Week 3 of the NFL season saw a bit of normalcy, especially after the wackiness of Week 2, and the Winning Stats Predictor was quite successful picking winners. The Predictor went 13-3 last week, bringing the season total to 29-19. Need a few more weeks like that to get to where we want to be, but a really nice bounce-back week. Against the Spread was a bit sub-par at 7-9, bringing our season total to 24-23-1. Time for a good week again.
The Predictor is still factoring in the last couple weeks of the 2014 season, and within two weeks we'll be exclusively using 2015 data. One thing that has improved dramatically since I started incorporating some previous year's data is the totals. The last two weeks I hope at least one person tailed some of the totals, as they've gone 24-8, including a 13-3 last week. Last year early on in the season there were also quite a few really good weeks to start the season. It progressively gets harder as the season goes on and the Vegas numbers get more and more refined, but it's pretty neat to nail these early season bets.
My SuperContest picks went 3-2, with the only loss on Sunday being by a single lousy point with the Colts. Season total is now 11-4. Here are my Week 4 picks:
- Jets -1.5 vs. Dolphins (London)
The Dolphins haven't cared about any game so far this year, especially last week in their home opener against the Bills, and now travel across the Atlantic to play a division "home" game against the Jets. I don't see how they care this week either.
- Panthers -3 at Buccaneers
Fourth straight week I'm taking the Panthers, who are 3-0 Against the Spread this year, and still only giving 3 points in Tampa. I'm really high on the Panthers. Keep the train rolling.
- Texans +6 at Falcons
While the Falcons are 3-0, they haven't been all that impressive. I think the Texans win this game straight up, even with the Colts on tap Thursday night, possibly without Andrew Luck. It's anti-conventional wisdom, but still really like it.
- Redskins +3 vs. Eagles
The Redskins won in this exact spot a year ago, beating the Eagles as a home underdog. The weather will cause Kirk Cousins to hand the ball off early and often, which is good news for the Redskins.
- Cowboys +3 at Saints
I really don't trust the Saints. I don't trust them enough to bet on Brandon Weeden on the road. Think Cowboys win outright in the Superdome, where the Saints have lost six straight times.
Here are the rest of my Week 4 picks: