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The Winning Stats Predictor didn't have the rockstar week that it had back in Week 3, but it still finished above .500 at 7-6, making it four straight weeks of staying at .500 or better. Season total Against the Spread how sits at 36-25 (59%). Incidentally, the Over/Unders went 11-2 last week, and are at a blistering 66% so far this season (40-21). Just killing it.
Picking games Straight Up, however, was not as nice, going just 5-8, a rarity that it's worse than picking Against the Spread. That brings our season total to the same 36-25 as Against the Spread. This will get better as we go along in the season.
Here are your Week 5 picks:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers | 29 | Vikings | 25 | 61.6% |
| Cowboys | 30 | Texans | 22 | 69.8% |
| Jaguars | 25 | Steelers | 28 | 59.2% |
| Panthers | 29 | Bears | 28 | 50.2% |
| Lions | 20 | Bills | 18 | 55.0% |
| Colts | 30 | Ravens | 25 | 61.8% |
| Eagles | 24 | Rams | 26 | 53.7% |
| Titans | 24 | Browns | 25 | 51.5% |
| Giants | 29 | Falcons | 26 | 57.7% |
| Saints | 29 | Buccaneers | 23 | 65.4% |
| Broncos | 29 | Cardinals | 27 | 54.8% |
| 49ers | 26 | Chiefs | 22 | 62.0% |
| Chargers | 31 | Jets | 23 | 69.2% |
| Patriots | 18 | Bengals | 25 | 70.1% |
| Redskins | 17 | Seahawks | 27 | 73.8% |
SuperContest went a "disappointing" 3-2, bringing our season total down to 15-5. It would be good enough for 18th place overall in the real contest, so damn good. This week was a little more difficult, as there are several I'm going with that are against my gut, but the numbers are too good to pass up, so here goes:
- Browns +1.5 at Titans
- Jaguars +6 vs. Steelers
- Rams +7 at Eagles
- Cardinals +7 at Broncos
- Bengals -1 at Patriots
Survivor Pick: I should have used the Chargers last week, went with the Steelers, and blew it. I'm clearly not made out for Survivor contests. But we'll keep hammering away, and we will use the Chargers this week at home against the Jets. I'm a big fan of the Chargers this year, so should be no problem winning at home.
USED: Jets, 49ers, Colts, Steelers