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At least for one week, I hope you tailed the Winning Stats last week, as it was very successful. Picking games Against the Spread it went 9-7, and 3-0 in games where the difference was six points or more (usually my threshold), so it was a nice week. Over/Unders also went 10-6, as the new rules didn't seem to have an impact on the number of points scored. Picking winners it went 11-5, including nailing almost perfectly the Bills-Bears game (predicted 24-20, ended 23-20) that nobody else saw coming.
Here are your Week 2 picks, which are still going to be quite skewed for the Packers because of the Aaron Rodgers injury last season:
| Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | 19 | Steelers | 24 | 62.7% |
| Bills | 19 | Dolphins | 13 | 64.7% |
| Panthers | 22 | Lions | 20 | 55.2% |
| Browns | 22 | Saints | 28 | 67.5% |
| Redskins | 19 | Jaguars | 18 | 50.6% |
| Vikings | 27 | Patriots | 23 | 60.3% |
| Titans | 27 | Cowboys | 23 | 62.1% |
| Giants | 13 | Cardinals | 22 | 74.0% |
| Bengals | 27 | Falcons | 23 | 62.5% |
| Chargers | 22 | Seahawks | 26 | 58.6% |
| Buccaneers | 21 | Rams | 20 | 53.0% |
| Packers | 24 | Jets | 25 | 53.8% |
| Raiders | 20 | Texans | 21 | 51.1% |
| Broncos | 28 | Chiefs | 20 | 70.9% |
| 49ers | 31 | Bears | 21 | 75.9% |
| Colts | 22 | Eagles | 23 | 50.9% |
SuperContest also had a great start at 4-1, missing only on the Saints, a game I wasn't that comfortable with beforehand. Let's keep it rolling with my fake money:
- Bills +1 vs. Dolphins
- Cardinals -2.5 at Giants (becomes tougher potentially without Carson Palmer but still like it)
- Vikings +3 vs. Patriots (Still like it even without Peterson. Even great RBs don't move a line much)
- Chargers +6 vs. Seahawks
- Raiders +3 vs. Texans
Survivor Pick: Jets were a winner last week, and this week we'll go with the 49ers opening up their new stadium against a injury-riddled Bears team, who could be without both Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey. Most people are going either Denver or Green Bay, so we'll go a slightly lower percentage game (although not according to the Winning Stats) and a lot less people picking them.