Last week had a very 50% feel to it, as that's what we went in Against the Spread picks (8-8), Straight Up picks (8-8), and Over/Unders (8-8), which at this point in the season should be a little better, but we've got four weeks left to get ourselves where we want to be. Against the Spread season record 96-90-6 (51.6%), Straight Up record 113-79 (58.9%).
I survived that Lions bad beat in the SuperContest, going 2-3 for the week, bringing our season record to 37-28. If we can average more than two wins over the last four weeks we'll have our best season to date in the SuperContest, so something to shoot for. Let's start with five of them this week.
Bengals -2.5 vs. Steelers
The Steelers looked much better than they really are last week against the Colts, and I think the line is reflecting some extra love for them because of it. The Bengals are fighting for a first round bye and think they take care of business at home.
Browns -1.5 vs. 49ers
I think there's going to be a little extra "pep" in the Browns players with the return of Johnny Manziel, and they're a better team than the 49ers. Not by much, but they are.
Saints +4 at Buccaneers
The Saints have hit rock bottom after nearly beating the Panthers a week ago, and have lost four straight games. The NFL is such that teams eventually pull themselves out of a hole, as long as they're trying. I think that happens this week in Tampa for the Saints.
Redskins +3 at Bears
The Redskins are so up and down, they always play well when you least expect it. They've been really bad on the road this year, and after their horrible game against the Cowboys on Monday night, I think they win outright in Chicago.
Raiders +7 at Denver
After such promise early in the season, the Raiders have lost four of their last five to fall to 5-7, but the Lions are the only team of those four that doesn't have a winning record, so they've just had a monster of a schedule. Denver is not playing well Offensively (still), even though they're winning. I really feel good about this game, as I think they hang the whole game, losing late on a FG.
Here are the rest of your Week 14 picks: