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Week 14 was a wonderful weekend for the Winning Stats Predictor, going 11-4-1 (thanks Jets for allowing a TD in OT at +6 to push that one), which was our best weekend of the season so far. Everything just fell perfectly into place. Season total now sits at 115-92-1, or 55.5%. It needs to finish with a record of 19-29 or better to have a winning Vegas season of 52.5%, so I'm fairly confident we'll get there. On pace to beat last year's 53.5%, which is really what I want.
Picking winners fell short of Against the Spread this week, going just 10-6, bringing that season total to 133-74-1, or 64%. Just a tick under my goal of 67%, but there's still time. Need to finish 37-11 to get there, so a tall task, but not impossible.
This week there's a good mix of home and road teams picked to win Against the Spread, something that is pretty rare, especially late in the season. We'll see how it does.
Picks for Week 15:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rams | 23 | Cardinals | 18 | 62.8% |
| Colts | 25 | Texans | 23 | 56.3% |
| Bills | 26 | Packers | 25 | 52.1% |
| Panthers | 23 | Buccaneers | 19 | 62.2% |
| Browns | 21 | Bengals | 17 | 60.3% |
| Lions | 27 | Vikings | 16 | 76.7% |
| Chiefs | 24 | Raiders | 21 | 57.7% |
| Patriots | 29 | Dolphins | 23 | 66.3% |
| Giants | 29 | Redskins | 19 | 74.0% |
| Falcons | 31 | Steelers | 28 | 58.6% |
| Ravens | 30 | Jaguars | 20 | 74.4% |
| Titans | 20 | Jets | 25 | 61.9% |
| Chargers | 21 | Broncos | 27 | 65.7% |
| Seahawks | 27 | 49ers | 15 | 79.9% |
| Eagles | 25 | Cowboys | 24 | 52.2% |
| Bears | 29 | Saints | 26 | 57.7% |
SuperContest went 3-2 again last week (I'll keep taking them), bringing the season total to 40-30. Let's get a 5-0 week this week:
- Raiders +10 at Chiefs
- Bills +4.5 vs. Packers
- Falcons +2.5 vs. Steelers
- Panthers -3.5 vs. Buccaneers
- Bears +3 vs. Saints
Survivor Pick: Easy win for the Lions last week. I've not used the Ravens yet this year, and it's a perfect spot for them at home against the Jaguars. Ravens easy winner.
USED: Jets, 49ers, Colts, Steelers, Chargers, Titans, Bills, Chiefs, Bengals, Cardinals, Saints, Packers, Dolphins, Lions