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If you want some proof that betting on NFL games is hard, you need only look at the last two weeks for the Winning Stats Predictor. Week 14 was one of the best weeks in the past several seasons, then it's followed up by a 6-9-1 stinker of a week last week, where seemingly nothing fell the right way. For the season now the Predictor sits at 121-101-2, or 54.5%, which is still quite nice, and still on track to make money this year.
Picking winners last week was much better, going 11-5, which includes getting the Bills over the Packers correctly. For the season we're now 144-79-1, or 64.5%. A nice week for picking winners.
We have three home underdogs this week that look really nice, while there's another good mix of home and road teams. We hit the Thursday night game with the Jaguars covering the 3 points, so it's a good start for a Thursday (where we've been terrible all year). Here's the rest of Week 16:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | 21 | Titans | 18 | 59.4% |
| 49ers | 21 | Chargers | 22 | 53.4% |
| Redskins | 19 | Eagles | 25 | 64.9% |
| Jets | 17 | Patriots | 31 | 81.9% |
| Saints | 29 | Falcons | 28 | 52.8% |
| Dolphins | 22 | Vikings | 21 | 53.7% |
| Panthers | 21 | Browns | 15 | 64.5% |
| Bears | 20 | Lions | 27 | 68.6% |
| Texans | 25 | Ravens | 24 | 51.6% |
| Steelers | 27 | Chiefs | 28 | 51.0% |
| Buccaneers | 21 | Packers | 29 | 71.6% |
| Rams | 22 | Giants | 18 | 59.9% |
| Cowboys | 24 | Colts | 27 | 56.5% |
| Raiders | 14 | Bills | 20 | 64.4% |
| Cardinals | 20 | Seahawks | 23 | 58.0% |
| Bengals | 20 | Broncos | 24 | 61.5% |
SuperContest also struggled, going 1-4, bringing our season total to 41-34. Need a nice bounce-back this week as well.
- Redskins +7.5 vs. Eagles (hold your nose)
- Chiefs +3 at Steelers
- Buccaneers +10.5 vs. Packers (keep holding your nose)
- Cardinals +8 vs. Seahawks
- Broncos -3.5 at Bengals
Survivor Pick: Ravens didn't make it easy, but they came away winners. We haven't used one of the best teams in the NFL, the Patriots, and they just happen to be playing the hapless Jets this weekend. Easy win at the end of the season.
USED: Jets, 49ers, Colts, Steelers, Chargers, Titans, Bills, Chiefs, Bengals, Cardinals, Saints, Packers, Dolphins, Lions, Ravens