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The Winning Stats Predictor is back for a new season, and a fresh start is just what it needs. Last year was a sub-par season picking games, and the hope is that a few minor changes will help it out in 2013. Last year picking winners the Predictor was 130-119-7, and Against the Spread it was 122-127-7, a paltry 49%. Not good if your goal is to win money in Vegas.
For those of you new I'll be posting my picks based on our Winnings stats each week, complete with a Probability of win. For my Against the Spread record, I'll be using the Las Vegas Super Contest lines, since lines change so much leading up to games. The goal is 55%, which I've hit in the past. It's off to a good start, nailing the Broncos -7.5 last night fairly easily. Here are the rest of the Week 1 picks:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 27 | Ravens | 18 | 72.5% |
| Bills | 20 | Patriots | 28 | 70.9% |
| Steelers | 20 | Titans | 16 | 61.6% |
| Jets | 17 | Buccaneers | 20 | 57.8% |
| Saints | 25 | Falcons | 26 | 51.1% |
| Jaguars | 22 | Chiefs | 16 | 64.8% |
| Panthers | 25 | Seahawks | 31 | 66.4% |
| Bears | 18 | Bengals | 16 | 55.1% |
| Browns | 21 | Dolphins | 20 | 52.2% |
| Lions | 23 | Vikings | 28 | 61.9% |
| Colts | 26 | Raiders | 22 | 61.2% |
| Rams | 20 | Cardinals | 12 | 70.7% |
| 49ers | 27 | Packers | 26 | 50.1% |
| Cowboys | 25 | Giants | 27 | 54.5% |
| Redskins | 32 | Eagles | 22 | 73.9% |
| Chargers | 23 | Texans | 22 | 52.1% |
I'll also be keeping track of my progress as if I paid the $1500 to play in the LVH SuperContest, just to see how I'm doing. Here are the five picks I'll be going with this week:
- Jaguars +4 vs. Chiefs
- Seahawks -3.5 at Panthers
- Vikings +5.5 at Lions
- Raiders +9.5 at Colts
- Redskins -3.5 vs. Redskins