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We're in a tough little stretch here. For the 4th consecutive week our Against the Spread picks haven't been over .500, and we're now dead even on the season, 57-57-5, after a 6-7-1 week. I don't know if it has been the rash of QB injuries that have made the predictions pretty 'meh' this year, or just an off year, but let's hope we're entering a stretch that'll get us back in the plus-money. Picking winners was much better this week, going 11-3, bringing our season record to 75-44 (63%). Slowly getting closer to our 67% goal.
Our SuperContest picks had the first losing week of the season, going 2-3 after losing all three primetime games. I said last week it would be tough as so many games were so close to the number, so I'm not too shocked it was a little off. I've already lost with the Browns and the boatload of points they got in Cincinnati (thanks Johnny Football), so we'll try to make it a 4-1 week:
- Browns +11.5 at Bengals
thought I'd be ok at halftime, but they couldn't stop the Bengals Offense in the second half. These Thursday games have been awful for the Predictor.
- Raiders +4 at Steelers
I'm loving the Raiders this year, and a win here puts them in great position for a Wild Card spot, so I expect a really good effort from a team playing really well.
- Redskins +13.5 at Patriots
There are games where you just have to trust the numbers you're seeing. This is one of them. The Patriots are the only team I don't have reservations covering a big number, but I think the Redskins are better than they're given credit for.
- Buccaneers +2.5 vs. Giants
I'm riding the Bucs after their win in Atlanta last week against an up-and-down Giants team who scored 49 points last week in New Orleans and lost. Think the Buccaneers win straight up.
- Cowboys +2.5 vs. Eagles
Hold your nose special. I can't explain to you why this is going to happen, but history tells me it has a 65% chance of hitting, so I'm running with it.
Here are the rest of our Week 9 picks, which I think could be a make-or-break week if you're just picking winners. Several underdogs it has winning outright, so it could be a really good week, or a really bad week. Let's hope for the former.
Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bengals | 29 | Browns | 22 | 68.0% |
Steelers | 24 | Raiders | 26 | 56.3% |
Panthers | 23 | Packers | 22 | 51.6% |
Patriots | 31 | Redskins | 24 | 68.4% |
Saints | 29 | Titans | 22 | 69.6% |
Jets | 28 | Jaguars | 19 | 73.3% |
Vikings | 15 | Rams | 18 | 57.7% |
Bills | 23 | Dolphins | 25 | 54.6% |
49ers | 19 | Falcons | 26 | 69.0% |
Buccaneers | 29 | Giants | 26 | 57.1% |
Colts | 14 | Broncos | 22 | 71.2% |
Cowboys | 19 | Eagles | 21 | 54.9% |
Chargers | 30 | Bears | 28 | 55.7% |