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That was a bloodbath last week, wasn't it? There have been weeks where we see several underdogs win straight up, but last week saw eight underdogs win games, with the afternoon slate of games seeing the underdog win all three. What does that usually mean? Straight Up picks don't look so hot, and the Predictor went just 6-10 picking winners, but if you are in a confidence pick pool, you probably didn't do too bad. I was only 5 points from winning mine despite the sub-par record (I beat a guy who went 10-6). I'm not sure it can get much worse in terms of record as last week, so best to get it out of the system early. Season record now 16-16.
Against the Spread was a much better week, going 9-7, which brings our season record up to 17-14-1. My SuperContest picks did nicely once again, going 4-1 and bringing our season record to 8-2. Those underdogs we talked about earlier? They worked out nicely in this contest. Let's keep the train going:
- Redskins +3.5 at Giants
Mentioned this in my Colts preview article yesterday. It went horribly wrong. Woof.
- Bengals +2.5 at Ravens
This seems like a "too good to be true" line, as you'd expect the Ravens to play like their season is on the line. However, it always seems teams in "must win" always fall short (like this exact team did in Houston late last year). The Bengals won in Baltimore last year, and I think they do it again.
- Panthers -4.5 vs. Saints
I don't care if Drew Brees plays or doesn't play, and I don't care that the actual line will be somewhere around 3. I love the Panthers this season and win easily to go to 3-0. I think Sean Payton won't make it through the season either. A trainwreck that is flying under the radar.
- Colts -3 at Titans
Read my preview here. Colts by a TD.
- Bills +3 at Dolphins
The Dolphins opened the season against two of the worst teams in the NFL (WAS and JAC), and looked awful in both games, squeaking a win out in Week 1 thanks to a 4th quarter punt return. Their stepping up a few weight classes in their home opener against a team that's played a slightly tougher schedule, looking to take some frustrations from last week out on a division opponent. Bills win straight up.
Here are the rest of your Week 3 picks:
Home | Score | Away | Score | Probability |
---|---|---|---|---|
Giants | 23 | Redskins | 26 | 57.1% |
Vikings | 24 | Chargers | 23 | 52.1% |
Browns | 21 | Raiders | 24 | 55.9% |
Ravens | 19 | Bengals | 24 | 64.6% |
Panthers | 27 | Saints | 17 | 75.2% |
Cowboys | 28 | Falcons | 24 | 61.2% |
Texans | 24 | Buccaneers | 15 | 71.9% |
Titans | 21 | Colts | 27 | 66.7% |
Rams | 25 | Steelers | 29 | 59.1% |
Patriots | 28 | Jaguars | 20 | 70.4% |
Jets | 25 | Eagles | 18 | 66.7% |
Cardinals | 25 | 49ers | 23 | 55.4% |
Seahawks | 30 | Bears | 20 | 75.4% |
Dolphins | 20 | Bills | 26 | 66.1% |
Lions | 18 | Broncos | 26 | 70.2% |
Packers | 27 | Chiefs | 22 | 64.4% |