This week's mock draft is an intriguing three rounds but with no trades. This mock has some picks based on rumors and include some serious reaches by teams known to reach for positions of need. As a bonus, I've included some options for Rounds 4-7 for the Colts.
As a disclaimer, most of these picks will change as the draft season progresses. Enjoy!
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Jameis Winston - QB - Florida State
I'm sticking to my guns on this one. TB needs a QB and Lovie Smith has that Tony Dungy second chance style.
- Tennessee Titans: Marcus Mariota - QB - Oregon
The Titans are in one of the best positions in this draft. Teams will want whichever QB TB dooesn't take. But with no trades, they take the upgrade.
- Jacksonville Jaguars: Dante Fowler, Jr. - DE/OLB - Florida
Fowler is a strong pass rusher but I've got a feeling he may be a bust. He's got the talent but there's only so much trust I have in Florida players transitioning to the NFL.
- Oakland Raiders: Leonard Williams - DE - Southern Cal
With the depth at WR, Oakland would be smart to take arguably the best player in the draft and significantly improve a major area of weakness.
- Washington: Vic Beasley - DE/OLB - Clemson
Beasley has shot up boards in the draft off season but his tape shows why this move is warranted. Washington could go with Brandon Scherff or La'el Collins here but OL can be had later.
- New York Jets: Amari Cooper - WR - Alabama
With both QBs gone, the Jets are in a precarious spot. This time they take the best WR in this draft to help out their dreadful offense.
- Chicago Bears: Danny Shelton - NT - Washington
Chicago needs to do something to help their terrible defense and adding Shelton could improve the entire unit.
- Atlanta Falcons: Randy Gregory - DE/OLB - Nebraska
Gregory is a top 5 talent but will fall for obvious reasons, the question is how far? If Atlanta is comfortable with the risk, Gregory would immediately improve their pass rush.
- New York Giants: Brandon Scherff - OL - Iowa
The G-men need to find a way to better keep Eli upright and Scherff can play several positions along the OL. If they give Eli time, Odell Beckham, Jr. could explode.
- St. Louis Rams: Kevin White - WR - West Virginia
Despite spending several draft picks over the past few years at the WR position, the Rams still need to improve. White is the second best WR in this draft and could be a solid addition to the team.
- Minnesota Vikings: Shane Ray - DE/OLB - Mizzou
Minnesota needs to improve their pass rush having to go against Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford at least four games a year and Ray gives them a positive addition. However, Ray, like Fowler could be a bust in my mind.
- Cleveland Browns: DeVante Parker - WR - Louisville
The Browns need to find a replacement for Josh Gordon and Parker would be a good fit.
- New Orleans Saints: Alvin "Bud" Dupree - DE/OLB - Kentucky
On the fast turf of their dome, the Saints need a better pass rush. Dupree would be a solid addition.
- Miami Dolphins: Breshad Perriman - WR - Central Florida
Miami surprised everyone last year in taking OT Ja'wuan James and this year they take another significant reach in grabbing workout warrior Perriman. He's a solid overall WR but his 40 shot him up the board.
- San Francisco 49ers: T.J. Clemmings - OL - Pittsburgh
The 49ers need to protect Collin Kaepernick and Clemmings can be groomed into a top tier OT.
- Houston Texans: Shaq Thompson - OLB/S - Washington
Thompson is a freak athlete but doesn't have a true position. Houston could use him all over their defense though or even slide him in at RB if/when Arian Foster goes down. That RB comment is indeed sarcasm.
- San Diego Chargers: La'el Collins - OL - LSU
San Diego needs to improve their OL and Collins can plug and play several positions.
- Kansas City Chiefs: Landon Collins - S - Alabama
With Eric Berry still out battling cancer, the Chiefs need to look for his replacement and snag the top safety in this class.
- Cleveland Browns (via Buffalo Bills): Brett Hundley - QB - UCLA
Remember that comment earlier about teams reaching who are known to reach? Yeah, that's Cleveland. They panic and realize Hundley may not last for them to take in Round 2 so they grab him far too early.
- Philadelphia Eagles: Arik Armstead - DE - Oregon
Reunited and it feels so goooood. Armstead and Chip get together again to help improve the Eagles defensive line.
- Cincinnati Bengals: Eddie Goldman - DT - Florida State
Goldman can step in and play immediately on the interior of the Bengals defense, which is a huge area of concern.
- Pittsburgh Steelers: Trae Waynes - CB - Michigan State
With the retirement of Ike Taylor and Troy Palamalu, the Steelers secondary just got significantly weaker, or maybe stronger depending on how you view those guys play the past few years. Waynes gives them a physical CB who can make plays.
- Detroit Lions: Malcolm Brown - DT - Texas
Detroit likely didn't resign Nick Fairley because people questioned his motor. Brown is an interior force that you never have to worry about not giving his all.
- Arizona Cardinals: Carl Davis - DT - Iowa
Davis is an interesting selection here because the Cardinals need DL help but pass on the higher ceiling player in Jordan Phillips to grab Carl Davis, the more consistent and versatile guy.
- Carolina Panthers: Nelson Agholor - WR - Southern Cal
This is a rumor I've heard swirling around and it seems to have logical traction. Carolina needs a top quality WR and Agholor is arguably the most refined WR in this draft.
- Baltimore Ravens: Melvin Gordon - RB - Wisconsin
The rumor mill again is turning. The Ravens reportedly won't pass on Gordon if he's available at 26. This time he's available so he's the pick.
- Dallas Cowboys: Byron Jones - CB - UConn
Jerrah Jones loves to make the splashy pick and Jones would get the attention he desires after putting up Combine numbers not seen before. Byron also fits a significant need in the Cowboys secondary.
- Denver Broncos: Cameron Erving - C - Florida State
Despite trading for Gino Gradkowski, the Broncos could use an upgrade at the C position. Erving also has experience across the OL and could fill in for injured players.
- Indianapolis Colts: Andrus Peat - OT - Stanford
Isn't this a dream scenario for the Colts? Eric Kendricks, Todd Gurley, Marcus Peters Jordan Phillips and Kevin Johnson are all available at 29. However, if the national media is to be believed (in case you care I think the national media are uninformed), the Colts are angling to take an OL with this pick. That being said, it'd be tough for the Colts to pass on Peat if he's available.
Peat is both powerful and agile, a dancing bear if you will. His strength is run blocking but he's more than adequate at pass protection. He projects as a dominating RT, in my opinion, but has the quick feet necessary to play left tackle as well. Peat does have some trouble with rushers when he's not able to lock on so speed rushers cause his some issues.
While I don't love taking an OL in Round 1, Peat may be one of the few exceptions. If properly coached, Peat could easily become the best OT in this draft. Even if not properly coached, he'd still be a dominant RT. Basically, Peat is a rare player with a high floor and a high ceiling.
- Green Bay Packers: Eric Kendricks - ILB - UCLA
Kendricks gives the Packers a legitimate and instinctive ILB.
- New Orleans Saints: Jaelen Strong - WR - Arizona State
The Saints need to give Drew Brees someone to throw to this year and Strong has arguably the best hands in the draft.
- New England Patriots: Mario Edwards, Jr. - DT/DE - Florida State
This is another rumor pick. I've heard Edwards could go in the first round but I'm not sure where. The Patriots make the most sense after losing Vince Wilfork because Edwards can step in and play the 5-tech DE position.
- Tennessee: Jalen Collins - CB - LSU
- Tampa Bay: Owa Odighizuwa - DE/OLB - UCLA
- Oakland: Phillip Dorsett - WR - Miami (FL)
- Jacksonville: Ereck Flowers - OT - Miami (FL)
- New York Jets: Todd Gurley - RB - Georgia
- Washington: Eric Rowe - DB - Utah
- Chicago: Dorial Green-Beckham - WR - Oklahoma
- New York Giants: Gerold Holliman - S - Louisville
- St. Louis: Marcus Peters - CB - Washington
- Atlanta: Maxx Williams - TE - Minnesota
- Cleveland: Clive Walford - TE - Miami (FL)
- New Orleans: A.J. Cann - OG - South Carolina
- Minnesota: D.J. Humphries - OT - Florida
- San Francisco: Denzel Perryman - ILB - Miami (FL)
- Miami: Ronald Darby - CB - Florida State
- San Diego: Duke Johnson - RB - Miami (FL)
- Kansas City: Devin Smith - WR - Ohio State
- Buffalo: Garrett Grayson - QB - Colorado State
- Houston: Paul Dawson - ILB - Texas Christian
- Philadelphia: Jake Fisher - OT/OG - Oregon
- Cincinnati: Cedric Ogbuehi - OT - Texas A&M
- Detroit: Kevin Johnson - CB - Wake Forest
- Arizona: Benardrick McKinney - ILB - Mississippi State
- Pittsburgh: Damarious Randall - S - Arizona State
- Carolina: Jay Ajayi - RB - Boise State
- Baltimore: Eli Harold - OLB - Virginia
- Denver: Jordan Phillips - NT - Oklahoma
- Dallas: Ameer Abdullah - RB - Nebraska
- Indianapolis Colts: Quinten Rollins - DB - Miami (OH)
The Colts, for the most part, have ignored one of their primary off-season concerns, the secondary. The team recently signed Dwight Lowery to a one year deal, which means it'd be best to draft a safety and allow him to learn for a year before taking over.
While Rollins is listed as a DB here, because he played CB at Miami (OH), his best fit is at FS in the NFL. After I voiced this opinion very early in the draft process on Twitter, many other Colts draft followers and writers reviewed his tape and almost unanimously agreed with me. Rollins is a playmaker. He's the Ed Reed style center-field safety the Colts and Chuck Pagano has been lacking. At Miami (OH), he had seven interceptions in his single season playing football. Rollins is a former collegiate basketball player and has the vision and instincts that go along with it.
Rollins has been one of my "draft crushes" this year despite this being the first time I've mocked him to the Colts. He gives the team an added element that current and former Colts safeties haven't under Chuck Pagano. In a pinch, he can also play CB if/when Greg Toler gets injured so that versatility only adds to his value.
- Green Bay: Preston Smith - DL - Mississippi State
- Seattle: Laken Tomlinson - OG - Duke
- New England: Devin Funchess - WR - Michigan
Tampa Bay: Tre' Jackson - OG - Florida State
Tennessee: Michael Bennett - DT - Ohio State
Jacksonville: P.J. Williams - CB - Florida State
Oakland: D'Joun Smith - CB - Florida Atlantic
Washington: Alex Carter - CB - Stanford
New York Jets: Bryce Petty - QB - Baylor
Chicago: Kwon Alexander - OLB - LSU
St. Louis: Ali Marpet - OG - Hobart
Atlanta: Stephone Anthony - ILB - Clemson
New York Giants: Hau'oli Kikaha - OLB - Washington
New Orleans: Jeff Hauerman - TE - Ohio State
Minnesota: Steven Nelson - CB - Oregon State
Cleveland: Nate Orchard - DE - Utah
Miami: Arie Kouandjio - OG - Alabama
San Francisco: Sammie Coates - WR - Auburn
Kansas City: Grady Jarrett - DT - Clemson
Buffalo: John Miller - OG - Louisville
Houston: Rashad Greene - WR - Florida State
San Diego: Justin Hardy - WR - East Carolina
Philadelphia: Ifo Ekpre-Olomu - CB - Oregon
Cincinnati: Tre McBride - WR - William & Mary
Arizona: Tevin Coleman - RB - Indiana
Pittsburgh: Ty Sambraillo - OL - Colorado State
Detroit: T.J. Yeldon - RB - Alabama
Carolina: Derron Smith - S - Fresno State
Baltimore: Cody Prewitt - S - Ole Miss
Dallas: Trey Flowers - DE - Arkansas
Denver: Danielle Hunter - DE - LSU
Indianapolis Colts: Jaquiski Tartt - S - Samford
Yes, I realize I just took Rollins in Round 2 to address the S concern. However, Tartt is just too good of a player to pass up at this position. First, who doesn't love tarts. They're delicious. Second, this guy can play.
A big concern with Tartt was the level of competition he faced at Samford. However, he put those doubts to rest after having a very strong showing at the Senior Bowl. Tartt has all the physical tools and instincts you ask for in a strong safety. He's a strong tackler and is at his best when coming downhill to make plays. He takes good angles when going after the ball carrier, unlike a certain former Colts monstrosity. The biggest issues with Tartt on the field are his coverage abilities. He's solid at timing his hits on WRs correctly but he's not particularly fast so recovery speed is an issue. Also, Tartt can get caught peeking into the backfield too often, which allows WRs to get behind him.
This may not be the most popular pick but with Lowery on a one year deal and Mike Adams on a two year deal, with no guaranteed money beyond this upcoming season, it make sense to grab a physical safety to pair with Rollins to allow the team to have a center-fielder over the top and a robber style S to patrol in the box.
Green Bay: Doran Grant - CB - Ohio State
Seattle: Tony Lippett - WR/CB - Michigan State
New England: Josue Matias - OG - Florida State
New England [comp.]: Xavier Cooper - DL - Washington State
Kansas City [comp.]: Daryl Williams - OT - Oklahoma
Cincinnati [comp.]: Lorenzo Mauldin - OLB - Louisville
Round 4, pick 128: Jeremy Langford - RB - Michigan State
After choosing not to select a top RB prospect earlier in the draft, the Colts can snag a great value RB in Round 4 with Langford. He's not a power RB but has solid hands and is good in pass protection. Ideal to take over the Ahmad Bradshaw role.
Round 5, pick 165: Jake Ryan - ILB - Michigan
Ryan is a just a football player. He makes plays all over the field and can hold his own in coverage. He just seems to love football. Ryan does have some limitations and can be overly aggressive but would be a solid backup ILB for the Colts at this spot.
Round 6, pick 204: Derrick Lott - DE - Tennesse-Chattanooga
Lott played DT at UT-Chattanooga but his best position may be as a 5-tech 3-4 DE. He needs to add strength but he has the hands, instincts and finishing ability to potentially be a steal in Round 6.
Round 6, pick 206: Xavier Willliams - DT - Northern Iowa
Williams is a high motor NT that plays with great natural leverage. He's fairly powerful but doesn't have great athleticism. Given time, Williams could really pay off though.
Round 7, pick 244: Ryan Delaire - OLB - Towson
Delaire has all the measureables to become a solid strong-side 3-4 OLB. He will need to develop a bit more and work on his recognition skills to earn playing time but could be a surprise for the Colts this late.
Round 7, pick 255: Deandre Smelter - WR - Georgia Tech
Smelter is the injury risk boom or bust guy Grigson likes to take a chance on late in the draft. He's a big, talented WR with great hands and a high level of football intelligence. However, he tore his ACL late in the season. If he comes back, it's an absolute steal. If he never returns to form, then it's "eh?" since this is the second to last pick in the draft.
- Love my picks? Hate 'em? Let me know by leaving your comments below or interacting with me on Twitter, @Reed_StephenT.