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Another banner week for the Winning Stats Predictor in Week 3, going 10-5-1 against the spread (including the Colts), bringing the season record to 26-19-3, well ahead of the pace set last year, when we were nine game under .500. It isn't tracked as much, but the Totals are also hitting at 28-20 so far. I'm thrilled with how the season is going so far. Let's keep it rolling.
Picking winners actually wasn't as good as picking against the spread, going just 9-7, bringing that season total to 31-17, or 64.6%. I'd like it to hit 70% ideally, so there's still some work to do. As we get more data for this season, I fully expect it to come up a bit.
Here are your picks for Week 4:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 19 | 49ers | 21 | 57.4% |
| Bills | 25 | Ravens | 20 | 64.5% |
| Buccaneers | 28 | Cardinals | 16 | 77.9% |
| Vikings | 21 | Steelers | 20 | 51.8% |
| Chiefs | 18 | Giants | 16 | 54.6% |
| Jaguars | 21 | Colts | 27 | 66.9% |
| Texans | 16 | Seahawks | 30 | 81.3% |
| Browns | 16 | Bengals | 19 | 58.0% |
| Lions | 23 | Bears | 22 | 51.5% |
| Titans | 14 | Jets | 23 | 72.5% |
| Raiders | 27 | Redskins | 23 | 60.7% |
| Broncos | 32 | Eagles | 20 | 78.4% |
| Chargers | 27 | Cowboys | 30 | 58.5% |
| Falcons | 20 | Patriots | 28 | 70.1% |
| Saints | 24 | Dolphins | 16 | 70.0% |
For my SuperContest picks I stayed above .500 again last week, going 3-2, which means 9-6 on the season. I'd love to keep hitting three games each week. It'd make me quite happy. Here we go for Week 4:
- Bills +3 vs. Ravens
- Jets +3.5 at Titans
- Patriots +2.5 at Falcons
- Seahawks -2.5 at Texans
- Jaguars +7.5 vs. Colts