over 60%, including the Patriots over the Colts at 63.4%. Better than most people would have given them at the start of the season.
Here are your Predictor picks for Week 11:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills | 27 | Dolphins | 24 | 58.4% |
| Falcons | 24 | Cardinals | 21 | 58.7% |
| Cowboys | 27 | Browns | 20 | 68.7% |
| Lions | 26 | Packers | 29 | 57.5% |
| Chiefs | 19 | Bengals | 23 | 61.9% |
| Rams | 28 | Jets | 21 | 66.9% |
| Patriots | 32 | Colts | 27 | 63.4% |
| Redskins | 26 | Eagles | 25 | 51.4% |
| Panthers | 24 | Buccaneers | 26 | 54.5% |
| Texans | 27 | Jaguars | 13 | 83.3% |
| Raiders | 26 | Saints | 28 | 53.9% |
| Broncos | 30 | Chargers | 22 | 69.1% |
| Steelers | 25 | Ravens | 23 | 53.5% |
| 49ers | 17 | Bears | 19 | 54.8% |
It was another week of losing ground in the SuperContest, going 2-3. I'd really like a week at 5-0, but it is way harder than I ever thought. Season record now at 20-28-2. Here are my five picks:
- Bills -1.5 vs. Dolphins (Predictor is 8-1 picking Dolphins games this year)
- Cardinals +9.5 at Falcons
- Raiders +4.5 vs. Saints
- Colts +9.5 at Patriots
- Lions +3 vs. Packers